Drew Ehrhard

1B Portland Sea Dogs

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AABOS	223	.235/.301/.325	3	4	46	—	.214/.260/.277
2026	27	AABOS	45	.132/.233/.316	2	1	17	—	.128/.209/.308
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBBOS	3	.226/.279/.337	0	0	69	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBBOS	44	.225/.278/.334	1	1	68	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%80

Whiff%70

ISO69

K%63

Speed53

BB%35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuke Maile (age 28) · Jeff Bianchi (age 28) · Craig Tatum (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .279 / .337

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP290

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	68	18	5	1	2	7	18	3	0	1	265	359	456	815	191	333	23	9	363	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	200	47	7	1	3	16	44	3	4	2	235	301	325	626	90	286	20	7	282	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	38	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	1	0	132	233	316	548	184	111	22	9	240	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	17	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	243	321	414	735	171	297	27	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	206	44	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	214	260	277	537	63	271	25	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	39	5	1	0	2	3	12	1	1	0	128	209	308	517	179	100	27	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	17	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	243	321	414	735	171	319	27	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	68	18	5	1	2	7	18	3	0	1	265	359	456	815	191	333	23	9	363	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	206	44	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	214	260	277	537	63	280	25	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	200	47	7	1	3	16	44	3	4	2	235	301	325	626	90	286	20	7	282	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	39	5	1	0	2	3	12	1	1	0	128	209	308	517	179	115	27	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	38	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	1	0	132	233	316	548	184	111	22	9	240	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	17	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	243	321	414	735	171	297	27	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	208	44	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	212	260	274	534	63	271	25	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	41	5	1	0	2	3	12	1	1	0	122	209	293	502	171	100	27	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	17	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	243	321	414	735	171	297	27	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	208	44	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	212	260	274	534	63	271	25	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	45	41	5	1	0	2	3	12	1	1	0	122	209	293	502	171	100	27	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	200	185	40	8	1	3	11	51	2	3	1	219	273	327	600	108	281	26	6	269	69	-7	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	226	279	337	615	111	290	33	0	276	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	23%	194	179	38	7	1	3	11	49	2	3	1	218	272	325	597	107	280	25	6	268	68	-7	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.8
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	23%	44	41	9	2	0	1	2	11	1	1	0	225	278	334	613	110	289	25	5	275	68	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	41	9	2	0	1	2	11	1	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	276	25	5	275	59	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	134	30	0	15	30	162	15	15	0	221	275	345	620	124	277	25	5	275	59	-25	+3	-5	-12	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	676	619	131	22	4	11	37	171	11	10	5	212	268	313	582	102	272	25	5	255	59	-13	+0	-1	-6	+7	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	126	21	4	11	36	164	11	10	5	212	270	316	586	104	271	25	6	255	59	-25	+0	-3	-12	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Ehrhard (OGILVIE)	28	45	35	45	35	218/271/324	107	281	2	2	25%	6%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Maile 2019 · MLB	28	44→50	42→40	49→40	45	215/276/318	103	282	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.9	212/282/321	109	291	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	227/310/346	119	311	10	4	28%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Jeff Bianchi 2015 · MLB	28	47→57	40→45	45→50	42	230/268/317	87	281	8	10	21%	5%	64	-1.3	219/264/294	75	281	6	9	23%	6%	57	-1.8	213/257/256	43	279	2	7	23%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Craig Tatum 2011 · MLB	28	45→47	39→45	44→30	46	218/274/305	86	275	7	4	23%	7%	64	-1.3	211/272/296	85	267	7	7	22%	7%	61	-1.5	179/238/213	34	233	0	3	22%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2014 · AAA	28	45	41→40	49→50	40	224/262/316	92	275	10	11	23%	4%	62	-1.4	214/255/316	102	279	11	12	27%	5%	60	-1.6	186/222/268	81	248	11	13	29%	4%	33	-0.7
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/305	84	288	5	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	212/268/277	65	275	2	2	22%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA	28	44→48	44→45	47→40	42	220/275/333	114	291	11	9	28%	6%	72	-0.7	208/261/306	98	255	8	7	21%	6%	60	-1.6	179/229/251	72	218	3	0	19%	6%	32	-1.4
✕Jonathan Mota 2015 · AAA	28	44→49	41→45	47→45	39	219/253/315	96	279	9	5	25%	4%	58	-1.7	214/251/303	89	267	8	7	22%	4%	55	-2.0	204/237/273	69	247	6	3	20%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Cody Roberts 2024 · AAA	28	41	43→45	43→40	40	206/263/314	108	284	11	4	30%	6%	63	-1.4	216/272/313	97	334	8	8	35%	7%	66	-1.1	217/275/296	79	364	5	7	39%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	47→48	41→40	46→30	46	228/282/319	91	274	10	4	21%	6%	71	-0.8	226/278/344	118	264	13	5	19%	6%	75	-0.5	210/257/326	116	235	14	1	18%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2010 · MLB	28	43	43→45	47→50	42	214/255/324	110	256	11	3	22%	5%	61	-1.5	216/264/337	121	281	12	3	27%	5%	68	-1.0	204/260/329	125	265	13	1	27%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Leury Bonilla 2013 · AAA	28	47	40→45	44→50	39	229/266/319	90	302	8	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	217/259/288	71	285	5	9	24%	5%	55	-2.0	210/253/269	59	272	4	8	23%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Laz Rivera 2023 · AAA	28	44→54	42→45	46→50	40	214/274/316	102	287	10	16	28%	5%	68	-1.0	214/271/311	97	303	7	15	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/246/265	67	302	0	16	32%	4%	41	-0.8
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	207/241/281	74	249	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/272/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	71	-0.8	238/274/330	93	272	11	3	17%	3%	70	-0.3
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	43	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	210/275/277	67	265	5	5	21%	6%	59	-1.6	195/263/224	29	248	1	0	20%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Israel Nunez 2014 · AAA	28	48	39→40	42→40	45	230/281/313	82	282	7	7	20%	6%	69	-0.9	249/298/340	91	304	6	6	19%	5%	81	-0.1	257/295/321	64	310	4	1	18%	3%	74	-0.2
✕Zach Vincej 2019 · AAA	28	47→52	39→40	45→50	44	223/268/310	87	264	6	8	18%	5%	63	-1.4	223/265/331	108	266	11	6	20%	5%	67	-1.1	219/253/324	105	258	11	0	20%	4%	59	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→40	44	228/272/324	96	274	10	5	21%	6%	68	-1.0	238/291/374	136	284	14	5	21%	7%	87	+0.4	242/299/402	160	282	16	0	20%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Pete Kozma 2016 · MLB	28	43→47	39→45	45→50	48	207/268/288	81	248	6	11	19%	7%	59	-1.7	190/239/259	69	243	5	11	23%	5%	41	-3.0	188/235/276	88	231	6	6	21%	5%	41	-2.0
✕Juan Graterol 2018 · MLB	29	48	38→40	46→30	42	230/263/308	78	266	6	6	16%	3%	60	-1.6	233/267/305	72	258	5	4	12%	3%	61	-1.5	235/271/284	48	260	3	0	10%	3%	55	-0.7