Luis Devers

P South Bend Cubs

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 178 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	MIX2 levels	26	22	118	1.91	2.13	26.8%	5.7%	—	K 20.1% · BB 6.6% · FIP 2.90
2023	23	A+CHC	15	14	56	5.11	3.53	24.8%	12.8%	—	K 19.1% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.27
2024	24	MIX2 levels	28	5	61	5.34	3.26	20.9%	12.1%	—	K 15.6% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.10
2027PROJ	27	MLBCHC	7	7	42	4.82	4.82	20.7%	11.6%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBCHC	2	2	15	4.82	4.85	20.8%	11.5%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRicky Castro (age 24) · Clay Condrey (age 27) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%20.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	14	13	55	239	48	19	2	93%	4.0	13.7%	9.9%	3.7%	1.2%	2.60	3.85	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	14	13	55	239	48	19	2	93%	4.0	20.1%	7.9%	12.1%	0.8%	2.60	2.87	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	14	14	64	263	61	14	2	100%	4.6	15.8%	6.7%	9.1%	1.1%	2.66	3.20	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	14	14	64	263	61	14	2	100%	4.6	23.2%	5.3%	17.9%	0.8%	2.66	2.26	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	54	231	59	17	3	79%	3.9	17.2%	8.2%	9.0%	1.9%	3.48	3.75	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	11	54	231	59	17	3	79%	3.9	25.5%	7.4%	18.2%	1.3%	3.48	2.58	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	118	456	122	26	4	85%	4.5	20.1%	6.6%	13.5%	1.2%	1.91	2.90	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	118	456	122	26	4	85%	4.5	26.8%	5.7%	21.1%	0.9%	1.91	2.13	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	15	14	56	250	62	32	4	93%	3.8	19.1%	14.7%	4.4%	1.7%	5.11	4.27	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	15	14	56	250	62	32	4	93%	3.8	24.8%	12.8%	12.0%	1.6%	5.11	3.53	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	5	61	282	59	34	2	18%	2.2	15.6%	14.1%	1.5%	1.0%	5.34	4.10	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	5	61	282	59	34	2	18%	2.2	15.6%	14.1%	1.5%	1.0%	5.34	4.10	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	5	61	282	59	34	2	18%	2.2	20.9%	12.1%	8.9%	0.7%	5.34	3.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CHC	7	7	42	177	37	21	5	100%	6.0	20.7%	11.6%	9.1%	2.9%	4.82	4.82	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	7	7	41	174	36	20	5	100%	5.9	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	3.0%	4.82	4.85	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	15	63	13	7	2	100%	7.5	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	3.0%	4.82	4.85	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	13	7	2	100%	5.0	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	3.0%	4.82	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	172	93	26	100%	6.0	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	3.0%	4.82	4.47	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		111	79	409	1721	297	167	22	71%	3.7	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	1.3%	3.28	3.59	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	39	200	842	145	82	11	71%	3.7	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	1.3%	3.28	3.59	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Devers (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.7%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.85	20.8%	9.3%	41	+0.03	—	—	—
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	80
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	78
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	77
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	75
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	75
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	74
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	73
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	73
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	72
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	71
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	71
Kyle Lloyd R 2018 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	18.2%	9.8%	2.6%	.336	4.75	17.2%	9.3%	110	+0.52	3.50	572	71
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	71
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	70
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	70
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	70
Chase Whitley R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	27	SP-	4.10	19.5%	7.0%	3.2%	.217	3.22	18.0%	11.8%	81	-0.88	3.09	235	70
Jimmy Endersby R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	17.3%	8.0%	3.4%	.257	2.86	17.2%	12.8%	36	-1.68	2.86	357	69
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	69
Matt Frisbee R 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP	4.42	18.3%	14.3%	1.9%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	463	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	20.8%	11.6%	1.16	4.82
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44