Ryan Weber
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 35
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.63
FIP4.76
K%17.6%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1088.2
Whiff%
p1018.0%
K%
p1011.7%
xwOBA vs
p160.352
FB+3.3
SL-3.2
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 14 | 128 | 491 | 78 | 16 | 11 | 33% | 3.0 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 2.88 | 3.75 | +2.5 |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 14 | 128 | 491 | 78 | 16 | 11 | 33% | 3.0 | 15.9% | 3.3% | 12.6% | 2.2% | 2.88 | 3.37 | +3.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 7 | 98 | 425 | 64 | 15 | 8 | 17% | 2.3 | 13.9% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.41 | +2.3 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 7 | 98 | 425 | 64 | 15 | 8 | 17% | 2.3 | 15.1% | 3.5% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.31 | +2.4 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 6 | 35 | 131 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 86% | 5.0 | 14.3% | 3.6% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 1.02 | 2.91 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 6 | 35 | 131 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 86% | 5.0 | 14.5% | 3.1% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 1.02 | 2.73 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 121 | 504 | 84 | 23 | 9 | 67% | 4.5 | 15.2% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 2.83 | 3.60 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 121 | 504 | 84 | 23 | 9 | 67% | 4.5 | 16.7% | 4.6% | 12.1% | 1.8% | 2.83 | 3.25 | +3.0 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 19 | 119 | 518 | 92 | 33 | 14 | 56% | 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.06 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 19 | 119 | 518 | 92 | 33 | 14 | 56% | 3.5 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 3.92 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 17 | 5 | 43 | 185 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 29% | 2.5 | 14.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.40 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 17 | 5 | 43 | 185 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 29% | 2.5 | 14.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.40 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 18 | 113 | 463 | 110 | 17 | 20 | 78% | 4.9 | 21.5% | 3.3% | 18.2% | 4.2% | 4.86 | 4.01 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 18 | 113 | 463 | 110 | 17 | 20 | 78% | 4.9 | 23.8% | 3.7% | 20.1% | 4.3% | 4.86 | 3.91 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 8 | 50 | 201 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 40% | 2.5 | 14.5% | 3.2% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 3.22 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 8 | 50 | 201 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 40% | 2.5 | 14.9% | 3.0% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 3.22 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 49 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 3.2 | 14.4% | 3.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 4.99 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 49 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 3.2 | 15.9% | 3.4% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 5.13 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 16 | 192 | 815 | 117 | 39 | 31 | 21% | 2.5 | 14.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 4.88 | 4.59 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 17 | 200 | 847 | 122 | 41 | 32 | 21% | 2.5 | 14.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 4.88 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 228 | 102 | 756 | 3126 | 494 | 137 | 91 | 45% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 3.91 | +13.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 27 | 200 | 827 | 131 | 36 | 24 | 45% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Weber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.13 | 16.6% | 7.4% | 44 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Chris Young R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 71 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 68 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.91 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 257 | 65 |
| Jake Peavy R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 63 |
| Jerome Williams R 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.94 | 11.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 195 | 63 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2024 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 63 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2029 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 62 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 61 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 645 | 61 |
| Yohan Pino R 2024 · 5.48 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.48 | 15.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 133 | 60 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 59 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.11 | 287 | 58 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 58 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 58 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.22 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 269 | 55 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 5.63 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 261 | 54 |
| David Buchanan R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.23 | 15.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .337 | 5.96 | 12.5% | 3.1% | 29 | +1.73 | 4.23 | 443 | 53 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 52 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 52 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.08 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.11 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 130 | +1.03 | 3.93 | 413 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 47 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 1.26 | 4.77 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |