Jesus Moreno — OGILVIE

Jesus MorenoC Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .252 / .279

PA6

HR0

K%36

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	84	-0	-1	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	123	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	85	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	114	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	33	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	33	10	2	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	303	343	364	706	61	400	25	6	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	23	20	1	0	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	50	174	200	374	150		39	13	181	9	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	105	227	105	333		364	59	9	176	5	-2	-1	—	—	+0	-0.3
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	125	26	7	0	1	8	35	3	0	0	208	272	288	560	80	265	26	6	240	49	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	88	75	9	1	1	1	7	39	5	2	2	120	241	200	441	80	202	44	8	190	15	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	108	99	17	2	1	2	4	45	3	2	1	172	226	273	499	101	270	42	4	219	34	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	83	6	1	0	1	8	60	2	0	0	72	172	120	293	48	223	65	9	138	-20	-13	+0	—	—	+2	-1.2
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	34	9	2	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	265	286	324	609	59	352	33	3	250	55	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	23	21	1	0	0	1	2	13	0	0	0	48	130	190	321	143		57	9	118	-34	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	105	227	105	333		333	59	9	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	125	26	7	0	1	8	35	3	0	0	208	272	288	560	80	278	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	88	75	9	1	1	1	7	39	5	2	2	120	241	200	441	80	222	44	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	108	99	17	2	1	2	4	45	3	2	1	172	226	273	499	101	278	42	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	83	6	1	0	1	8	60	2	0	0	72	172	120	293	48	227	65	9	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	59	55	10	2	0	1	3	25	0	0	0	182	224	273	497	91	300	42	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	0	0	0	208	276	302	578	94	286	31	8	261	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	105	227	105	333		364	59	9	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	125	26	7	0	1	8	35	3	0	0	208	272	288	560	80	265	26	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	88	76	9	1	1	1	7	39	5	2	2	118	241	197	439	79	202	44	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	108	100	17	2	1	2	4	45	3	2	1	170	226	270	496	100	270	42	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	83	6	1	0	1	8	60	2	0	0	72	172	120	293	48	223	65	9	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	59	56	10	2	0	1	3	25	0	0	0	179	224	268	492	89	215	42	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	83	6	1	0	1	8	60	2	0	0	72	172	120	293	48	223	65	9	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	59	56	10	2	0	1	3	25	0	0	0	179	224	268	492	89	215	42	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		288	33	0	244	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	30%	129	118	23	4	1	2	9	45	1	2	1	195	258	297	554	102	288	35	7	254	58	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	42%	220	199	39	7	1	4	17	75	2	3	1	196	266	302	568	106	288	34	8	259	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	283	256	50	9	1	5	22	95	3	3	1	195	267	297	564	102	288	34	8	261	63	-12	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	319	288	57	10	1	6	25	107	3	4	1	198	269	302	571	104	287	34	8	261	63	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	291	36	8	250	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	42%	92	84	16	3	0	2	7	31	1	1	0	190	261	298	558	107	291	34	8	255	62	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	135	123	25	4	1	3	10	45	1	2	1	203	269	325	594	122	290	33	7	258	63	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	157	142	29	5	1	3	12	53	2	2	1	204	276	317	593	113	289	34	8	257	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	423	385	77	13	2	9	32	143	4	6	2	200	268	314	583	114	289	34	8	256	48	-19	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	118	20	3	14	49	220	6	9	3	199	267	314	582	115	288	34	8	256	48	-29	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1464	1323	240	43	6	23	105	541	23	16	9	181	254	275	529	94	282	37	7	239	48	-43	+1	-2	+17	+21	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	107	19	3	10	47	240	10	7	4	182	254	276	530	94	284	37	7	239	48	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	423	8	5	199	265	306	+8	+8	0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	8	+11.9	+12.5	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Moreno (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	186/252/279	93	288	1	1	36%	7%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	170/258/250	80	292	5	5	40%	9%	48	-2.5	184/267/299	115	295	12	6	38%	9%	62	-1.4	170/259/294	123	253	14	4	36%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→32	44→55	50→40	44	178/267/295	117	306	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/270/355	164	283	21	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	53	-2.1	218/266/356	138	279	17	5	28%	5%	74	-0.5	217/264/361	144	266	19	2	26%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	44→45	50→30	40	183/247/303	120	276	11	4	36%	7%	55	-2.0	199/253/308	109	309	10	5	36%	6%	57	-1.8	191/246/285	94	301	9	0	38%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	194/249/295	101	286	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	216/266/303	87	312	6	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	219/269/292	73	315	5	8	30%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→34	43→40	46→50	37	203/264/308	105	309	11	11	36%	6%	62	-1.4	210/284/294	84	333	6	15	36%	8%	66	-1.1	209/291/277	68	340	4	17	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	43→45	41→50	39	194/254/302	108	288	10	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/278/332	111	314	9	14	31%	6%	72	-0.7	228/287/337	109	320	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	182/273/271	90	286	8	7	36%	9%	59	-1.7	195/278/297	102	296	9	11	34%	8%	65	-1.2	169/259/271	102	251	9	13	34%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	40	48→45	43	182/254/271	89	269	9	6	34%	8%	51	-2.3	199/272/289	90	306	8	8	34%	8%	61	-1.5	155/252/210	55	256	4	7	37%	11%	34	-0.6
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps