Danis Correa — OGILVIE

Danis Correa P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 26 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%20.3%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	10	8	41	180	23	17	0	80%	4.1	8.7%	11.8%	-3.1%	0.0%	3.32	3.86	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs	10	8	41	180	23	17	0	80%	4.1	12.8%	9.4%	3.3%	0.0%	3.32	3.22	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	2	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	2	0	2	7	3	1	0	0%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	37	153	60	18	0	0%	1.4	30.7%	13.4%	17.4%	0.0%	1.95	2.20	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	37	153	60	18	0	0%	1.4	39.2%	11.8%	27.5%	0.0%	1.95	1.32	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	57	245	64	30	5	0%	1.5	21.8%	13.3%	8.6%	2.3%	3.65	4.21	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	57	245	64	30	5	0%	1.5	26.1%	12.2%	13.9%	2.0%	3.65	3.58	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	32	150	39	23	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	15.1%	6.0%	2.3%	7.59	4.49	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	32	150	39	23	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	15.1%	6.0%	2.3%	7.59	4.49	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	32	150	39	23	3	0%	1.1	26.0%	15.3%	10.7%	2.0%	7.59	4.04	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	35	152	40	22	3	3%	1.2	18.5%	14.7%	3.9%	2.7%	3.38	4.86	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	1	35	152	40	22	3	3%	1.2	18.5%	14.7%	3.9%	2.7%	3.38	4.86	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	1	35	152	40	22	3	3%	1.2	26.3%	14.5%	11.8%	2.0%	3.38	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	26	4	34	142	44	15	4	15%	1.3	26.3%	13.8%	12.6%	3.0%	3.44	4.27	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	26	4	34	142	44	15	4	15%	1.3	26.3%	13.8%	12.6%	3.0%	3.44	4.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	NYM	9	1	9	36	13	4	0	11%	1.0	36.1%	11.1%	25.0%	0.0%	2.08	1.46	—
2026	26	AA RAW	NYM	13	3	18	80	26	10	2	23%	1.4	32.5%	12.5%	20.0%	2.5%	3.93	3.31	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	NYM	4	0	7	26	5	1	2	0%	1.8	19.2%	3.8%	15.4%	7.7%	3.86	6.19	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	31	0	33	138	29	17	4	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.6%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.98	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	11	0	12	51	10	6	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.6%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	7	2	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.6%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	114	32	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.6%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		162	13	237	1029	216	140	17	8%	1.5	21.0%	13.6%	7.5%	1.7%	3.76	3.98	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	11	200	868	183	118	15	8%	1.5	21.0%	13.6%	7.5%	1.7%	3.76	3.98	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danis Correa (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	20.3%	12.9%	2.9%	—	4.98	20.6%	8.0%	33	-0.03	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	85
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	82
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	82
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	82
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.5%	12.7%	1.15	4.98
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78