Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 9 | 3 | 18 | 90 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 33% | 2.0 | 12.1% | 15.3% | -3.2% | 0.0% | 5.60 | 4.01 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 9 | 3 | 18 | 90 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 33% | 2.0 | 17.8% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 5.60 | 3.16 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 10 | 8 | 42 | 173 | 41 | 18 | 0 | 80% | 4.2 | 16.1% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 2.81 | 3.39 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 10 | 8 | 42 | 173 | 41 | 18 | 0 | 80% | 4.2 | 23.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.81 | 2.43 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 70.0% | 10.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.54 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 70.0% | 10.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.57 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | 24 | 24 | 99 | 419 | 135 | 53 | 13 | 100% | 4.1 | 23.8% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 3.56 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | 24 | 24 | 99 | 419 | 135 | 53 | 13 | 100% | 4.1 | 32.2% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 3.1% | 3.56 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 101 | 411 | 150 | 63 | 5 | 100% | 3.9 | 28.6% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 2.86 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 101 | 411 | 150 | 63 | 5 | 100% | 3.9 | 36.5% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 2.64 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 5 | 67 | 284 | 104 | 42 | 2 | 11% | 1.5 | 29.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 1.2% | 2.82 | 3.24 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 5 | 67 | 284 | 104 | 42 | 2 | 11% | 1.5 | 36.6% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 0.7% | 2.82 | 2.26 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 65 | 301 | 75 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.51 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 0 | 65 | 301 | 75 | 47 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 5 | 5 | 31 | 130 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 31 | 131 | 32 | 17 | 4 | — | — | 24.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 14 | 58 | 15 | 7 | 2 | — | — | 25.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 42 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 81 | 3 | 96 | 411 | 108 | 54 | 12 | 4% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 4.11 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 5 | 200 | 852 | 224 | 112 | 25 | 3% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 175 | 66 | 394 | 1688 | 417 | 264 | 36 | 38% | 2.3 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 3.56 | 4.16 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 34 | 200 | 857 | 211 | 134 | 18 | 38% | 2.3 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 3.56 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Prelander Berroa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 25.0% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.61 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 89 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 72 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 70 |
| Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 70 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 70 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 69 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.53 | 13.7% | 3.1% | 41 | +0.03 | 4.50 | 119 | 69 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 68 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 68 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 68 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 67 |
| Jack Perkins R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 27.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 324 | 67 |
| Riley Cornelio R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.20 | 28.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 417 | 66 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 66 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 66 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 66 |
| Yunior Tur R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.61 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 2.0% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 299 | 66 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.5% | .367 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.49 | 3.70 | 258 | 66 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 65 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 275 | 65 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .306 | 4.32 | 22.3% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.32 | 4.00 | 512 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 40 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 1.17 | 4.46 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |