Jesus Moreno — OGILVIE

Jesus MorenoC Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .253 / .280

PA76

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	105	227	105	333		333	59	9	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	125	26	7	0	1	8	35	3	0	0	208	272	288	560	80	278	26	6	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	75	9	1	1	1	7	40	5	2	2	120	241	200	441	80	229	45	8	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	99	17	2	1	2	4	46	3	2	1	172	226	273	499	101	283	43	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	82	7	1	0	1	9	58	2	0	0	85	194	134	328	49	261	62	10	143	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	59	55	10	2	0	1	3	25	0	0	0	182	224	273	497	91	300	42	5	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	0	0	0	208	276	302	578	94	286	31	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	TEX	—	76	70	12	2	0	1	5	27	1	1	0	171	237	243	480	71	288	36	7	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TEX	30%	129	118	23	4	1	2	9	45	1	2	1	195	258	297	554	102	289	35	7	254	53	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	220	199	39	7	1	4	17	75	2	3	1	196	266	302	568	106	289	34	8	260	57	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2027	26	MLB	TEX	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	36	8	248	48	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	92	84	16	3	0	2	7	31	1	1	0	190	261	298	558	107	290	34	8	254	52	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	131	120	23	4	0	3	10	45	1	2	0	192	260	300	560	108	278	34	8	252	51	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	114	20	0	15	50	223	5	10	0	192	260	301	561	109	277	34	8	252	51	-36	+2	+0	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	932	842	145	26	4	13	64	364	18	10	7	172	246	259	505	87	280	39	7	225	30	-73	-1	+0	+17	+26	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	101	18	3	9	45	254	13	7	5	172	247	259	506	87	280	39	7	225	30	-51	-1	+0	+12	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	22	18	4	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	2	222	364	222	586		444	41	14	293	82	-0	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	137	120	35	10	0	1	13	24	3	0	0	292	375	400	775	108	354	18	9	350	126	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	88	69	12	1	1	1	13	27	5	2	2	174	345	261	606	87	262	31	15	294	83	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	108	96	26	4	1	3	7	31	3	2	1	271	340	427	767	156	359	29	6	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	93	78	9	1	0	1	13	43	2	0	0	115	258	167	425	51	235	46	14	218	25	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	36	33	10	2	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	303	343	364	706	61	400	25	6	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	23	20	1	0	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	50	174	200	374	150		39	13	181	-3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Moreno (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	186/253/280	93	288	1	1	36%	7%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	39→50	45→40	42	171/257/255	84	300	6	5	41%	9%	42	-2.3	183/266/304	121	296	13	6	39%	9%	58	-1.2	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	38→29	41→45	47→40	35	180/250/276	96	308	9	4	42%	6%	43	-2.2	181/265/295	114	265	15	5	35%	7%	56	-1.3	170/263/287	117	236	17	3	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	45	50→30	39	184/246/308	124	280	12	4	38%	7%	50	-1.8	197/249/310	113	314	11	5	39%	6%	51	-1.7	182/235/278	96	304	10	0	42%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	47	-1.9	218/266/359	141	280	17	5	28%	5%	71	-0.3	217/263/365	147	266	20	2	26%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Anthony Quirion 2023 · A	25	37	43→45	46→40	35	180/263/286	106	303	12	7	42%	6%	53	-1.5	190/264/300	110	316	12	6	41%	6%	56	-1.3	153/233/260	107	255	13	2	43%	6%	30	-1.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4