Sean Burke
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.56
FIP4.99
xFIP4.05
SIERA4.11
K%23.2%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.5%
IP118
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p1016.6%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p270.339
SL+2.4 (17%)
SI (15%)
CT (2%)
CU (24%)
CH-0.6 (4%)
FB-1.3 (53%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 7 | 7 | 17 | 73 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 23.9% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 2.65 | 3.49 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 27 | 26 | 108 | 466 | 137 | 48 | 15 | 24.2% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 4.75 | 4.65 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 9 | 9 | 37 | 166 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 18.0% | 17.1% | 5.4% | 7.61 | 6.70 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 23 | 22 | 91 | 388 | 125 | 48 | 15 | 27.7% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 4.07 | 4.68 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 31 | 25 | 147 | 655 | 148 | 68 | 26 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 4.53 | 4.78 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 4 | 3 | 20 | 87 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.43 | 3.59 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 90 | 378 | 84 | 39 | 14 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.17 | 4.54 | +0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 110 | 465 | 101 | 45 | 16 | 21.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.37 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 105 | 445 | 99 | 46 | 16 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 4.78 | 4.93 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 99 | 416 | 92 | 43 | 15 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 90 | 378 | 82 | 40 | 14 | 21.7% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.97 | 5.03 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 72 | 36 | 13 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 5.06 | 5.12 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 72 | 306 | 69 | 30 | 12 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.00 | 4.96 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 60 | 28 | 11 | 21.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 58 | — | 58 | 243 | 52 | 25 | 10 | 21.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 5.14 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 44 | 22 | 9 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 5.26 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 19.8% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 5.40 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 19.0% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 5.55 | 5.66 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 101 | 92 | 420 | 1835 | 431 | 220 | 72 | 23.5% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 4.68 | 4.79 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 44 | 200 | 875 | 205 | 105 | 34 | 23.5% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 4.68 | 4.79 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Burke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.06 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 3.9% | — | 4.97 | 22.0% | 11.6% | 294 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Thornburg R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.70 | 15.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | .295 | 3.66 | 28.7% | 19.3% | 104 | -2.04 | 2.59 | 301 | 79 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.10 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .263 | 4.13 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.97 | 3.03 | 406 | 76 |
| Sean Hjelle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.19 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 163 | -1.43 | 2.89 | 670 | 76 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 76 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.42 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 5.02 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.60 | 4.42 | 200 | 76 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 240 | 76 |
| Drew Rucinski R 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.53 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | .336 | 3.57 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 278 | -1.96 | 2.69 | 409 | 76 |
| Caleb Kilian R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.69 | 16.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | .290 | 3.66 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 57 | -1.03 | 2.39 | 396 | 75 |
| Sam Highfill R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 75 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.54 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 3.56 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 191 | -0.98 | 2.84 | 484 | 75 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.63 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 4.2% | .254 | 3.52 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 67 | -2.11 | 3.52 | 395 | 74 |
| Gabriel Arias R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 195 | 74 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .344 | 4.99 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.37 | 4.37 | 412 | 74 |
| Erick Fedde R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.90 | 14.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | .287 | 4.86 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 311 | -0.04 | 3.35 | 1,131 | 74 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 4.44 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 312 | -0.22 | 3.99 | 748 | 74 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.78 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .262 | 3.93 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -0.85 | 3.50 | 472 | 74 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .356 | 5.73 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.57 | 4.61 | 177 | 74 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.23 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .309 | 3.32 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.91 | 3.32 | 252 | 74 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.65 | 9.0% | -1.2% | 38 | +0.59 | 4.06 | 203 | 73 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.04 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 116 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.