Jesus Moreno — OGILVIE

Jesus MorenoC Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .253 / .280

PA76

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	105	227	105	333		333	59	9	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	125	26	7	0	1	8	35	3	0	0	208	272	288	560	80	278	26	6	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	75	9	1	1	1	7	40	5	2	2	120	241	200	441	80	229	45	8	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	99	17	2	1	2	4	46	3	2	1	172	226	273	499	101	283	43	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	82	7	1	0	1	9	58	2	0	0	85	194	134	328	49	261	62	10	143	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	59	55	10	2	0	1	3	25	0	0	0	182	224	273	497	91	300	42	5	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	0	0	0	208	276	302	578	94	286	31	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	TEX	—	76	70	12	2	0	1	5	27	1	1	0	171	237	243	480	71	288	36	7	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TEX	30%	129	118	23	4	1	2	9	45	1	2	1	195	258	297	554	102	289	35	7	254	53	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	220	199	39	7	1	4	17	75	2	3	1	196	266	302	568	106	289	34	8	260	57	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	283	256	50	9	1	5	22	95	3	3	1	195	267	297	564	102	288	34	8	262	59	-13	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	TEX	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	36	8	248	48	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	92	84	16	3	0	2	7	31	1	1	0	190	261	298	558	107	290	34	8	254	52	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	135	123	25	4	1	3	10	45	1	2	1	203	269	325	594	122	290	33	7	256	54	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	266	243	48	8	1	6	20	90	2	4	1	198	264	313	577	115	284	34	8	254	53	-14	+0	-0	+5	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	118	20	2	15	49	220	5	10	2	199	265	315	580	116	285	34	8	254	53	-35	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1215	1098	195	35	5	18	86	459	21	13	8	178	251	268	518	90	281	38	7	234	37	-87	-1	-1	+22	+34	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	105	19	3	10	46	246	11	7	4	179	251	273	524	94	284	38	7	234	37	-46	-0	-0	+12	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	82	-0	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	126	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	83	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	25	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	33	10	2	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	303	343	364	706	61	400	25	6	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	23	20	1	0	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	50	174	200	374	150		39	13	181	-3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	266	5	3	199	265	307	+5	+4	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	12	8	199	265	307	+11.9	+10.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Moreno (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	186/253/280	93	288	1	1	36%	7%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	39→50	45→40	42	171/257/255	84	300	6	5	41%	9%	42	-2.3	183/266/304	121	296	13	6	39%	9%	58	-1.2	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	47	-1.9	218/266/359	141	280	17	5	28%	5%	71	-0.3	217/263/365	147	266	20	2	26%	5%	69	-0.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	38→29	41→45	47→40	35	180/250/276	96	308	9	4	42%	6%	43	-2.2	181/265/295	114	265	15	5	35%	7%	56	-1.3	170/263/287	117	236	17	3	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	45	50→30	39	184/246/308	124	280	12	4	38%	7%	50	-1.8	197/249/310	113	314	11	5	39%	6%	51	-1.7	182/235/278	96	304	10	0	42%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5