Carlos Santiago — OGILVIE

Carlos SantiagoSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .221 / .289

PA8

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Robinson	—	176	152	21	3	1	2	21	38	1	4	2	138	247	211	458	72	168	22	12	219	35	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2019	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	237	208	46	12	1	5	20	52	6	5	4	221	308	361	668	139	268	22	8	300	89	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	186	167	28	4	2	5	15	60	1	1	0	168	240	305	546	138	219	32	8	244	51	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	206	194	46	6	1	4	7	61	2	2	1	237	271	340	611	103	318	30	3	270	69	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	73	67	23	10	1	1	5	17	0	1	0	343	389	567	956	224	440	23	7	411	164	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	146	31	9	1	4	15	38	1	5	3	212	290	370	660	158	257	23	9	295	86	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	187	32	8	0	9	13	64	2	4	1	171	233	358	591	187	202	32	6	263	64	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	—	176	160	15	2	1	1	13	55	1	4	2	94	167	138	304	44	127	31	7	146	-15	-24	+0	—	—	+4	-2.1
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	237	216	33	8	1	4	12	75	6	5	4	153	218	255	473	102	199	32	5	202	23	-22	-1	—	—	+5	-1.8
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	186	173	17	2	1	3	9	89	1	1	0	98	148	173	321	75	171	48	5	151	-12	-25	+0	—	—	+4	-2.1
2022	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	206	196	34	4	1	3	5	90	2	2	1	173	202	250	452	77	282	44	2	197	19	-20	+0	—	—	+4	-1.6
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	73	69	16	6	1	1	3	25	0	1	0	232	264	391	655	159	340	34	4	279	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	150	27	8	1	3	11	52	1	5	3	180	241	307	547	127	241	32	7	242	50	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	192	24	6	0	7	8	85	2	4	1	125	168	266	434	141	166	42	4	187	13	-21	+0	—	—	+4	-1.7
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	—	176	160	15	2	1	1	13	55	1	4	2	94	167	138	304	44	133	31	7	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Robinson	—	176	152	21	3	1	2	21	38	1	4	2	138	247	211	458	72	168	22	12	219	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	237	216	33	8	1	4	12	75	6	5	4	153	218	255	473	102	209	32	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	237	208	46	12	1	5	20	52	6	5	4	221	308	361	668	139	268	22	8	300	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	186	173	17	2	1	3	9	89	1	1	0	98	148	173	321	75	167	48	5	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	186	167	28	4	2	5	15	60	1	1	0	168	240	305	546	138	219	32	8	244	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	279	264	49	10	1	4	9	115	2	3	1	186	218	277	495	91	302	41	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	279	261	69	16	2	5	12	78	2	3	1	264	302	398	700	134	352	28	4	307	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	150	27	8	1	3	11	52	1	5	3	180	241	307	547	127	250	32	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	146	31	9	1	4	15	38	1	5	3	212	290	370	660	158	257	23	9	295	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	192	24	6	0	7	8	85	2	4	1	125	168	266	434	141	170	42	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	187	32	8	0	9	13	64	2	4	1	171	233	358	591	187	202	32	6	263	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	—	176	160	15	2	1	1	13	55	1	4	2	94	167	138	304	44	127	31	7	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	237	217	33	8	1	4	12	75	6	5	4	152	218	253	471	101	199	32	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	186	174	17	2	1	3	9	89	1	1	0	98	148	172	320	75	171	48	5	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	279	266	49	10	1	4	9	115	2	3	1	184	218	274	493	90	297	41	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	150	27	8	1	3	11	52	1	5	3	180	241	307	547	127	241	32	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	190	24	6	0	7	8	85	2	4	1	126	168	268	437	142	166	42	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	