Shane McGuire — OGILVIE

Shane McGuireC Midland RockHounds

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.8 · 2027

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .296 / .302

PA250

HR4

K%27

BB%10

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

56↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	61	53	11	2	0	0	4	16	1	1	0	.208	.276	.245	.521	.038	.275	26	7	.249	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2022	23	A	2 teams	358	304	71	10	2	2	40	77	10	6	2	.234	.342	.299	.641	.066	.301	22	11	.292	82	-7	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.0
2023	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	396	348	67	11	1	4	37	116	6	3	2	.193	.281	.264	.546	.072	.273	29	9	.244	45	-25	-0	+0	+7	+11	-0.7
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	297	262	52	11	0	4	31	69	2	6	1	.198	.288	.286	.574	.088	.253	23	10	.257	55	-15	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2025	26	AA	2 teams	361	320	70	11	0	5	34	99	5	7	2	.219	.304	.300	.604	.081	.300	27	9	.273	67	-14	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AA	Midland RockHounds	35	31	8	2	0	2	2	10	2	0	0	.258	.343	.516	.859	.258	.316	29	6	.354	129	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	27	MLB	OAK	215	190	41	8	0	4	20	58	3	3	1	.216	.300	.321	.622	.105	.286	27	9	.284	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
TOT	27	MLB	OAK	250	221	49	10	0	6	22	68	5	3	1	.222	.306	.348	.655	.127	.291	27	9	.293	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 9%	OAK	333	293	65	13	1	6	32	81	5	4	1	.222	.309	.334	.644	.113	.281	24	10	.290	80	-7	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.8
2028	29	MLB 19%	OAK	352	311	69	13	1	7	33	87	5	4	1	.222	.307	.338	.644	.116	.281	25	9	.291	81	-8	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.8
2029	30	MLB 29%	OAK	363	321	71	14	1	7	34	90	5	4	1	.221	.306	.336	.642	.115	.280	25	9	.289	79	-8	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.7
2030	31	MLB 40%	OAK	347	306	67	13	1	6	33	87	5	2	0	.219	.305	.327	.632	.108	.279	25	10	.286	77	-9	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.5
2031	32	MLB 49%	OAK	324	286	62	12	1	6	31	83	4	1	0	.217	.302	.329	.631	.112	.277	26	10	.282	74	-10	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.2
2032	33	MLB 57%	OAK	289	256	53	10	0	5	27	76	4	1	0	.207	.293	.305	.597	.098	.276	26	9	.276	70	-10	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.1
2033	34	MLB 75%	OAK	244	216	44	8	0	4	23	67	3	0	0	.204	.289	.296	.586	.093	.274	27	9	.270	65	-10	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3940	3466	743	136	8	60	379	1006	58	42	11	.214	.302	.310	.612	.096	.282	26	10	.277	70	-132	+4	-20	+70	+112	3.5
/ 162G	—			650	572	122	22	1	10	63	166	10	7	2	.213	.303	.308	.610	.094	.280	26	10	.277	70	-22	+1	-3	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	61	50	14	3	0	0	7	11	1	1	0	.280	.379	.340	.719	.060	.333	18	11	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	142	110	26	5	1	1	26	18	4	2	0	.236	.400	.327	.727	.091	.269	13	18	.341	119	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	23	A	Stockton Ports	216	176	51	7	2	1	32	42	6	4	2	.290	.416	.369	.785	.080	.370	19	15	.362	135	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	396	330	75	13	1	4	55	87	6	3	2	.227	.348	.309	.657	.082	.293	22	14	.306	92	-4	-0	—	—	+11	0.8
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	297	248	59	14	0	4	45	52	2	6	1	.238	.359	.343	.702	.105	.285	18	15	.324	106	+2	+1	—	—	+8	1.2
2025	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	120	102	28	6	0	2	15	30	1	5	1	.275	.370	.392	.762	.118	.366	25	12	.343	121	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	26	AA	Midland RockHounds	241	200	53	8	0	4	36	47	4	2	1	.265	.388	.365	.752	.100	.329	20	15	.348	124	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane McGuire (OGILVIE)	27	50	35	45	60	.211/.296/.302	.091	.285	4	4	27%	10%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Garcia 2017 · MLB	27	52→53	39→40	48→50	51	.245/.325/.333	.087	.312	6	11	22%	9%	89	+1.0	.245/.340/.339	.094	.310	7	7	21%	11%	98	+1.6	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Carlos Asuaje 2019 · MLB	27	50→56	40→45	45	50	.238/.305/.339	.100	.288	7	4	19%	8%	82	+0.5	.218/.290/.321	.103	.266	8	6	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.207/.281/.300	.093	.250	6	8	19%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Vimael Machín 2021 · MLB	27	46→55	41→45	48→45	51	.221/.290/.317	.096	.263	8	6	19%	8%	70	-0.3	.231/.297/.337	.106	.280	9	4	20%	8%	79	+0.3	.243/.302/.358	.114	.288	11	7	19%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Marco Rivera 2010 · AAA	26	47	42→40	41→40	49	.230/.293/.333	.103	.277	10	7	21%	8%	76	+0.0	.241/.289/.334	.093	.295	9	7	20%	6%	73	-0.1	.261/.297/.323	.062	.319	5	2	19%	4%	73	-0.0
