Seth Corry
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%21.4%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Giants | 13 | 10 | 24 | 110 | 21 | 22 | 1 | 77% | 1.9 | 13.0% | 25.0% | -12.0% | 1.3% | 5.55 | 5.87 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Giants | 13 | 10 | 24 | 110 | 21 | 22 | 1 | 77% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 20.0% | -0.9% | 0.9% | 5.55 | 4.62 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 9 | 9 | 38 | 169 | 42 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 16.9% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 2.61 | 3.72 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 9 | 9 | 38 | 169 | 42 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 24.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 0.6% | 2.61 | 2.57 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 27 | 26 | 123 | 508 | 172 | 58 | 4 | 96% | 4.5 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 0.9% | 1.76 | 3.17 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 27 | 26 | 123 | 508 | 172 | 58 | 4 | 96% | 4.5 | 33.9% | 11.4% | 22.4% | 0.8% | 1.76 | 2.14 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 19 | 19 | 68 | 317 | 100 | 63 | 4 | 100% | 3.6 | 24.3% | 22.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 5.99 | 4.73 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 19 | 19 | 68 | 317 | 100 | 63 | 4 | 100% | 3.6 | 31.5% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | 5.99 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 7.1% | 21.4% | -14.3% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 5.21 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 7.1% | 21.4% | -14.3% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 6.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 16 | 34 | 156 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 2.1 | 23.7% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 5.03 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 16 | 34 | 156 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 2.1 | 33.3% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 1.9% | 5.03 | 2.78 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 62 | 270 | 57 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 4.91 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 62 | 270 | 57 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 4.91 | 3.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 38 | 159 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 37 | 155 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 33 | 139 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.6 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 3 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 9 | 56 | 235 | 50 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.39 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 93 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 124 | 82 | 351 | 1544 | 330 | 255 | 21 | 66% | 2.8 | 21.4% | 16.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 4.15 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 47 | 200 | 879 | 188 | 145 | 12 | 66% | 2.8 | 21.4% | 16.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 3.82 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seth Corry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.4% | 10.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 104 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 77 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 74 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 71 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 70 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 68 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 68 |
| Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 67 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 66 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 66 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | .328 | 4.26 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 129 | +0.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 66 |
| Garrett Williams L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 24.9% | 14.2% | 3.3% | .323 | 4.39 | 24.3% | -0.2% | 53 | -0.21 | 3.36 | 470 | 65 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.70 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | .308 | 4.02 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 81 | -0.68 | 3.38 | 353 | 65 |
| Alec Gamboa L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.2% | 10.3% | 1.3% | .290 | 4.08 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 64 | +0.15 | 1.46 | 404 | 65 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 65 |
| Carlos Teller L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.72 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% | .329 | 4.99 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 187 | +1.27 | 3.72 | 333 | 65 |
| Matt Walker L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 64 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 248 | 64 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 36 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 1.16 | 4.65 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |