Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 10 | 8 | 41 | 180 | 23 | 17 | 0 | 80% | 4.1 | 8.7% | 11.8% | -3.1% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 3.86 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 10 | 8 | 41 | 180 | 23 | 17 | 0 | 80% | 4.1 | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 3.22 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.29 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.60 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 37 | 153 | 60 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.7% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 1.95 | 2.20 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 37 | 153 | 60 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 39.2% | 11.8% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 1.95 | 1.32 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 4.21 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 2.0% | 3.65 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 39 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 16.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 7.59 | 4.66 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 39 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 7.59 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 1 | 35 | 152 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.38 | 5.09 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 1 | 35 | 152 | 40 | 22 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 3.38 | 3.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 21 | 2 | 28 | 110 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 10% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.68 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 46 | 186 | 54 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 29.0% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 2.3% | 3.23 | 1.85 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 102 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 11 | 231 | 997 | 217 | 134 | 15 | 7% | 1.5 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 3.63 | 3.81 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 10 | 200 | 864 | 188 | 116 | 13 | 7% | 1.5 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 3.63 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danis Correa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.68 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 20 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 87 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 86 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 83 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 82 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 82 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 81 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 81 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 81 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 81 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 81 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 81 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 80 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 80 |