Noe Toribio prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Noe Toribio P Altoona Curve

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.51

FIP4.51

K%22.8%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	13	13	57	261	49	26	7	100%	4.4	12.8%	12.5%	0.3%	3.8%	4.13	5.66	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	13	13	57	261	49	26	7	100%	4.4	18.8%	10.0%	8.8%	2.7%	4.13	4.35	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	12	12	51	239	43	22	3	100%	4.2	12.2%	11.5%	0.7%	1.8%	5.68	4.49	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	12	12	51	239	43	22	3	100%	4.2	18.0%	9.2%	8.8%	1.3%	5.68	3.48	—
2019	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	7	7	38	156	35	12	3	100%	5.4	16.6%	9.1%	7.5%	2.5%	3.79	4.21	—
2019	19	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	7	7	38	156	35	12	3	100%	5.4	22.4%	7.7%	14.7%	1.9%	3.79	3.23	—
2021	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	14	8	50	217	40	13	5	57%	3.6	14.9%	6.6%	8.3%	2.9%	4.32	4.28	—
2021	21	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	14	8	50	217	40	13	5	57%	3.6	18.4%	6.0%	12.4%	2.3%	4.32	3.58	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	83	366	77	42	6	8%	2.2	17.6%	12.2%	5.4%	1.8%	4.45	4.14	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	3	83	366	77	42	6	8%	2.2	21.0%	11.5%	9.6%	1.6%	4.45	3.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	64	274	72	31	6	0%	1.8	22.0%	11.9%	10.2%	2.6%	3.53	4.17	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	64	274	72	31	6	0%	1.8	22.0%	11.9%	10.2%	2.6%	3.53	4.17	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	64	274	72	31	6	0%	1.8	26.3%	11.3%	15.0%	2.2%	3.53	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	3.0%	4.51	4.51	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	37	0	39	166	38	17	5	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	3.0%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	14	0	15	63	14	7	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	3.0%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	14	6	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	3.0%	4.52	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	81	27	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	3.0%	4.52	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		119	43	342	1513	246	166	38	36%	2.9	16.2%	11.0%	5.3%	2.5%	4.32	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	25	200	885	144	97	22	36%	2.9	16.2%	11.0%	5.3%	2.5%	4.32	4.49	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noe Toribio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.51	22.8%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.53	22.9%	12.5%	39	+0.02	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	80
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	78
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	76
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	76
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	76
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	76
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	75
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	75
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	75
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	75
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	74
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	74
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	74
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	73
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	73
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	22.8%	10.4%	1.16	4.51
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10