Nelson Velázquez

RF Memphis Redbirds
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
AAA40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425MLBKC230.200/.278/.3668284-0.7
202526AAAPIT210.234/.311/.44711555—.184/.234/.337
202526INTLPuerto Rico207.279/.359/.41044120—
202627MLBHOU113.188/.261/.4066083-0.3
2027PROJ45% MLB28MLBSTL144.211/.284/.3795288-0.1
2028PROJ53% MLB29MLBSTL181.209/.281/.3737286-0.2
2029PROJ58% MLB30MLBSTL204.206/.277/.3657283-0.3
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028
2027Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2026
Barrel%90
Chase%89
xwOBA73
Avg EV72
Bat Spd69
Speed52
CompsWeston Wilson (age 27) · Stone Garrett (age 28) · Mike Wilson (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9288vR 77
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .284 / .379
PA144
HR5
K%30
BB%8
BABIP266
ISO154
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +7.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.3-0.2-0.3272829
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026
CONTACT40
Whiff%
4012.1%
xAVG
230.229
POWER50
Barrel%
9014.2
Avg EV
7290.6
Bat Spd
6973.4
EYE55
Chase%
8924.1%
SPEED50
Sprint
5227.6
Platoon Splits2024 · 230 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
70
160
—
wRC+
105
66
◀◀L
wOBA
324
266
◀◀L
ISO
133
179
▶▶R
BABIP
342
194
◀◀L
K%
27.1%
26.2%
▶R
BB%
11.4%
6.9%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2022
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$2M+0.1$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKAZL Cubs — 125109 26528 15391 52 239336541877 303290 3112 380 45 — — — — — —
201819 ASouth Bend Cubs — 120112 21100 7431 30 188242196438 9304 366 208 -7 — — — — — —
201920 ASouth Bend Cubs — 285262 751644 21770 53 286339424763 137390 277 337 52 — — — — — —
201920 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 2119 6102 250 00 3163816841.065 368333 2410 455 90 — — — — — —
201920 INTLCriollos de Caguas — 1514 1000 180 00 7113371205 167 537 107 -42 — — — — — —
202122 AATennessee Smokies — 137124 361018 10353 50 290358581938 290346 267 406 97 — — — — — —
202122 A+South Bend Cubs — 288261 6813112 20974 122 261323456779 195364 347 341 53 — — — — — —
202122 INTLPuerto Rico — 201175 549111 24562 42 309398560958 251398 2812 419 169 — — — — — —
202223 MLBChicago Cubs — 206185 38736 19652 52 205286373659 168281 329 296 85 -4 +0 -3 +2 +4 -0.0
202223 AAAIowa Cubs — 138123 26706 13501 72 211292415707 203294 369 312 49 — — — — — —
202223 AATennessee Smokies — 9480 23419 14330 52 2873947001.094 412368 3515 462 120 — — — — — —
202324 MLBKansas City Royals — 179162 386017 14512 00 235303586890 352221 288 379 154 +12 +0 -3 -7 +4 0.5
202324 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 353314 7515016 331034 93 239319439759 201299 299 335 65 — — — — — —
202324 INTLPuerto Rico — 111101 30614 10180 61 297360495855 198329 169 377 141 — — — — — —
202425 MLBKansas City Royals — 230205 41818 19613 20 200278366643 166237 278 286 84 -4 +0 -2 -6 +5 -0.7
202425 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 225188 451017 34471 63 239359415774 176279 2115 346 70 — — — — — —
202425 INTLCriollos de Caguas — 8165 16503 14141 32 246388462849 215265 1717 375 140 — — — — — —
202526 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 210188 445111 21490 51 234311447758 213256 2310 333 55 — — — — — —
202526 INTLPuerto Rico — 207183 511204 23390 41 279359410769 131336 1911 345 120 — — — — — —
202627 MLBHouston Astros — 113101 19406 9381 00 188261406667 218220 348 290 83 -2 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.3
202627 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 163138 32507 22482 40 232346420766 188298 2913 343 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 728653 13625437 612158 72 208284429713 221243 308 312 97 -2 +1 -8 -14 +16 -0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 125115 16315 9561 52 139208313521 174211 457 235 45 — — — — — —
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 120114 17100 5581 30 149192158350 9297 484 158 -7 — — — — — —
201920 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 285268 571133 151080 53 213254310564 97336 385 245 52 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 2 — 2120 4101 170 00 200238400638 200251 335 301 90 — — — — — —
202122 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 137127 30816 7433 50 236292457749 220304 315 311 97 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 288270 52919 111294 122 193235333568 141307 454 247 53 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 206185 38736 19652 52 205286373659 168281 329 293 85 -4 +0 -3 +2 +4 -0.0
202223 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 138127 22604 9611 72 173234315549 142280 447 241 49 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 9485 20417 9420 52 235309553861 318337 4510 346 120 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 179162 396018 14512 00 241309611920 370221 288 396 154 +12 +0 -3 -7 +4 0.5
202324 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 353325 6412012 221244 93 197256345601 148272 356 264 65 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 230205 42819 19613 20 205282385667 180237 278 292 84 -4 +0 -2 -6 +5 -0.7
202425 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 225200 41915 22581 63 205287335622 130251 2610 272 70 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 210196 36418 13610 51 184234337571 153217 296 249 55 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 113101 19406 9381 00 188261406667 218220 348 290 83 -2 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.3
202627 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 163145 26405 15582 40 179265310576 131251 369 256 59 — — — — — —
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 125115 16315 9561 52 139208313521 174204 457 235 45 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWAZL Cubs — 125109 26528 15391 52 239336541877 303290 3112 380 45 — — — — — —
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 120114 17100 5581 30 149192158350 9304 484 158 -7 — — — — — —
201819 A RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 120112 21100 7431 30 188242196438 9304 366 208 -7 — — — — — —
201920 A MLE3 teams — 321302 641235 171210 53 212254321575 109333 385 249 55 — — — — — —
201920 A RAW3 teams — 321295 821746 24900 53 278332424756 146380 287 334 55 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE3 teams — 626588 11924222 262549 214 202247362609 160309 414 268 67 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAW3 teams — 626560 15832331 541889 214 282355516871 234370 309 380 67 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE3 teams — 438397 7816317 371683 176 196270380650 184286 388 288 81 -10 +1 -3 +2 +9 -0.1
202223 MLB RAW3 teams — 438388 8718421 461483 176 224311454765 229300 3411 337 81 -10 +1 -3 +2 +9 -0.1
202324 AAA MLE3 teams — 643590 12522036 442126 154 212273432706 220258 337 308 95 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAW3 teams — 643577 14327137 571726 154 248322490812 243286 279 355 95 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 536477 9720216 481405 115 203283354637 151248 269 282 77 -15 +0 -2 -6 +12 -1.1
202425 MLB RAW3 teams — 536458 10223218 671225 115 223328400728 177259 2312 325 77 -15 +0 -2 -6 +12 -1.1
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 417389 728216 261210 92 185236339575 154221 296 249 55 — — — — — —
202526 AAA RAW2 teams — 417371 9517115 44880 92 256335429764 173297 2111 339 55 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 276246 458011 24963 40 183264350613 167239 359 270 69 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAW2 teams — 276239 519013 31863 40 213311414726 201266 3111 321 69 — — — — — —
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 125114 16315 9561 52 140208316524 175211 457 235 45 — — — — — —
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 120113 17100 5581 30 150192159351 9297 484 158 -7 — — — — — —
201920 A MLE3 teams — 321301 641235 171210 53 213254322576 110330 385 249 55 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE3 teams — 626586 11924222 262549 214 203247363611 160306 414 268 67 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE3 teams — 438395 7816317 371683 176 197270382652 185293 388 288 81 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE3 teams — 643588 12522036 442126 154 213273434707 221255 337 308 95 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 536478 9720216 481405 115 203283354637 151244 269 282 77 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 417388 728216 261210 92 186236340576 155217 296 249 55 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 276247 458011 24963 40 182264348612 166238 359 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 536478 9720216 481405 115 203283354637 151244 269 282 77 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLE2 teams — 417388 728216 261210 92 186236340576 155217 296 249 55 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 276247 458011 24963 40 182264348612 166238 359 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLESTL 45% 321288 6110113 27953 51 213285388674 176265 308 299 88 -4 +1 -0 -3 +7 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXSTL 45% 144130 27505 12431 21 211284379663 168266 308 295 88 -2 +0 -0 -2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLESTL 53% 341307 6411113 281023 41 210283382664 172263 308 295 86 -6 +0 -2 -4 +7 -0.3
202930 MLB MLESTL 58% 353318 6611113 291073 31 207279374652 167261 308 290 83 -7 +0 -2 -4 +8 -0.6
202829 MLB CTXSTL 53% 181163 35617 15541 21 209281373654 164264 308 291 86 -3 +0 -1 -2 +4 -0.2
202930 MLB CTXSTL 58% 204184 38717 17621 21 206277365642 159262 308 286 83 -4 +0 -1 -2 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11131000 20938651 9333110 114 209283412695 203252 308 304 73 -9 +1 -11 -18 +24 -1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 12322430 541936 62 211284416700 205254 308 304 73 -6 +0 -6 -11 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 45174131 82414616167 320153037 10229 199263364627 164267 347 276 73 -20 +2 -13 -25 +38 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 11821224 462205 154 199262362624 163266 347 276 73 -7 +1 -5 -9 +14 -0.7