Alejandro Melean

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	17	13	62	3.34	3.87	23.1%	9.8%	—	K 18.2% · BB 10.9% · FIP 4.77
2023	22	AATOR	25	6	63	4.41	4.38	22.1%	12.1%	—	K 17.9% · BB 13.3% · FIP 5.10
2024	23	AATOR	8	0	18	7.50	5.66	12.8%	11.5%	—	K 10.4% · BB 12.7% · FIP 6.04
2027PROJ	26	MLBTOR	10	0	11	4.63	4.63	20.9%	10.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBTOR	8	0	8	4.62	4.64	21.2%	10.0%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Mitch Neunborn (age 26) · Jose Samayoa (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%20.9%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	9	7	33	156	31	22	5	78%	3.6	13.5%	17.6%	-4.1%	4.5%	4.68	6.65	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	9	7	33	156	31	22	5	78%	3.6	19.9%	14.1%	5.8%	3.2%	4.68	5.21	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	82	382	92	36	12	61%	3.6	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	4.1%	5.16	5.23	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	14	82	382	92	36	12	61%	3.6	24.1%	9.4%	14.7%	3.1%	5.16	4.08	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	62	255	59	25	7	76%	3.6	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	3.3%	3.34	4.77	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	13	62	255	59	25	7	76%	3.6	23.1%	9.8%	13.3%	2.7%	3.34	3.87	—
2023	22	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	25	6	63	289	64	35	8	24%	2.5	17.9%	13.3%	4.6%	3.3%	4.41	5.10	—
2023	22	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	25	6	63	289	64	35	8	24%	2.5	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	2.8%	4.41	4.38	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	8	0	18	78	10	9	3	0%	2.2	10.4%	12.7%	-2.3%	4.0%	7.50	6.04	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	8	0	18	78	10	9	3	0%	2.2	10.4%	12.7%	-2.3%	4.0%	7.50	6.04	—
2024	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	8	0	18	78	10	9	3	0%	2.2	12.8%	11.5%	1.3%	3.8%	7.50	5.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TOR	10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.0%	11.0%	3.0%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.62	4.64	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.62	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	3	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.62	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	80	27	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.62	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		82	40	258	1160	196	146	44	49%	3.1	16.9%	12.6%	4.3%	3.8%	4.64	5.34	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	31	200	899	152	113	34	49%	3.1	16.9%	12.6%	4.3%	3.8%	4.64	5.34	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alejandro Melean (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	20.9%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.64	21.2%	11.2%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	78
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	75
P.J. Walters R 2010 · 4.93 FIP	25	SW	4.93	17.1%	7.8%	4.2%	.293	5.05	14.1%	5.6%	101	+0.12	3.97	230	74
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	73
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	72
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	71
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	71
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	71
Jake Walkinshaw R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	17.5%	6.4%	4.0%	.296	4.82	13.1%	3.7%	116	+0.21	2.84	310	71
Sam Lewis R 2018 · 4.33 FIP	26	SW	4.33	16.7%	9.6%	2.6%	.323	3.41	21.0%	10.2%	48	-0.92	2.21	224	71
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	71
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	70
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	70
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	70
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	70
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	69
Jimmy Endersby R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	17.3%	8.0%	3.4%	.257	2.86	17.2%	12.8%	36	-1.68	2.86	357	69
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	69