Hunter Harvey
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 233 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10091vR 82
ERA3.67
FIP3.53
K%27.6%
BB%5.9%
K-BB%21.7%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CU (4%)
FB-0.6 (50%)
SL-2.2 (14%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 61.1% | 0.0% | 61.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.06 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 61.1% | 0.0% | 61.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.30 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 14 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 37.0% | 5.6% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 1.32 | 0.68 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 14 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 37.0% | 5.6% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 1.32 | 0.83 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 9 | 9 | 32 | 138 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 17.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 5.57 | 3.80 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 9 | 9 | 32 | 138 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 5.57 | 3.29 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 11 | 82 | 353 | 94 | 30 | 17 | 33% | 2.5 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 4.72 | 5.79 | -0.7 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 11 | 82 | 353 | 94 | 30 | 17 | 33% | 2.5 | 26.6% | 8.5% | 18.1% | 4.8% | 4.72 | 4.60 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.2% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 4.15 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.2% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 4.15 | 5.41 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 19 | 87 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6% | 1.1 | 12.1% | 2.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 6.27 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 19 | 87 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 6.27 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 45 | 179 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 5% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 7.6% | 21.0% | 0.6% | 2.20 | 2.00 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 45 | 179 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 5% | 1.0 | 29.6% | 7.8% | 21.8% | 0.6% | 2.20 | 1.97 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 57 | 0 | 61 | 235 | 67 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 5.1% | 23.4% | 3.0% | 2.82 | 2.97 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 57 | 0 | 61 | 235 | 67 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 5.1% | 23.4% | 3.0% | 2.82 | 2.98 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 49 | 0 | 51 | 219 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 6.4% | 18.7% | 2.4% | 4.44 | 3.13 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 49 | 0 | 51 | 219 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 6.4% | 18.7% | 2.3% | 4.44 | 3.04 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7% | 0.9 | 31.4% | 2.0% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.70 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7% | 0.9 | 31.4% | 2.0% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.98 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CHC | 39 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 48 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 5.9% | 21.7% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.53 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CHC | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 48 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 5.9% | 21.7% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.53 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 45 | 192 | 52 | 11 | 7 | — | — | 27.0% | 5.8% | 21.2% | 3.7% | 3.94 | 3.22 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 45 | 190 | 52 | 11 | 7 | — | — | 27.2% | 5.9% | 21.3% | 3.8% | 3.94 | 3.61 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 70 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 6.3% | 20.5% | 3.2% | 3.74 | 3.79 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 62 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 6.7% | 19.2% | 3.5% | 3.94 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 55 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 4.20 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 67 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 6.3% | 20.5% | 3.2% | 3.74 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 59 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 6.7% | 19.2% | 3.5% | 3.94 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 50 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 4.20 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 378 | 0 | 390 | 1617 | 428 | 105 | 48 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 6.5% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 3.55 | 3.30 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 829 | 219 | 54 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 6.5% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 3.55 | 3.30 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 246 | 32 | 334 | 1389 | 339 | 89 | 46 | 13% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 6.4% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 3.77 | 3.67 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 19 | 200 | 831 | 203 | 53 | 28 | 13% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 6.4% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 3.77 | 3.67 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Harvey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.53 | 27.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.06 | 25.9% | 19.2% | 171 | +0.53 | — | — | — |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 71 |
| Mark Lowe R 2027 · 2.37 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.37 | 28.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.17 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 98 | +2.80 | 2.37 | 153 | 71 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.04 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 281 | 70 |
| Ryan Madson R 2029 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 69 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 26.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | .216 | 5.10 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 66 | +0.87 | 1.86 | 238 | 68 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 2.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.50 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 68 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 68 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 68 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.64 | 22.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 230 | 67 |
| Chris Martin R 2027 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 20.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | .311 | 2.92 | 25.7% | 23.1% | 117 | -0.14 | 1.76 | 416 | 67 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.48 | 32.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .211 | 3.23 | 25.5% | 16.3% | 162 | +0.75 | 2.48 | 277 | 66 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.24 | 27.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | .248 | 4.79 | 24.8% | 18.8% | 66 | +0.55 | 2.54 | 279 | 65 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.04 | 28.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .257 | 3.20 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 89 | +0.16 | 2.82 | 316 | 65 |
| Chad Gaudin R 2028 · 2.66 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.66 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | .325 | 3.46 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 58 | +0.80 | 2.02 | 102 | 65 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 65 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 65 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 65 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.08 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.20 | 22.5% | 13.9% | 113 | +1.12 | 2.40 | 617 | 64 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.21 | 22.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 333 | 64 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 26.3% | 6.5% | 1.31 | 3.89 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |