Matt Wallner

RF St. Paul Saints

Age 29 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA Svc 2.250S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	26	MLBMIN	261	.259/.373/.523	13	3	152	1.4
2025	27	MLBMIN	392	.202/.313/.464	22	4	116	0.8
2026	28	MLBMIN	135	.167/.259/.292	4	0	59	-1.2
2027PROJ45% MLB	29	MLBMIN	158	.217/.308/.439	8	2	109	0.3
2028PROJ56% MLB	30	MLBMIN	320	.213/.304/.430	16	3	105	0.4
2029PROJ63% MLB	31	MLBMIN	350	.208/.298/.418	17	1	100	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.250First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$2M2029Arb-3$2M2030Arb-4$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Barrel%90

Chase%85

Bat Spd84

Avg EV80

xwOBA69

Whiff%22

CompsPedro Álvarez (age 29) · DJ Stewart (age 30) · Ryan Schimpf (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 96109vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .308 / .439

PA158

HR8

K%32

BB%9

BABIP272

ISO230

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2214.1%

xAVG

100.213

POWER60

Barrel%

9014.4

Avg EV

8091.2

Bat Spd

8474.9

EYE50

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

2026.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 750 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

181

569

—

wRC+

131

▶▶R

wOBA

302

363

▶▶R

ISO

189

263

▶▶R

BABIP

267

298

▶R

30.9%

33.4%

◀L

BB%

9.9%

10.5%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-4	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$3M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	44	9	3	1	2	5	14	4	0	0	205	340	455	794	250	250	26	9	354	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	294	258	68	14	2	15	28	98	7	0	1	264	352	508	859	244	363	33	10	376	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	79	66	20	2	0	6	9	27	3	0	0	303	410	606	1.016	303	412	34	11	435	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	65	57	13	3	0	2	6	25	2	1	0	228	323	386	709	158	367	38	9	322	96	-0	+0	-1	-7	+1	-0.7
2022	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	229	190	47	17	3	6	35	63	4	1	0	247	376	463	839	216	339	28	15	373	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	342	268	80	15	1	21	62	107	7	8	5	299	442	597	1.039	299	407	31	18	444	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	254	213	53	11	1	14	28	80	13	2	1	249	370	507	877	258	328	31	11	387	146	+14	+0	-4	-6	+6	0.9
2023	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	305	254	74	20	3	11	39	87	10	0	0	291	406	524	930	232	399	29	13	407	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	261	220	57	17	1	13	24	95	16	3	0	259	373	523	896	264	389	36	9	393	152	+16	+1	-3	-6	+6	1.4
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	297	259	67	15	1	19	32	91	3	5	0	259	347	544	891	286	316	31	11	384	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	392	336	68	16	3	22	46	114	8	4	3	202	313	464	777	262	228	29	12	341	116	+8	-0	-4	-4	+8	0.8
2025	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	27	25	8	1	0	5	2	6	0	0	0	320	370	960	1.330	640	214	22	7	552	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	135	120	20	3	0	4	10	53	5	0	1	167	259	292	551	125	254	39	7	256	59	-7	-0	-2	-6	+3	-1.2
2026	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	413	346	88	17	0	25	50	115	13	9	3	254	369	520	889	266	300	28	12	387	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1107	946	211	50	5	55	114	367	44	10	5	223	334	461	795	238	296	33	10	352	125	+32	+0	-14	-29	+24	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	217	38	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	294	267	52	10	2	11	19	133	7	0	1	195	266	371	637	176	320	45	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	65	58	13	3	0	2	5	25	2	1	0	224	308	379	687	155	367	38	8	311	96	-0	+0	-1	-7	+1	-0.7
2022	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	229	201	41	13	3	5	24	77	4	1	0	204	301	373	674	169	295	34	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	342	290	67	12	1	17	40	136	7	8	5	231	338	455	793	224	333	40	12	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	254	214	53	11	1	14	27	80	13	2	1	248	366	505	871	257	328	31	11	384	146	+14	+0	-4	-6	+6	0.9
2023	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	305	268	61	12	3	8	25	107	10	0	0	228	317	384	701	157	336	35	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	261	220	57	17	1	13	24	95	16	3	0	259	373	523	896	264	389	36	9	392	152	+16	+1	-3	-6	+6	1.4
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	297	268	53	12	1	12	23	110	3	5	0	198	269	384	653	187	262	37	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	392	336	68	16	3	22	46	114	8	4	3	202	313	464	777	262	228	29	12	340	116	+8	-0	-4	-4	+8	0.8
2025	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	27	26	6	1	0	3	1	7	0	0	0	231	259	615	875	385	175	26	4	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	135	120	20	3	0	4	10	53	5	0	1	167	259	292	551	125	254	39	7	256	59	-7	-0	-2	-6	+3	-1.2
2026	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	413	363	70	13	0	17	33	138	13	9	3	193	284	369	653	176	248	33	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	208	38	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	44	9	3	1	2	5	14	4	0	0	205	340	455	794	250	250	26	9	354	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	373	338	65	13	2	14	23	169	10	0	1	192	264	367	631	175	325	45	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	373	324	88	16	2	21	37	125	10	0	1	272	364	528	892	256	372	34	10	389	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	636	549	119	28	3	24	69	238	13	10	5	217	319	410	728	193	325	37	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	636	515	140	35	4	29	103	195	13	10	5	272	406	524	930	252	375	31	16	406	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	482	114	23	4	22	52	187	23	2	1	237	339	438	777	201	335	33	9	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	559	467	127	31	4	25	67	167	23	2	1	272	390	516	906	244	368	30	12	398	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	488	110	29	2	25	47	205	19	8	0	225	318	447	764	221	324	37	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	479	124	32	2	32	56	186	19	8	0	259	359	534	894	276	347	33	10	388	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	362	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	204	309	475	784	271	225	29	11	340	116	+8	-0	-4	-4	+9	0.9
2025	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	419	361	76	17	3	27	48	120	8	4	3	211	317	499	815	288	227	29	11	354	116	+8	-0	-4	-4	+9	0.9
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	548	483	90	16	0	21	43	191	18	9	4	186	278	350	627	164	251	35	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	548	466	108	20	0	29	60	168	18	9	4	232	342	461	803	230	289	31	11	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	217	38	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	373	337	65	13	2	14	23	169	10	0	1	193	264	368	632	175	320	45	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	636	549	119	28	3	24	69	238	13	10	5	217	319	410	728	193	323	37	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	479	114	23	4	22	52	187	23	2	1	238	339	441	780	203	332	33	9	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	487	110	29	2	25	47	205	19	8	0	226	318	448	765	222	322	37	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	361	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	205	309	476	786	271	224	29	11	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	548	482	90	16	0	21	43	191	18	9	4	187	278	351	628	164	249	35	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	487	110	29	2	25	47	205	19	8	0	226	318	448	765	222	322	37	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	361	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	205	309	476	786	271	224	29	11	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	548	482	90	16	0	21	43	191	18	9	4	187	278	351	628	164	249	35	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	506	443	96	19	2	25	45	162	13	7	2	217	308	438	746	221	272	32	9	329	109	+5	+1	-1	-5	+11	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	158	139	31	6	1	8	14	50	4	2	1	217	308	439	748	222	272	32	9	329	109	+2	+0	-0	-2	+3	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	569	499	107	21	2	28	50	184	15	5	2	213	304	429	733	216	268	32	9	323	105	+3	+0	-3	-6	+12	0.7
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	558	490	102	20	1	27	49	182	14	1	1	208	298	417	715	209	263	33	9	317	100	+0	-0	-4	-6	+12	0.2
2030	32	MLB MLE	MIN	67%	547	481	97	19	1	25	47	181	14	1	1	201	291	402	692	200	256	33	9	307	94	-4	-0	-5	-6	+12	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	320	281	60	12	1	16	28	103	8	3	1	213	304	430	734	217	269	32	9	324	105	+2	+0	-2	-3	+7	0.4
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	350	307	65	13	1	17	31	114	9	1	1	208	298	418	717	210	263	33	9	317	100	+0	-0	-3	-4	+8	0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	MIN	67%	364	321	65	13	1	17	31	120	9	1	1	201	291	403	694	201	256	33	9	308	94	-2	-0	-3	-4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2141	1855	401	88	8	105	204	704	70	15	8	216	317	442	759	226	281	33	10	335	100	+32	-0	-22	-40	+46	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	122	27	2	32	62	214	21	5	2	217	317	442	760	226	281	33	10	335	100	+10	-0	-7	-12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5170	4524	950	201	20	229	462	1790	147	45	19	210	304	415	719	205	284	35	9	317	100	+36	+0	-27	-51	+68	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	120	25	3	29	58	225	18	6	2	211	304	418	722	207	285	35	9	317	100	+7	+0	-6	-11	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Hunter Renfroelast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,727 PA	5.6	3,727	188	15	235	297	458	-40	-32	7.3	8.0
