Dante Mendoza prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Dante Mendoza P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 186 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%23.4%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	3	2	3	17	2	2	0	67%	1.0	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	6.00	3.60	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	3	2	3	17	2	2	0	67%	1.0	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	6.00	3.77	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	10	3	37	169	37	19	5	30%	3.7	14.9%	14.1%	0.8%	4.1%	4.58	5.90	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Indians 1	10	3	37	169	37	19	5	30%	3.7	21.9%	11.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.58	4.39	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Gold	3	2	4	18	6	2	1	67%	1.2	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	5.6%	7.36	4.74	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Gold	3	2	4	18	6	2	1	67%	1.2	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	5.6%	7.36	5.01	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	34	140	46	16	5	0%	1.3	23.8%	14.4%	9.4%	1.0%	2.94	3.47	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	34	140	46	16	5	0%	1.3	32.9%	11.4%	21.4%	3.6%	2.94	3.72	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	209	64	29	1	0%	1.4	23.6%	16.0%	7.6%	0.5%	3.13	3.40	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	209	64	29	1	0%	1.4	23.6%	16.0%	7.6%	0.5%	3.13	3.40	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	34	0	46	209	64	29	1	0%	1.4	30.6%	13.9%	16.7%	0.5%	3.13	2.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4%	12.0%	11.4%	2.9%	4.63	4.63	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PIT	25	0	27	112	26	13	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.69	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	PIT	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	205	103	21	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		76	7	124	553	116	81	10	9%	1.6	20.9%	14.7%	6.2%	1.9%	3.71	4.23	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	11	200	894	187	131	17	9%	1.6	20.9%	14.7%	6.2%	1.9%	3.71	4.23	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dante Mendoza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	23.4%	12.0%	2.9%	—	4.69	23.3%	11.4%	27	+0.06	—	—	—
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	83
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.80	21.7%	10.2%	69	+0.87	3.84	181	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	83
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	82
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	81
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	81
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.38	554	80
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	80
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	80
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	23.4%	12.0%	1.15	4.64
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76