Luis Peralta
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 203 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134143vR 152
ERA5.92
FIP5.96
K%20.5%
BB%18.6%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p1820.8%
K%
p1015.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.438
CU (27%)
CH (2%)
FB-9.4 (71%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 19 | 4 | 48 | 218 | 62 | 26 | 2 | 21% | 2.5 | 19.3% | 14.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 5.62 | 4.06 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 19 | 4 | 48 | 218 | 62 | 26 | 2 | 21% | 2.5 | 28.4% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 0.9% | 5.62 | 2.68 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 163 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 43% | 2.9 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.01 | 4.87 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 163 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 43% | 2.9 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 2.01 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 9 | 7 | 29 | 124 | 36 | 18 | 1 | 78% | 3.2 | 19.7% | 18.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.41 | 4.43 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 9 | 7 | 29 | 124 | 36 | 18 | 1 | 78% | 3.2 | 29.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 0.8% | 3.41 | 2.93 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 18 | 60 | 283 | 97 | 44 | 9 | 95% | 3.2 | 25.4% | 18.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 6.41 | 5.14 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 18 | 60 | 283 | 97 | 44 | 9 | 95% | 3.2 | 34.3% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 3.2% | 6.41 | 4.01 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 23 | 9 | 53 | 241 | 67 | 35 | 4 | 39% | 2.3 | 20.6% | 17.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.96 | 4.79 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 23 | 9 | 53 | 241 | 67 | 35 | 4 | 39% | 2.3 | 27.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 4.96 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 236 | 89 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.7% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 1.6% | 0.90 | 2.87 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 236 | 89 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 37.7% | 11.0% | 26.7% | 0.8% | 0.90 | 1.87 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 54 | 283 | 67 | 46 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 9.22 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 54 | 283 | 67 | 46 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 16.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 9.22 | 6.08 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 27 | 2 | 33 | 170 | 53 | 39 | 6 | 7% | 1.2 | 27.4% | 22.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 9.27 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 58 | 52 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 18.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.92 | 5.96 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 18.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.92 | 5.96 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 100 | 452 | 111 | 91 | 16 | — | — | 24.5% | 20.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.03 | 5.79 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 7 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 20.5% | 18.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.92 | 5.58 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 17.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.77 | 5.78 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 59 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.69 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 57 | 45 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 17.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.77 | 5.78 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 38 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.69 | 5.71 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.72 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 162 | 0 | 163 | 705 | 147 | 119 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 16.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.78 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 181 | 146 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 16.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.78 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 214 | 46 | 377 | 1718 | 393 | 283 | 44 | 21% | 1.8 | 22.9% | 16.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 4.66 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 24 | 200 | 911 | 209 | 150 | 23 | 21% | 1.8 | 22.9% | 16.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.96 | 20.5% | 18.6% | 3.4% | — | 5.74 | 21.1% | 3.9% | 196 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Matzek L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 22.2% | 21.3% | 1.7% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.60 | 190 | 76 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 70 |
| John Kilichowski L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 70 |
| Davis Schwab L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 68 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.10 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.2% | .268 | 6.74 | 19.4% | -8.5% | 13 | +1.64 | 3.16 | 146 | 68 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 68 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 68 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 68 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 68 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | .284 | 5.74 | 18.7% | -4.6% | 22 | +0.95 | 4.12 | 234 | 68 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 68 |
| Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 6.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.46 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 4.8% | .298 | 3.88 | 28.8% | 9.1% | 38 | -2.58 | 3.74 | 171 | 68 |
| Yoan Aybar L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 166 | 67 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.02 | 19.9% | 20.9% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.41 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 47 | -0.61 | 4.00 | 316 | 66 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 66 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.16 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | .275 | 4.98 | 19.5% | -8.3% | 18 | -1.18 | 4.80 | 223 | 66 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.0% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.23 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.68 | 3.88 | 269 | 66 |
| Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.17 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 1.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 183 | 66 |
| Chris Nunn L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 66 |
| Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.28 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.73 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 34 | -1.55 | 3.73 | 152 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 20.9% | 17.6% | 1.31 | 5.77 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |