Wilfri Castro — OGILVIE

Wilfri CastroC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.4 · 2028

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .269 / .311

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.5M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$-4M	-$8M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Twins	90	78	9	1	0	0	5	23	5	3	2	.115	.216	.128	.344	.013	.164	26	6	.166	-15	-12	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.8
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	118	101	14	3	0	0	14	29	2	0	1	.139	.256	.168	.425	.030	.192	25	12	.206	16	-11	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	69	61	9	1	1	2	6	29	2	0	1	.148	.246	.295	.541	.148	.233	42	9	.252	51	-4	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	62	57	9	1	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	.158	.226	.228	.454	.070	.222	32	8	.201	12	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	16	14	1	1	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	.071	.188	.143	.330	.071	.143	44	6	.137	-37	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
2024	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	78	65	11	2	0	1	11	33	2	0	0	.169	.308	.246	.554	.077	.323	42	14	.243	44	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIN	76	70	14	2	1	1	5	24	1	1	0	.200	.263	.300	.563	.100	.287	32	7	.264	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 10%	MIN	129	117	25	4	1	3	10	39	1	2	0	.214	.281	.342	.623	.128	.290	30	8	.276	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	27	MLB 25%	MIN	220	199	42	7	1	5	17	65	2	3	1	.211	.280	.332	.611	.121	.290	30	8	.280	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2029	28	MLB 36%	MIN	283	256	55	10	2	6	22	84	3	4	1	.215	.285	.340	.625	.125	.290	30	8	.281	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2030	29	MLB 50%	MIN	319	288	62	11	2	7	25	95	3	4	1	.215	.285	.340	.625	.125	.289	30	8	.280	72	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2031	30	MLB 68%	MIN	342	309	64	11	2	7	27	103	3	3	0	.207	.277	.324	.601	.117	.288	30	8	.277	70	-12	+1	-2	+6	+10	0.3
2032	31	MLB 85%	MIN	332	300	63	11	2	7	26	101	3	2	0	.210	.280	.330	.610	.120	.286	30	8	.273	67	-12	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.1
2033	32	MLB	MIN	314	283	58	10	2	6	25	97	3	0	0	.205	.277	.318	.595	.113	.285	31	8	.268	64	-13	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.2
2034	33	MLB	MIN	282	255	52	9	2	5	22	89	3	0	0	.204	.275	.314	.589	.110	.283	32	8	.263	60	-13	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	MIN	238	216	42	7	1	4	18	77	2	0	0	.194	.263	.292	.554	.097	.281	32	8	.257	55	-12	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2968	2669	530	91	17	55	239	915	36	22	7	.199	.273	.307	.581	.109	.277	31	8	.263	60	-135	+2	-20	+53	+84	-1.7
/ 162G	—			650	585	116	20	4	12	52	200	8	5	2	.198	.273	.308	.581	.109	.277	31	8	.263	60	-30	+0	-4	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Twins	90	75	12	2	0	0	8	16	5	3	2	.160	.284	.187	.471	.027	.203	18	9	.232	36	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	118	92	18	4	0	0	23	20	2	0	1	.196	.368	.239	.607	.043	.247	17	19	.299	87	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	69	58	15	2	2	3	9	20	2	0	1	.259	.377	.517	.894	.259	.343	29	13	.392	158	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	62	54	12	1	0	2	8	14	0	0	0	.222	.323	.352	.674	.130	.263	23	13	.309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	16	13	1	1	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	.077	.250	.154	.404	.077	.125	31	12	.213	22	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	78	62	14	2	0	1	14	23	2	0	0	.226	.385	.306	.691	.081	.342	29	18	.331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wilfri Castro (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	.204/.269/.311	.107	.287	1	1	31%	7%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→50	49→40	42	.201/.266/.309	.108	.276	11	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	.189/.244/.301	.112	.256	13	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	.179/.231/.285	.106	.239	13	2	