Alfred Vega

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 169 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ABAL	23	10	66	6.72	4.58	14.6%	11.8%	—	K 10.8% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.28
2024	23	MIX2 levels	10	0	10	9.58	2.33	30.6%	6.1%	—	K 30.6% · BB 6.1% · FIP 2.41
2025	24	MIX3 levels	22	0	34	3.18	2.48	27.1%	13.2%	—	K 21.1% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.28
2027PROJ	26	MLBNYM	18	0	19	4.79	4.79	22.4%	12.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBNYM	10	0	11	4.77	4.78	22.4%	12.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Tyler Yates (age 26) · Taylor Grover (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%22.4%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	14	12	59	250	42	15	5	86%	4.2	11.4%	7.5%	3.9%	2.8%	3.99	4.62	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	14	12	59	250	42	15	5	86%	4.2	16.8%	6.0%	10.8%	2.0%	3.99	3.54	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	8	5	28	129	27	7	2	62%	3.5	14.2%	6.8%	7.4%	2.2%	4.18	3.95	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	8	5	28	129	27	7	2	62%	3.5	20.9%	5.4%	15.5%	1.6%	4.18	2.85	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	7	37	150	46	20	3	58%	3.1	20.5%	16.0%	4.5%	2.1%	1.70	4.56	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	7	37	150	46	20	3	58%	3.1	30.7%	13.3%	17.3%	2.0%	1.70	3.29	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	7	2	16	61	22	4	0	29%	2.2	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	0.0%	1.15	2.07	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	7	2	16	61	22	4	0	29%	2.2	36.1%	6.6%	29.5%	0.0%	1.15	1.06	—
2023	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	10	66	314	46	37	6	43%	2.9	10.8%	13.9%	-3.1%	2.4%	6.72	5.28	—
2023	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	10	66	314	46	37	6	43%	2.9	14.6%	11.8%	2.9%	1.9%	6.72	4.58	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.41	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.41	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.33	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	27.1%	13.2%	13.9%	0.0%	3.18	2.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	NYM	18	0	19	80	18	10	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.9%	9.5%	2.9%	4.79	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	29	0	30	127	29	16	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.6%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.78	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.6%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.6%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.40	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	109	18	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.6%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		96	36	249	1097	172	125	22	38%	2.6	15.7%	11.4%	4.2%	2.0%	4.33	4.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	29	200	880	138	101	17	38%	2.6	15.7%	11.4%	4.2%	2.0%	4.33	4.31	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alfred Vega (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	22.4%	12.9%	2.9%	—	4.78	22.4%	9.8%	30	-0.01	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	76
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	75
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	74
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	74
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	73
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	73
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	72
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	72
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	72
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	72
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	72
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	72
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	71
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	71
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	71
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	71
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	71