/162	664	33	3	-7.1	-5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,298	112	17	217	314	442	-25	-23	6.9	7.1
/162	664	32	5	-7.1	-6.7	2.0	pk7: 7
#3Bubba Trammell'97-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,034 PA	3.1	2,034	82	10	250*	325*	443*	-25	-5	6.4	6.4
/162	664	27	3	-8.3	-1.8	2.1	pk7: 6
#4Pat Seerey'43-'49 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,094 PA	3.2	2,094	86	3	219*	309*	463*	-17	-11	5.9	5.9
/162	664	27	1	-5.3	-3.6	1.9	pk7: 6
#5Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Wallner (OGILVIE)	29	40	60	45	50	215/305/434	219	272	17	5	32%	9%	109	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Álvarez 2016 · MLB	29	43→48	62→65	47→45	46	239/302/458	219	275	32	6	27%	8%	112	+2.2	231/288/431	200	275	28	3	27%	7%	100	+1.3	221/275/409	189	263	27	1	27%	7%	89	+0.4
✕DJ Stewart 2024 · MLB	30	40→49	58→60	45→50	50	220/314/418	198	262	27	4	28%	10%	107	+1.8	196/297/342	146	262	18	8	31%	11%	84	+0.1	155/276/261	106	216	14	8	32%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Ryan Schimpf 2017 · MLB	29	39→41	61→60	41→45	48	220/300/448	228	258	28	3	27%	9%	109	+2.0	185/274/381	196	266	26	4	39%	10%	84	+0.1	133/234/313	181	182	27	1	44%	11%	54	-1.0
✕Aristides Aquino 2022 · MLB	28	40→41	62→65	48→50	47	224/304/447	222	276	31	9	31%	9%	109	+2.0	216/283/388	172	314	21	8	36%	8%	88	+0.5	198/256/367	169	293	22	6	39%	6%	73	-0.4
●Seth Brown 2022 · MLB	30	40→48	64→65	51→50	42	230/284/471	242	271	33	9	30%	7%	108	+1.9	235/296/446	211	281	28	9	27%	8%	107	+1.8	235/296/432	197	283	27	8	27%	7%	104	+1.3
●Rick Ankiel 2008 · MLB	29	40→48	61→65	45→50	41	228/271/442	214	253	31	5	25%	5%	97	+1.1	240/295/438	198	283	25	6	25%	7%	104	+1.6	238/300/427	189	286	23	5	25%	7%	104	+1.0
●Chris Carter 2016 · MLB	29	37→47	64→65	42→45	49	216/306/453	237	266	34	4	33%	11%	112	+2.2	211/300/441	230	271	32	4	34%	10%	107	+1.9	200/289/432	232	253	33	2	35%	10%	101	+1.0
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	60→65	45→50	53	208/299/422	214	230	29	8	26%	11%	103	+1.5	212/290/368	156	253	19	13	24%	9%	86	+0.3	198/278/331	132	238	16	15	24%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Colby Rasmus 2016 · MLB	29	45→54	61→65	47→50	45	240/306/461	222	308	29	4	32%	9%	114	+2.3	224/290/414	190	290	26	6	31%	8%	97	+1.1	207/273/379	172	263	25	4	31%	8%	83	+0.0
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	44→53	62→60	46→30	44	241/309/470	229	302	30	3	31%	8%	117	+2.6	240/299/433	193	307	25	3	29%	7%	104	+1.6	224/287/401	178	293	23	2	31%	7%	93	+0.6
●Hunter Renfroe 2021 · MLB	29	37→47	65	51→45	47	219/290/465	246	246	35	7	28%	8%	109	+2.0	243/305/466	223	274	30	3	24%	8%	114	+2.4	244/305/457	213	275	28	1	23%	8%	113	+2.1
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	58→60	46→30	42	212/287/416	205	284	27	5	35%	8%	97	+1.1	218/286/388	170	312	21	4	35%	7%	90	+0.6	212/282/379	167	306	20	1	36%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Laynce Nix 2010 · MLB	29	43→47	57→60	44→45	41	231/278/433	202	276	25	5	27%	6%	97	+1.1	248/298/433	185	300	21	4	24%	7%	104	+1.6	253/306/434	180	309	21	2	24%	7%	107	+0.7
✕Shelley Duncan 2009 · MLB	29	40→44	57→60	46→45	48	223/291/416	194	255	26	7	25%	8%	97	+1.1	226/296/414	188	261	24	4	24%	8%	99	+1.2	223/294/408	186	254	24	2	23%	8%	96	+0.8
●Chris Davis 2015 · MLB	29	41→51	64→70	43→40	46	233/309/469	236	286	33	4	31%	9%	117	+2.6	228/322/460	232	294	32	3	32%	11%	119	+2.7	223/323/452	229	291	32	1	33%	12%	119	+2.8
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	59→60	44→40	46	232/291/435	203	254	28	4	22%	7%	102	+1.5	220/286/380	160	250	20	4	21%	8%	87	+0.4	200/275/334	134	227	15	1	20%	8%	72	-0.3
●Brandon Moss 2013 · MLB	29	44→53	61→65	43→45	44	242/303/465	223	288	30	7	28%	7%	114	+2.3	246/322/482	236	295	32	4	27%	9%	124	+3.1	238/320/463	226	285	30	2	27%	9%	120	+2.5
✕Tyler Houston 2001 · MLB	30	45	62→60	46→40	42	249/290/474	224	275	32	7	24%	6%	111	+2.1	267/310/441	174	312	22	4	21%	6%	110	+2.1	279/320/432	154	328	18	1	20%	5%	112	+0.9
✕Eric Haase 2022 · MLB	29	41→42	62→65	50→40	41	230/288/449	219	297	32	5	34%	7%	105	+1.7	235/286/402	167	308	22	5	30%	7%	93	+0.8	228/278/376	148	304	20	3	31%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Valentino Pascucci 2008 · AAA	29	42	58→55	51→45	46	228/307/430	202	285	27	10	30%	8%	107	+1.9	215/298/385	170	281	22	5	30%	10%	93	+0.8	202/291/365	164	262	22	3	31%	10%	83	+0.1

Matt Wallner

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps