Hunter Harvey — OGILVIE

Hunter Harvey P Chicago Cubs

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 233 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10092vR 84

ERA3.67

FIP3.53

K%27.6%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%21.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD6060

K†6565

CU (4%)

FB-0.6 (50%)

SL-2.2 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	2	2	5	18	11	0	0	100%	2.5	61.1%	0.0%	61.1%	0.0%	0.00	-2.06	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	2	2	5	18	11	0	0	100%	2.5	61.1%	0.0%	61.1%	0.0%	0.00	-1.30	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	6	14	54	20	3	0	100%	2.3	37.0%	5.6%	31.5%	0.0%	1.32	0.68	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	6	14	54	20	3	0	100%	2.3	37.0%	5.6%	31.5%	0.0%	1.32	0.83	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	9	9	32	138	30	9	3	100%	3.6	17.6%	7.2%	10.4%	2.5%	5.57	3.87	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	9	9	32	138	30	9	3	100%	3.6	21.7%	6.5%	15.2%	2.2%	5.57	3.29	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	11	82	353	94	30	17	33%	2.5	21.0%	8.7%	12.4%	6.0%	4.72	5.69	-1.1
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	11	82	353	94	30	17	33%	2.5	26.6%	8.5%	18.1%	4.8%	4.72	4.60	-0.0
2020	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	10	0	9	37	6	2	2	0%	0.9	16.2%	5.4%	10.8%	5.4%	4.15	5.38	-0.1
2020	25	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	10	0	9	37	6	2	2	0%	0.9	16.2%	5.4%	10.8%	5.4%	4.15	5.41	-0.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	1	19	87	13	4	3	6%	1.1	12.1%	2.1%	10.0%	4.3%	6.27	4.69	-0.0
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	1	19	87	13	4	3	6%	1.1	14.9%	4.6%	10.3%	3.4%	6.27	4.44	+0.0
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	2	45	179	53	14	1	5%	1.0	28.7%	7.6%	21.0%	0.6%	2.20	2.00	+1.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	2	45	179	53	14	1	5%	1.0	29.6%	7.8%	21.8%	0.6%	2.20	1.97	+1.4
2023	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	57	0	61	235	67	12	7	0%	1.1	28.5%	5.1%	23.4%	3.0%	2.82	2.97	+1.1
2023	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	57	0	61	235	67	12	7	0%	1.1	28.5%	5.1%	23.4%	3.0%	2.82	2.97	+1.1
2023	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	57	0	61	235	67	12	7	0%	1.1	28.5%	5.1%	23.4%	3.0%	2.82	2.98	+1.1
2024	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	49	0	51	219	55	14	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	6.4%	18.7%	2.5%	4.44	3.14	+0.8
2024	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	49	0	51	219	55	14	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	6.4%	18.7%	2.5%	4.44	3.14	+0.8
2024	29	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	49	0	51	219	55	14	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	6.4%	18.7%	2.3%	4.44	3.04	+0.9
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	1	14	51	16	1	0	7%	0.9	31.4%	2.0%	29.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	+0.6
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	1	14	51	16	1	0	7%	0.9	31.4%	2.0%	29.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	+0.6
2025	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	1	14	51	16	1	0	7%	0.9	31.4%	2.0%	29.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.98	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			186	0	189	767	205	49	19	0%	1.0	26.7%	6.4%	20.3%	2.5%	3.19	3.02	+3.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	4	0	4	18	4	1	2	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	6.75	—	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	4	0	4	18	4	1	2	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	6.75	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	MLB RAW	CHC	4	0	4	18	4	1	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	11.1%	6.75	8.03	—
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	CHC	4	0	4	18	4	1	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	11.1%	6.75	8.03	—
ROS	31	MLB MLE	CHC	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0%	1.1	27.6%	5.9%	21.7%	3.0%	3.67	3.53	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	27.6%	5.9%	21.7%	3.0%	3.67	3.53	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	5	23	5	1	2	—	—	23.3%	5.6%	17.7%	9.4%	6.07	0.78	+0.3
FULL	31	MLB A+C	CHC	—	—	5	22	5	1	2	—	—	24.5%	5.9%	18.6%	9.9%	6.07	7.20	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	262	70	16	8	0%	1.1	26.8%	6.3%	20.5%	3.2%	3.74	3.79	+0.6
2028	33	MLB MLE	CHC	54	0	57	241	62	16	8	0%	1.1	25.9%	6.7%	19.2%	3.5%	3.94	4.07	+0.3
2027	32	MLB CTX	CHC	56	0	59	249	67	16	8	0%	1.1	26.8%	6.3%	20.5%	3.2%	3.74	3.79	+0.5
2028	33	MLB CTX	CHC	51	0	54	228	59	15	8	0%	1.1	25.9%	6.7%	19.2%	3.5%	3.94	4.07	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		295	0	303	1250	332	80	35	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.4%	20.2%	2.8%	3.43	3.22	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		194	0	200	824	219	53	23	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.4%	20.2%	2.8%	3.43	3.22	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		246	32	334	1389	339	89	46	13%	1.4	24.4%	6.4%	18.0%	3.3%	3.77	3.65	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	19	200	831	203	53	27	13%	1.4	24.4%	6.4%	18.0%	3.3%	3.77	3.65	+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Harvey (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.53	27.6%	5.9%	3.0%	—	3.92	26.3%	19.8%	119	+0.39	—	—	—
Josh Fields R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	26.9%	6.3%	4.3%	.216	5.01	20.5%	12.9%	66	+1.03	1.90	238	72
Jumbo Diaz R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	31	SU	3.16	25.2%	6.0%	2.6%	.286	3.65	21.9%	12.2%	152	+0.49	2.80	284	71
Mark Lowe R 2015 · 2.37 FIP	32	SU	2.37	28.4%	5.1%	1.9%	.302	5.22	19.2%	9.9%	98	+2.85	2.37	153	71
Rubby De La Rosa R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	30	SU	4.21	27.7%	8.0%	4.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	281	71
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	69
Pedro Strop R 2016 · 2.56 FIP	31	SU	2.56	32.1%	7.5%	2.2%	.211	3.30	25.5%	16.3%	162	+0.74	2.56	277	68
Gregory Infante R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	31	SU	4.07	22.0%	4.6%	4.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	230	68
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	68
Chris Martin R 2018 · 3.04 FIP	32	SU	3.04	20.9%	1.7%	2.7%	.311	2.92	25.7%	23.1%	117	-0.12	1.76	416	68
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	68
Justin Miller R 2018 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	27.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.248	4.82	24.8%	18.8%	66	+0.58	2.63	279	68
Tommy Hunter R 2017 · 2.99 FIP	31	SU	2.99	28.1%	6.1%	2.7%	.257	3.16	20.5%	15.1%	89	+0.17	2.78	316	68
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	67
Luis García R 2018 · 3.05 FIP	31	SU	3.05	25.0%	8.3%	1.8%	.341	4.16	22.5%	13.9%	113	+1.11	2.33	617	66
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	66
Sam Dyson R 2019 · 3.21 FIP	31	SU	3.21	22.1%	5.2%	2.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	333	66
Matt Bush R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	31	SU	3.60	24.2%	7.9%	2.8%	.321	4.72	17.6%	4.6%	23	+1.12	2.87	249	66
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	66
Chad Gaudin R 2016 · 2.67 FIP	33	SU	2.67	22.8%	6.8%	1.2%	.325	3.15	21.8%	13.9%	58	+0.48	2.02	102	65
Yimi García R 2022 · 3.12 FIP	31	SU	3.12	23.5%	5.3%	2.4%	.247	3.15	29.2%	22.7%	126	+0.03	1.48	416	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	26.8%	6.3%	1.25	3.78
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70