Stevie Emanuels P Midland RockHounds
Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%23.0%
BB%17.8%
K-BB%5.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
K: +1.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -4.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: +1.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +13.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.30 (101 IP)+1.3WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CMD3030
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels87281272514688%3.515.8%12.3%3.5%6.7%6.046.99
202122MIX2 levels87281272514688%3.519.7%11.0%8.7%4.7%6.045.57
202223MIX2 levels231597470105621665%4.217.0%15.3%1.7%4.7%6.386.16
202223MIX2 levels231597470105621665%4.222.3%13.2%9.1%3.4%6.384.99
202324MIX3 levels24040163571930%1.725.9%11.7%14.2%1.8%2.043.38
202324MIX3 levels24040163571930%1.735.0%11.7%23.3%1.8%2.042.65
202425MIX2 levels1701884221450%1.122.3%19.6%2.7%7.3%7.007.72
202425MIX2 levels1701884221450%1.126.2%16.7%9.5%6.0%7.006.60
202526AAMidland RockHounds46053240673700%1.222.6%17.0%5.7%0.0%2.703.34
202526AAMidland RockHounds46053240673700%1.227.9%15.4%12.5%0.0%2.702.67
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAALas Vegas Aviators27031125452130%1.134.7%10.9%23.8%1.3%3.822.27+0.8
ROS27MLBOAK67070296685380%1.023.0%17.8%5.2%2.6%5.195.19-0.4
ROS27MLBOAK10141100%1.023.0%17.8%5.2%2.6%5.195.19-0.0
2026 TOT27MLBOAK101421113741126.9%17.5%9.4%2.5%4.774.30+1.3
2026 FULL27MLBOAK1611023.0%17.8%5.2%2.6%5.194.81-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBOAK65068287664980%1.022.9%17.1%5.9%2.7%5.155.19-0.4
202829MLBOAK62065274624680%1.022.7%16.7%6.0%2.9%5.185.25-0.5
202930MLBOAK58061257584380%1.122.4%16.6%5.8%3.1%5.285.38-0.6
202728MLBOAK25026110251930%1.022.9%17.1%5.9%2.7%5.155.19-0.2
202829MLBOAK34036152352540%1.122.7%16.7%6.0%2.9%5.185.25-0.3
202930MLBOAK39041173392950%1.122.4%16.6%5.8%3.1%5.285.38-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career99010444110074130%1.122.7%16.8%5.9%2.9%5.214.91+0.6
/ 200 IP1900200844192142250%1.022.7%16.8%5.9%2.9%5.214.91+1.2
Career1452226712092591774115%1.821.4%14.7%6.7%3.4%4.715.02+1.2
/ 200 IP108162009041931333115%1.821.4%14.7%6.7%3.4%4.715.02+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Stevie Emanuels (OGILVIE) 5.19 23.0%17.8%2.6% 5.27 22.7%5.9%194 +0.08
Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 20.2%16.4%1.6%.266 4.20 15.3%9.9%41 -0.12 3.03 140 81
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 81
Jack Ralston R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 27 SU 4.91 23.3%18.1%2.7%.338 3.54 28.3%18.1%51 -1.37 3.50 299 81
Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP 25 SU 4.99 21.9%14.6%3.4%.275 3.54 117 80
Fernando Baez R 2024 · 5.39 FIP 25 SU 5.39 24.3%21.2%3.0%.271 3.43 129 80
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 24.9%14.5%2.7%.360 5.09 15.3%3.1%58 +0.79 3.42 173 80
Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP 25 SU 4.61 20.7%14.0%2.7%.300 2.36 132 80
Chris Perry R 2025 · 4.19 FIP 26 SU 4.19 21.3%19.3%0.8%.254 3.53 113 79
Dario Beltre R 2025 · 4.21 FIP 26 SU 4.21 21.4%17.0%1.4%.331 2.71 110 79
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 79
Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SU 4.39 18.7%13.5%2.1%.256 2.81 32.9%19.8%68 -1.58 2.81 125 79
Michael Hobbs R 2025 · 4.70 FIP 26 SU 4.70 21.2%19.2%1.7%.299 4.10 184 78
Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.59 FIP 25 SU 4.59 18.2%16.2%1.8%.331 4.18 103 78
Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 77
Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 27 SU 4.85 19.1%16.2%2.4%.288 2.97 231 77
Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 20.4%13.2%1.9%.360 3.16 20.2%6.3%44 -0.92 3.16 155 77
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP 27 SU 6.16 20.6%21.8%3.7%.368 4.35 22.6%15.5%34 -1.81 3.88 158 77
Ryan Sublette R 2025 · 4.77 FIP 26 SU 4.77 19.0%15.8%2.3%.346 3.73 203 77
Tanner Jacobson R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 25 SU 4.62 21.4%19.3%1.6%.308 4.08 168 77
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 27 SU 4.11 18.0%12.5%1.7%.296 3.74 19.2%8.3%54 -0.37 3.74 146 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46622.8%17.1%1.085.20
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Kyle Barraclough ('19)55029.0%14.1%0.863.53
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21