Michell Miliano prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Michell Miliano P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%21.4%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	7	5	15	74	18	8	1	71%	2.1	16.5%	13.5%	3.0%	1.9%	6.60	4.45	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	7	5	15	74	18	8	1	71%	2.1	24.3%	10.8%	13.5%	1.4%	6.60	3.17	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	11	11	28	142	34	19	2	100%	2.6	16.3%	16.7%	-0.4%	2.0%	9.21	4.93	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	11	11	28	142	34	19	2	100%	2.6	23.9%	13.4%	10.6%	1.4%	9.21	3.63	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	18	0	21	107	35	26	3	0%	1.2	22.2%	30.4%	-8.1%	3.9%	5.14	7.22	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	18	0	21	107	35	26	3	0%	1.2	32.7%	24.3%	8.4%	2.8%	5.14	5.34	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	50	244	82	51	4	0%	1.3	25.2%	24.3%	0.9%	2.4%	4.68	5.35	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	50	244	82	51	4	0%	1.3	33.6%	20.9%	12.7%	1.6%	4.68	3.92	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	31	150	43	30	3	0%	1.2	22.4%	25.4%	-2.9%	2.3%	6.39	5.69	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	31	150	43	30	3	0%	1.2	28.7%	20.0%	8.7%	2.0%	6.39	4.49	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	65	289	73	44	4	0%	1.6	19.6%	17.2%	2.4%	1.5%	4.04	4.42	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	65	289	73	44	4	0%	1.6	19.6%	17.2%	2.4%	1.5%	4.04	4.42	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	65	289	73	44	4	0%	1.6	25.3%	15.2%	10.0%	1.4%	4.04	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.4%	13.2%	8.2%	2.9%	4.96	4.96	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	42	0	45	188	41	24	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.0%	4.91	4.93	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	15	0	16	68	15	9	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.0%	4.91	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	15	9	2	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.0%	4.91	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	110	24	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	3.0%	4.91	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		139	16	210	1006	211	213	22	12%	1.5	21.0%	21.2%	-0.2%	2.2%	5.53	5.21	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	15	200	958	201	203	21	12%	1.5	21.0%	21.2%	-0.2%	2.2%	5.53	5.21	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michell Miliano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	21.4%	13.2%	2.9%	—	4.93	21.6%	8.7%	45	-0.03	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	88
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	85
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	85
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	84
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
Eduard Santos R 2016 · 3.86 FIP	26	SU	3.86	22.2%	14.4%	1.5%	.248	2.04	31.1%	18.7%	16	-1.82	2.04	138	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	45	21.5%	13.1%	1.14	4.94
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35