Stevie Emanuels — OGILVIE

Stevie Emanuels P Midland RockHounds

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%22.8%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD3030

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	28	127	25	14	6	88%	3.5	15.8%	12.3%	3.5%	6.4%	6.04	6.84	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	7	28	127	25	14	6	88%	3.5	19.7%	11.0%	8.7%	4.7%	6.04	5.57	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	15	97	470	105	62	16	65%	4.2	17.0%	15.3%	1.7%	4.5%	6.38	6.06	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	15	97	470	105	62	16	65%	4.2	22.3%	13.2%	9.1%	3.4%	6.38	4.99	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	40	163	57	19	3	0%	1.7	25.9%	11.7%	14.2%	2.1%	2.04	3.55	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	40	163	57	19	3	0%	1.7	25.9%	11.7%	14.2%	2.1%	2.04	3.55	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	0	40	163	57	19	3	0%	1.7	35.0%	11.7%	23.3%	1.8%	2.04	2.65	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	16.8%	4.2%	7.3%	7.00	7.47	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	16.8%	4.2%	7.3%	7.00	7.47	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	26.2%	16.7%	9.5%	6.0%	7.00	6.60	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	22.6%	17.0%	5.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.34	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	22.6%	17.0%	5.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.34	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	27.9%	15.4%	12.5%	0.0%	2.70	2.67	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	45	0	51	225	64	32	9	0%	1.1	23.2%	14.2%	8.9%	4.6%	5.29	5.46	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	45	0	51	225	64	32	9	0%	1.1	23.2%	14.2%	8.9%	4.6%	5.29	5.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	OAK	33	0	38	155	51	16	4	0%	1.1	32.9%	10.3%	22.6%	2.6%	3.35	3.05	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	OAK	12	0	13	70	13	16	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	22.9%	-4.3%	7.1%	10.80	8.35	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	OAK	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	17.5%	5.3%	2.6%	5.18	5.18	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	57	250	70	36	10	—	—	27.9%	14.6%	13.3%	3.9%	5.28	5.43	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	OAK	65	0	68	287	65	48	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.9%	5.9%	2.7%	5.15	5.18	-0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	OAK	62	0	65	274	62	45	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.5%	6.0%	2.9%	5.18	5.25	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	OAK	25	0	26	110	25	19	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.9%	5.9%	2.7%	5.15	5.18	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	OAK	34	0	36	152	34	25	4	0%	1.1	22.6%	16.5%	6.0%	2.9%	5.18	5.25	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	59	43	7	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.7%	6.0%	2.8%	5.17	4.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	139	23	0%	1.1	22.6%	16.7%	6.0%	2.8%	5.17	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		163	22	288	1309	266	193	49	13%	1.8	20.3%	14.8%	5.6%	3.7%	4.91	5.31	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	15	200	910	185	134	34	13%	1.8	20.3%	14.8%	5.6%	3.7%	4.91	5.31	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stevie Emanuels (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	22.8%	17.5%	2.6%	—	5.21	22.6%	6.0%	133	+0.03	—	—	—
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	81
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	81
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	80
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	80
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	80
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	80
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	79
Stevie Branche R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	25.6%	19.1%	1.2%	.274	5.73	18.6%	1.0%	28	+1.69	3.23	162	79
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	79
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	79
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	79
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	78
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	78
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	22.7%	17.0%	1.05	5.17
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15