Emmanuel Clase
P
Cleveland Guardians
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 206 lbs
MLB
Svc 5.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8374vR 65
ERA2.97
FIP2.84
K%25.9%
BB%4.5%
K-BB%21.4%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.5
Whiff%
p9032.1%
K%
p5723.4%
xwOBA vs
p860.277
FB+1.8 (70%)
SL (30%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 13 | 10 | 54 | 238 | 49 | 21 | 1 | 77% | 4.2 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 1.99 | 3.64 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 13 | 10 | 54 | 238 | 49 | 21 | 1 | 77% | 4.2 | 20.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 0.4% | 1.99 | 2.70 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | 8 | 2 | 25 | 110 | 23 | 12 | 0 | 25% | 3.1 | 14.2% | 13.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 4.01 | 3.63 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | 8 | 2 | 25 | 110 | 23 | 12 | 0 | 25% | 3.1 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 4.01 | 2.69 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 174 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 67% | 4.0 | 16.4% | 15.8% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.48 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 174 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 67% | 4.0 | 24.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.05 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 2 | 68 | 272 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 6.0% | 15.3% | 1.1% | 2.65 | 2.68 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 2 | 68 | 272 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 3% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 5.5% | 20.6% | 1.1% | 2.65 | 2.25 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 71 | 0 | 70 | 279 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 4.7% | 21.9% | 0.7% | 1.29 | 1.85 | +2.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 71 | 0 | 70 | 279 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 4.7% | 21.9% | 0.7% | 1.29 | 1.91 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 77 | 0 | 73 | 271 | 77 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 3.0% | 25.5% | 1.1% | 1.36 | 1.69 | +2.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 77 | 0 | 73 | 271 | 77 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 3.0% | 25.5% | 1.1% | 1.36 | 1.85 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 75 | 0 | 73 | 302 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 4.6% | 16.6% | 1.3% | 3.22 | 2.63 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 75 | 0 | 73 | 302 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 4.6% | 16.6% | 1.3% | 3.22 | 2.63 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 74 | 0 | 74 | 270 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 3.3% | 21.1% | 0.7% | 0.61 | 1.87 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 74 | 0 | 74 | 270 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 3.3% | 21.1% | 0.7% | 0.61 | 2.04 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 48 | 0 | 47 | 201 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 5.0% | 18.4% | 1.0% | 3.23 | 2.30 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 48 | 0 | 47 | 201 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 5.0% | 18.4% | 1.0% | 3.23 | 2.30 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 4.5% | 21.4% | 1.8% | 2.97 | 2.84 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 44 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 4.7% | 20.6% | 1.9% | 2.99 | 3.00 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 5.0% | 19.6% | 2.1% | 3.12 | 3.21 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 4.7% | 20.6% | 1.9% | 2.99 | 3.00 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 5.0% | 19.6% | 2.1% | 3.12 | 3.21 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 452 | 1 | 450 | 1799 | 444 | 79 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 4.4% | 20.3% | 1.3% | 2.11 | 2.26 | +16.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 201 | 0 | 200 | 799 | 197 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 4.4% | 20.3% | 1.3% | 2.11 | 2.26 | +7.3 | ||
| Career | — | 435 | 20 | 519 | 2117 | 463 | 139 | 23 | 5% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 1.1% | 2.30 | 2.68 | +16.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 168 | 8 | 200 | 815 | 178 | 54 | 9 | 5% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 1.1% | 2.30 | 2.68 | +6.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Emmanuel Clase (OGILVIE) | — | — | 2.84 | 25.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | — | 3.10 | 25.0% | 20.1% | 90 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2029 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 66 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 1.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 1.74 | 27.5% | 5.7% | 0.4% | .275 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 10.6% | 129 | +2.73 | 1.74 | 195 | 66 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.30 | 29.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | .270 | 3.70 | 24.8% | 17.0% | 177 | +0.40 | 2.37 | 318 | 65 |
| Liam Hendriks R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.23 | 28.6% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 1.67 | 35.2% | 30.1% | 160 | -1.56 | 0.60 | 495 | 65 |
| Hunter Harvey R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.97 | 28.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | .248 | 3.13 | 25.1% | 18.7% | 51 | +0.16 | 2.00 | 269 | 62 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2028 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.66 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.61 | 3.05 | 176 | 62 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 2.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.42 | 24.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | .278 | 3.04 | 26.0% | 16.6% | 56 | +0.62 | 2.42 | 302 | 62 |
| Matt Bush R 2028 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .232 | 3.96 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 75 | +1.10 | 2.86 | 249 | 62 |
| Josh Lueke R 2028 · 2.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.50 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 61 |
| Heath Hembree R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.77 | 25.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .358 | 4.66 | 27.2% | 17.7% | 119 | +0.89 | 2.67 | 382 | 60 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .265 | 4.48 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.02 | 3.46 | 173 | 60 |
| Josh Fields R 2027 · 1.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 1.86 | 32.1% | 7.7% | 0.9% | .298 | 3.39 | 25.2% | 19.0% | 162 | +1.53 | 1.86 | 238 | 60 |
| Richard Rodríguez R 2026 · 2.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.16 | 31.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | .294 | 4.08 | 22.0% | 16.7% | 153 | +1.92 | 2.16 | 545 | 59 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 2.54 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.54 | 27.6% | 8.0% | 1.4% | .248 | 4.07 | 22.1% | 14.7% | 153 | +1.53 | 2.54 | 279 | 59 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 2.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.74 | 26.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | .278 | 4.54 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 128 | +1.80 | 2.74 | 469 | 59 |
| Kelvin Herrera R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | .285 | 3.92 | 22.6% | 15.4% | 51 | +0.09 | 2.32 | 297 | 58 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 2.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.85 | 22.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% | .313 | 4.04 | 28.3% | 18.0% | 75 | +1.19 | 2.85 | 185 | 58 |
| Pedro Strop R 2028 · 2.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.64 | 30.0% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .211 | 2.84 | 26.9% | 18.5% | 167 | +0.20 | 2.48 | 277 | 58 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 2.50 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.50 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 1.0% | .323 | 2.98 | 30.9% | 21.5% | 63 | +0.48 | 2.50 | 121 | 58 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.91 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 1.1% | .262 | 4.55 | 24.1% | 11.9% | 88 | +1.64 | 0.76 | 348 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 46 | 25.3% | 4.7% | 0.76 | 3.02 |
| Ryan Madson ('18) | 4 | 60 | 23.6% | 6.1% | 0.79 | 3.19 |
| Addison Reed ('18) | 4 | 66 | 24.0% | 5.7% | 0.98 | 3.05 |
| Roberto Osuna ('19) | 5 | 62 | 28.5% | 4.5% | 0.81 | 2.75 |
| Seunghwan Oh ('18) | 3 | 69 | 27.7% | 5.9% | 1.00 | 2.78 |
| Will Harris ('19) | 5 | 59 | 27.0% | 6.2% | 0.82 | 2.36 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |