Robinson Piña
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%18.7%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (43%)
FB (61%)
SL-0.8 (15%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 15 | 11 | 51 | 214 | 47 | 24 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 3.61 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 15 | 11 | 51 | 214 | 47 | 24 | 0 | 73% | 3.4 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 2.67 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 19 | 1 | 44 | 191 | 61 | 19 | 1 | 5% | 2.3 | 21.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 0.7% | 3.48 | 3.24 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 19 | 1 | 44 | 191 | 61 | 19 | 1 | 5% | 2.3 | 31.9% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 0.5% | 3.48 | 1.92 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Burlington Bees | 26 | 21 | 108 | 475 | 146 | 61 | 5 | 81% | 4.2 | 22.7% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 3.83 | 3.92 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Burlington Bees | 26 | 21 | 108 | 475 | 146 | 61 | 5 | 81% | 4.2 | 30.7% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 1.1% | 3.83 | 2.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 95 | 411 | 140 | 56 | 13 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.2% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.44 | 4.73 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 95 | 411 | 140 | 56 | 13 | 100% | 4.5 | 34.1% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 3.70 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 15 | 85 | 362 | 122 | 31 | 11 | 71% | 4.1 | 26.9% | 8.2% | 18.7% | 4.2% | 4.43 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 15 | 85 | 362 | 122 | 31 | 11 | 71% | 4.1 | 33.7% | 8.6% | 25.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 3.01 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 11 | 97 | 421 | 90 | 55 | 5 | 32% | 2.9 | 15.8% | 14.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 4.07 | 4.47 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 11 | 97 | 421 | 90 | 55 | 5 | 32% | 2.9 | 21.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 1.2% | 4.07 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 129 | 552 | 132 | 27 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 129 | 552 | 132 | 27 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.9% | 4.9% | 19.0% | 3.3% | 4.18 | 3.49 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 68 | 289 | 63 | 20 | 7 | 68% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 3.72 | 4.24 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 68 | 289 | 63 | 20 | 7 | 68% | 3.6 | 21.8% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 3.72 | 3.47 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 52 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 10 | 61 | 257 | 49 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 9 | 57 | 240 | 45 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 26 | 157 | 666 | 125 | 54 | 24 | 93% | 5.6 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 4.77 | 4.49 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 850 | 160 | 69 | 31 | 93% | 5.7 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 4.77 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 180 | 118 | 678 | 2915 | 619 | 331 | 72 | 66% | 3.8 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.05 | 4.10 | +10.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 35 | 200 | 859 | 182 | 98 | 21 | 66% | 3.8 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.05 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robinson Piña (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.69 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 194 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 71 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 68 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 68 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 67 |
| Jorge López R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 16.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | .305 | 4.13 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 252 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 955 | 65 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 65 |
| Alex Cobb R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 65 |
| Trevor Richards R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .358 | 3.97 | 31.3% | 21.1% | 201 | -0.86 | 2.61 | 890 | 64 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 64 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 63 |
| Max Beatty R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.69 | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 63 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 62 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 62 |
| Ryan Gusto R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 521 | 62 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 62 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 62 |
| Zac Kristofak R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.03 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 168 | 61 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 61 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 61 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 64 | 19.0% | 7.8% | 1.30 | 4.66 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |