Alan Mundo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Alan Mundo P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%21.7%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	16	4	34	161	29	24	4	25%	2.1	12.2%	18.6%	-6.4%	3.5%	6.09	6.34	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	16	4	34	161	29	24	4	25%	2.1	18.0%	14.9%	3.1%	2.5%	6.09	5.04	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	20	102	26	17	1	0%	1.2	19.2%	19.1%	0.1%	0.0%	6.86	3.90	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	20	102	26	17	1	0%	1.2	25.5%	16.7%	8.8%	1.0%	6.86	3.71	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	55	237	81	21	2	0%	1.7	24.4%	11.5%	13.0%	0.0%	2.29	2.49	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	55	237	81	21	2	0%	1.7	34.2%	8.9%	25.3%	0.8%	2.29	1.77	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	139	28	26	2	0%	1.3	15.4%	21.3%	-5.9%	2.2%	10.41	5.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	139	28	26	2	0%	1.3	15.4%	21.3%	-5.9%	2.2%	10.41	5.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	28	139	28	26	2	0%	1.3	20.1%	18.7%	1.4%	1.4%	10.41	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.7%	13.1%	8.6%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.90	4.92	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.90	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.90	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.8%	9.1%	3.0%	4.90	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		86	4	136	639	119	106	9	5%	1.6	18.6%	16.6%	1.9%	1.4%	5.55	4.38	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	6	200	937	174	156	13	5%	1.6	18.6%	16.6%	1.9%	1.4%	5.55	4.38	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alan Mundo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	21.7%	13.1%	3.0%	—	4.92	21.9%	9.1%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	84
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	83
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	83
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	82
Manny Acosta R 2007 · 4.05 FIP	26	SU	4.05	23.7%	14.0%	2.1%	.196	4.23	19.0%	9.1%	130	+0.18	3.08	350	82