Cooper Criswell
P
Seattle Mariners
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 200 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA3.93
FIP4.17
K%16.2%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.0
Whiff%
p2722.0%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p770.286
FB+1.2 (32%)
SL+0.8 (20%)
CH (27%)
SI (26%)
CT (21%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 25 | 21 | 117 | 512 | 111 | 35 | 10 | 84% | 4.7 | 16.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.21 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 25 | 21 | 117 | 512 | 111 | 35 | 10 | 84% | 4.7 | 21.7% | 6.8% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 4.60 | 3.21 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 119 | 512 | 128 | 20 | 17 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.3% | 4.3% | 17.0% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 3.82 | +2.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 119 | 512 | 128 | 20 | 17 | 100% | 5.4 | 25.0% | 3.9% | 21.1% | 3.3% | 5.01 | 3.31 | +2.9 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 10 | 58 | 233 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 56% | 3.2 | 21.3% | 4.5% | 16.8% | 1.6% | 3.88 | 2.73 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 10 | 58 | 233 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 56% | 3.2 | 26.2% | 4.7% | 21.5% | 1.7% | 3.88 | 2.46 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 17 | 118 | 521 | 107 | 33 | 14 | 52% | 3.6 | 18.7% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 3.75 | +2.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 17 | 118 | 521 | 107 | 33 | 14 | 52% | 3.6 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 3.67 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 23 | 125 | 532 | 96 | 39 | 10 | 74% | 4.0 | 17.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 3.58 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 23 | 125 | 532 | 96 | 39 | 10 | 74% | 4.0 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 3.54 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 83 | 357 | 77 | 33 | 9 | 65% | 3.6 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 3.67 | 4.20 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 83 | 357 | 77 | 33 | 9 | 65% | 3.6 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.84 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 26 | 0 | 31 | 121 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 3.52 | 3.59 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 39 | 155 | 29 | 10 | 4 | — | — | 18.4% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 3.61 | 3.71 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 39 | 164 | 29 | 10 | 4 | — | — | 17.4% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 3.61 | 3.68 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 54 | 228 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 46 | 193 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.18 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 47 | 198 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.7 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.18 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 101 | 43 | 336 | 1433 | 227 | 108 | 42 | 43% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.31 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 26 | 200 | 854 | 135 | 64 | 25 | 43% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 178 | 108 | 651 | 2788 | 526 | 187 | 72 | 61% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 3.78 | +12.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 33 | 200 | 857 | 162 | 58 | 22 | 61% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cooper Criswell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | — | 5.08 | 14.2% | 5.6% | 150 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 71 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 65 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.21 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .301 | 3.27 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 64 | -0.94 | 3.27 | 171 | 64 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 64 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 63 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 63 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 62 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 62 |
| Paul Clemens R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 62 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 61 |
| Josh Collmenter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.63 | 16.8% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .250 | 5.35 | 21.3% | 15.9% | 37 | +0.72 | 4.49 | 223 | 61 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 60 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 60 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 60 |
| A.J. Morris R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.92 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 123 | 60 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 60 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 60 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.28 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.78 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.50 | 4.78 | 115 | 60 |
| Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 59 |
| Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.90 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .348 | 3.84 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 111 | -0.06 | 3.27 | 563 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 1.17 | 4.83 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |