Seth Corry — OGILVIE

Seth Corry P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%18.4%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	13	10	24	110	21	22	1	77%	1.9	13.0%	25.0%	-12.0%	1.3%	5.55	5.87	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	13	10	24	110	21	22	1	77%	1.9	19.1%	20.0%	-0.9%	0.9%	5.55	4.62	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	38	169	42	17	1	100%	4.2	16.9%	12.6%	4.3%	0.8%	2.61	3.72	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	38	169	42	17	1	100%	4.2	24.9%	10.1%	14.8%	0.6%	2.61	2.57	—
2019	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	27	26	123	508	172	58	4	96%	4.5	25.1%	13.5%	11.6%	0.9%	1.76	3.21	—
2019	20	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	27	26	123	508	172	58	4	96%	4.5	33.9%	11.4%	22.4%	0.8%	1.76	2.14	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	19	19	68	317	100	63	4	100%	3.6	24.3%	22.9%	1.4%	1.5%	5.99	4.77	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	19	19	68	317	100	63	4	100%	3.6	31.5%	19.9%	11.7%	1.3%	5.99	3.71	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	2	2	2	14	1	3	0	100%	1.2	7.1%	21.4%	-14.3%	0.0%	3.86	5.21	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	2	2	2	14	1	3	0	100%	1.2	7.1%	21.4%	-14.3%	0.0%	3.86	6.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	16	34	156	52	18	3	100%	2.1	23.7%	15.2%	8.5%	3.4%	5.03	4.90	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	16	34	156	52	18	3	100%	2.1	23.7%	15.2%	8.5%	3.4%	5.03	4.90	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	16	34	156	52	18	3	100%	2.1	33.3%	11.5%	21.8%	1.9%	5.03	2.78	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	16.6%	14.5%	2.1%	1.3%	4.91	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	16.6%	14.5%	2.1%	1.3%	4.91	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	62	270	57	35	3	0%	1.6	21.1%	13.0%	8.1%	1.1%	4.91	3.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SF	1	1	3	13	2	2	0	100%	3.0	18.4%	13.3%	5.1%	2.8%	5.15	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	37	155	29	20	5	100%	6.1	18.8%	13.1%	5.7%	2.9%	5.12	5.15	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	2	2	14	59	11	8	2	100%	7.0	18.8%	13.1%	5.7%	2.9%	5.12	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	14	58	11	8	2	100%	6.9	18.8%	13.1%	5.7%	2.9%	5.12	4.77	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	116	29	100%	6.0	18.8%	13.1%	5.7%	2.9%	5.12	4.77	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		124	82	351	1544	330	255	21	66%	2.8	21.4%	16.5%	4.8%	1.4%	3.82	4.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	47	200	879	188	145	12	66%	2.8	21.4%	16.5%	4.8%	1.4%	3.82	4.15	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Corry (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	18.4%	13.3%	2.8%	—	5.15	18.8%	5.7%	37	+0.00	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	73
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	70
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	70
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	70
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	69
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	69
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	69
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	69
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	68
Luis Ysla L 2019 · 5.78 FIP	27	SP-	5.78	18.0%	14.4%	4.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	378	67
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	67
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	67
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	65
Cam Vieaux L 2021 · 5.10 FIP	27	SP-	5.10	18.0%	11.8%	3.7%	.288	4.49	19.7%	10.5%	122	-0.61	4.20	620	65
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	65
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	64
Matt Lujan L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	27	SP	5.05	18.5%	11.3%	3.8%	.319	4.69	14.3%	7.9%	70	-0.36	4.06	227	64
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	63
Garrett Williams L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	27	SP-	4.71	24.9%	14.2%	3.5%	.323	4.06	22.9%	1.9%	53	-0.65	3.37	470	63
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	18.6%	13.2%	1.10	5.14
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77