✕James Skelton 2012 · AA	26	44→54	39→40	49→50	55	.210/.302/.301	.091	.276	6	12	25%	12%	72	-0.2	.232/.322/.325	.093	.302	6	10	23%	11%	86	+0.8	.263/.375/.312	.049	.336	0	4	19%	13%	105	+0.4
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2021 · MLB	27	46→49	41→45	45→50	42	.224/.270/.325	.101	.297	8	9	27%	6%	63	-0.8	.205/.266/.309	.104	.290	10	16	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.140/.224/.229	.089	.198	11	18	34%	10%	17	-0.9
✕José Godoy 2021 · AAA	26	48	42→45	46→30	46	.234/.298/.338	.104	.289	9	5	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.226/.272/.329	.103	.293	11	4	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.221/.267/.317	.095	.284	12	2	26%	5%	57	-0.5
✕Beau Taylor 2017 · AA	27	44→46	41→45	43→30	45	.212/.280/.307	.095	.301	8	3	31%	8%	63	-0.8	.221/.295/.322	.101	.316	9	3	30%	9%	74	-0.1	.215/.303/.325	.110	.307	10	1	31%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	40→43	40	47→50	48	.195/.276/.291	.096	.272	7	11	29%	10%	59	-1.1	.196/.286/.314	.118	.276	10	11	30%	11%	69	-0.4	.155/.271/.269	.114	.221	9	6	31%	13%	51	-0.4
✕Casey Benjamin 2008 · AA	27	48→52	43→45	48→45	52	.230/.298/.343	.113	.272	9	7	19%	8%	80	+0.4	.214/.284/.321	.107	.269	10	6	23%	9%	69	-0.4	.198/.277/.292	.094	.256	10	4	25%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Josh Horton 2013 · AAA	27	48→54	41→45	44→45	43	.231/.280/.330	.099	.292	9	6	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.238/.275/.346	.108	.313	8	7	25%	5%	70	-0.3	.262/.286/.368	.106	.335	5	4	23%	3%	76	+0.1
✕Tyler LaTorre 2010 · AA	27	50	39→40	42→40	49	.234/.301/.321	.087	.309	6	6	25%	9%	76	+0.0	.215/.281/.308	.093	.298	7	4	28%	8%	64	-0.8	.237/.294/.324	.087	.313	7	3	25%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Bryson Brigman 2022 · AAA	27	50→59	40	47→50	48	.240/.298/.335	.095	.295	6	10	20%	7%	78	+0.2	.235/.285/.333	.098	.298	8	11	23%	6%	72	-0.2	.239/.295/.315	.076	.296	6	12	20%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2015 · AAA	27	48→53	39→40	43→45	44	.228/.276/.319	.091	.289	5	7	22%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.264/.300	.083	.290	5	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.215/.263/.287	.071	.291	3	3	26%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Jan Vázquez 2018 · AAA	27	47	41→40	45	44	.225/.296/.323	.097	.299	8	9	26%	7%	75	-0.0	.220/.296/.330	.110	.300	11	7	28%	7%	77	+0.1	.177/.272/.265	.088	.252	9	0	31%	8%	50	-0.5
✕Luis Martinez 2012 · MLB	27	53→57	38→40	47→40	47	.250/.311/.334	.083	.324	5	5	23%	7%	82	+0.5	.234/.290/.325	.091	.305	5	4	23%	7%	72	-0.2	.223/.280/.312	.089	.287	4	0	22%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Dan Gamache 2018 · AAA	27	51→52	40	39→45	43	.244/.289/.339	.095	.318	8	3	25%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.288/.310	.085	.315	6	4	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.215/.287/.280	.065	.307	4	1	29%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Drew Macias 2010 · MLB	27	45→52	43→45	45→50	53	.221/.299/.333	.112	.262	10	9	19%	9%	79	+0.3	.212/.294/.317	.105	.261	9	11	21%	9%	72	-0.2	.198/.294/.291	.093	.247	8	15	22%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Gosuke Katoh 2022 · AAA	27	47→49	43→45	48→50	45	.227/.291/.338	.110	.315	10	12	30%	8%	76	+0.1	.215/.274/.338	.123	.287	12	11	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.188/.247/.313	.124	.242	13	11	28%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Nate Mondou 2022 · AAA	27	43→53	42→45	40→50	47	.209/.279/.308	.100	.259	9	5	23%	8%	64	-0.8	.220/.294/.334	.114	.280	9	6	23%	8%	76	+0.1	.227/.303/.326	.099	.291	8	9	23%	9%	76	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)