Wilfri Castro — OGILVIE

Wilfri CastroC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .272 / .280

PA76

HR1

K%35

BB%9

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	90	78	9	1	0	0	5	23	5	3	2	115	216	128	344	13	164	26	6	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	90	75	12	2	0	0	8	16	5	3	2	160	284	187	471	27	203	18	9	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	118	101	14	3	0	0	14	29	2	0	1	139	256	168	425	30	192	25	12	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	118	92	18	4	0	0	23	20	2	0	1	196	368	239	607	43	247	17	19	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	69	61	9	1	1	2	6	29	2	0	1	148	246	295	541	148	233	42	9	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	69	58	15	2	2	3	9	20	2	0	1	259	377	517	894	259	343	29	13	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	62	57	9	1	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	158	226	228	454	70	222	32	8	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	62	54	12	1	0	2	8	14	0	0	0	222	323	352	674	130	263	23	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	14	1	1	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	71	188	143	330	71	143	44	6	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	13	1	1	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	77	250	154	404	77	125	31	12	213	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	78	65	10	2	0	1	11	33	2	0	0	154	295	231	526	77	290	42	14	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	78	62	14	2	0	1	14	23	2	0	0	226	385	306	691	81	342	29	18	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIN	—	76	68	12	2	0	1	7	26	1	1	0	176	263	250	513	74	287	34	9	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIN	30%	129	115	23	4	1	2	11	43	2	1	1	200	281	304	586	104	288	33	9	265	61	-6	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIN	42%	220	195	39	7	1	4	20	72	3	2	1	200	284	308	592	108	288	33	9	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2029	28	MLB	MIN	48%	283	251	50	9	1	5	26	91	4	3	1	199	285	303	587	104	288	32	9	271	65	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIN	30%	39	35	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	200	282	314	596	114	288	33	8	254	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	MIN	42%	91	82	16	3	0	2	8	30	1	1	0	195	275	305	580	110	288	33	9	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	MIN	48%	135	120	23	4	1	2	12	44	2	1	1	192	276	292	568	100	288	33	9	261	58	-6	-0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	265	237	46	8	1	5	23	87	4	2	1	194	277	300	576	105	281	33	9	259	56	-13	+0	-0	+5	+8	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	112	20	2	12	56	213	10	5	2	193	275	296	571	103	279	33	9	259	56	-32	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	1141	1005	176	31	4	16	106	373	22	10	7	175	268	262	530	87	258	33	9	245	46	-70	-1	-1	+20	+32	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	100	18	2	9	60	212	13	6	4	175	268	260	528	86	257	33	9	245	46	-40	-0	-0	+12	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	90	75	12	2	0	0	8	16	5	3	2	160	284	187	471	27	203	18	9	232	36	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2019	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	118	92	18	4	0	0	23	20	2	0	1	196	368	239	607	43	247	17	19	299	87	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	69	58	15	2	2	3	9	20	2	0	1	259	377	517	894	259	343	29	13	392	158	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	62	54	12	1	0	2	8	14	0	0	0	222	323	352	674	130	263	23	13	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	13	1	1	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	77	250	154	404	77	125	31	12	213	22	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	78	62	14	2	0	1	14	23	2	0	0	226	385	306	691	81	342	29	18	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	341	6	4	197	279	302	+6	+8	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	11	7	197	279	302	+11.9	+15.6	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wilfri Castro (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	187/272/280	93	287	1	1	35%	9%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	38	39→50	46→40	45	176/267/267	91	296	6	5	39%	10%	49	-1.8	176/261/281	105	305	10	5	42%	9%	50	-1.7	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	184/255/268	84	265	6	3	31%	8%	43	-2.2	205/267/336	131	295	16	4	34%	8%	66	-0.6	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	38→29	41→45	47→40	35	180/250/276	96	308	9	4	42%	6%	43	-2.2	181/265/295	114	265	15	5	35%	7%	56	-1.3	170/263/287	117	236	17	3	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0