31%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	46	.191/.291/.300	.109	.275	9	9	31%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.285/.288	.092	.287	7	7	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.183/.273/.260	.077	.276	6	4	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	51→50	44	.199/.282/.323	.124	.278	13	13	32%	8%	70	-0.3	.204/.293/.301	.097	.284	9	11	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.289/.271	.075	.275	6	10	28%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→37	43→50	50	38	.211/.270/.324	.114	.293	10	12	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.213/.281/.365	.152	.300	18	9	34%	7%	80	+0.4	.204/.280/.377	.174	.281	22	7	34%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	44→50	50→55	36	.205/.260/.331	.127	.294	11	10	33%	5%	62	-0.9	.206/.269/.330	.124	.284	12	14	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.186/.256/.313	.126	.245	15	21	29%	4%	53	-0.5
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	39	44→50	52→40	37	.199/.253/.310	.111	.281	12	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.218/.267/.360	.142	.278	18	5	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.215/.261/.361	.146	.264	20	2	27%	5%	67	-0.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	39	41→45	48→30	44	.192/.259/.283	.091	.263	8	6	29%	8%	49	-1.8	.208/.276/.329	.121	.293	14	3	32%	8%	68	-0.5	.201/.273/.323	.122	.280	15	1	32%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	39→48	42→45	52→45	43	.195/.263/.294	.099	.270	10	12	30%	7%	53	-1.5	.210/.281/.310	.100	.285	7	8	27%	8%	65	-0.7	.207/.282/.309	.102	.279	6	6	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	44→46	44→45	51→50	45	.214/.283/.334	.120	.278	10	12	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.289/.338	.109	.309	9	9	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.230/.289/.325	.094	.319	7	7	28%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→45	45	49→40	41	.211/.275/.335	.124	.295	13	6	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.225/.281/.350	.125	.306	13	5	29%	6%	76	+0.0	.232/.286/.359	.127	.311	13	3	29%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Vito Friscia 2022 · A	25	45	42→45	51→40	44	.212/.289/.319	.107	.324	10	5	35%	9%	71	-0.3	.213/.297/.339	.126	.316	13	4	34%	10%	80	+0.4	.194/.287/.324	.130	.279	14	0	33%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Seth Bynum 2006 · A	25	44	43→55	50	44	.215/.273/.334	.119	.280	10	9	26%	7%	67	-0.5	.212/.267/.314	.102	.292	9	9	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.219/.261/.365	.147	.289	18	5	31%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Brent Diaz 2021 · A	25	43	42→45	47→45	47	.207/.290/.314	.107	.289	10	9	30%	9%	70	-0.3	.205/.275/.326	.121	.305	14	8	35%	6%	68	-0.5	.179/.249/.295	.116	.268	16	7	38%	5%	45	-0.7
✕Bennett Hostetler 2023 · A	25	43→39	44→45	50→45	38	.215/.274/.328	.112	.291	12	6	30%	5%	67	-0.5	.202/.267/.321	.119	.293	13	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	.181/.251/.292	.111	.278	12	13	37%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	44→46	44→50	47→50	45	.217/.285/.334	.117	.296	11	11	30%	8%	72	-0.2	.209/.271/.328	.119	.315	13	9	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.250/.296	.105	.307	11	7	39%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	50→30	41	.211/.258/.321	.110	.276	11	8	28%	6%	57	-1.2	.240/.292/.325	.085	.299	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.2	.242/.299/.328	.086	.289	8	1	18%	5%	74	-0.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	37	42→55	52→40	39	.188/.235/.290	.102	.252	10	7	29%	5%	40	-2.4	.209/.253/.332	.123	.291	13	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.191/.236/.303	.112	.269	12	1	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	.205/.269/.327	.122	.280	11	10	30%	7%	65	-0.7	.196/.267/.342	.146	.271	17	7	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Zach Wright 2015 · A	25	43→45	44→45	44→40	42	.212/.278/.325	.113	.296	13	5	31%	7%	68	-0.5	.201/.275/.315	.114	.289	11	8	32%	7%	64	-0.8	.152/.251/.261	.109	.214	9	9	31%	8%	39	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)