163	150	27	8	1	3	11	52	1	5	3	180	241	307	547	127	241	32	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	202	190	24	6	0	7	8	85	2	4	1	126	168	268	437	142	166	42	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		218	38	0	231	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	135	125	23	4	1	4	8	42	1	2	1	184	239	328	567	144	226	31	6	242	50	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	41	39	6	1	0	1	2	13	0	1	0	154	195	256	452	103	220	32	5	228	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	39	6	1	0	1	2	13	0	1	0	154	195	256	452	103	200	32	5	228	20	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	618	95	16	0	16	32	206	0	16	0	154	195	257	453	104	199	32	5	228	20	-39	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1386	1288	189	40	6	26	70	516	14	24	12	147	199	248	447	101	215	37	5	198	20	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	89	19	3	12	33	242	7	11	6	147	201	248	449	101	216	37	5	198	20	-39	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Santiago (OGILVIE)	25	20	51	48	37	165/221/289	124	218	3	2	32%	6%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Shackelford 2022 · A	25	32	48→50	50→45	34	176/233/314	138	272	17	5	41%	6%	53	-2.1	185/248/330	145	274	17	9	38%	7%	62	-1.4	175/245/321	146	250	18	10	36%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Jalen Miller 2022 · AA	25	35→43	46→45	47→50	40	189/239/316	127	250	15	12	31%	6%	54	-2.0	207/273/334	127	281	12	15	29%	8%	72	-0.7	195/273/318	122	260	11	20	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jarek Cunningham 2015 · AA	25	38	46→50	45	38	197/246/326	130	256	14	7	29%	5%	59	-1.6	206/263/336	130	301	12	7	34%	6%	68	-1.0	182/246/314	133	287	11	4	38%	7%	54	-1.1
✕Brandon Downes 2018 · A	25	37→35	49→50	48→50	35	193/247/340	147	285	17	10	38%	5%	63	-1.3	197/254/326	129	312	14	10	39%	6%	63	-1.4	158/213/265	108	265	13	10	44%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Taylor Gushue 2019 · AA	25	35	45	42→30	40	185/241/301	117	246	14	2	31%	6%	52	-2.2	212/260/339	127	292	14	3	31%	6%	68	-1.0	199/260/327	128	276	15	0	32%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Gio Brusa 2018 · A	25	38→34	49→50	42→45	37	200/248/346	146	280	17	3	34%	6%	65	-1.2	185/242/335	150	297	18	7	42%	7%	60	-1.6	165/226/318	153	266	19	8	44%	7%	48	-1.8
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/262/318	123	272	12	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	195/256/276	81	271	7	12	29%	7%	51	-2.2	174/234/219	45	240	3	12	27%	6%	28	-2.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2016 · A	25	33→31	45→50	46→30	40	176/236/303	127	243	12	3	32%	6%	51	-2.3	203/258/357	154	270	18	4	31%	6%	72	-0.7	192/244/376	184	234	25	1	30%	5%	68	-0.6
✕David Maroul 2008 · A	25	34→37	49→50	49→40	34	188/229/335	146	259	17	4	35%	4%	55	-1.9	191/231/319	128	282	14	4	36%	4%	52	-2.2	178/214/295	117	265	13	2	37%	4%	36	-1.6
✕Dusty Robinson 2014 · A	24	32→33	49→50	50	36	181/233/321	141	255	19	11	37%	6%	54	-2.0	192/246/317	125	277	14	12	35%	6%	57	-1.8	170/224/288	118	237	14	13	34%	6%	42	-1.3
✕Jake Anchia 2022 · AA	25	33	49→45	47→40	34	182/233/321	138	262	18	3	37%	5%	54	-2.0	187/233/293	106	264	11	4	33%	5%	47	-2.6	173/217/269	96	242	10	3	32%	4%	33	-1.7
✕David Lyon 2015 · A	25	35	44→45	47→30	36	179/238/295	116	288	11	4	40%	6%	49	-2.4	175/245/304	129	303	14	4	44%	8%	55	-2.0	129/214/265	135	216	17	1	46%	9%	33	-1.1
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	37→33	45→50	49→40	38	187/249/317	130	285	12	5	37%	7%	59	-1.7	176/231/307	131	297	16	5	44%	6%	50	-2.3	154/228/294	140	225	19	5	40%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jack Murphy 2013 · AA	25	38	46→45	42→40	44	198/262/324	126	264	14	3	30%	8%	65	-1.2	198/254/303	105	254	10	3	25%	7%	57	-1.8	192/260/268	76	252	7	0	25%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	40→38	43→45	51→45	44	196/268/315	118	277	10	5	32%	8%	65	-1.2	196/254/311	115	290	11	7	34%	7%	59	-1.7	132/172/240	108	193	12	3	39%	4%	10	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1