Matt Lloyd

3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	29	AAASTL	317	.272/.367/.434	8	7	76	—	.221/.291/.340
2025	29	ASTL	22	.250/.455/.438	1	1	97	—	.222/.364/.389
2026	30	AAABOS	111	.206/.300/.381	5	0	38	—	.167/.227/.275
2027PROJ10% MLB	31	MLBBOS	17	.233/.301/.364	0	0	83	0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	32	MLBBOS	42	.229/.295/.353	1	0	79	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%89

BB%54

Max EV49

Z-Con%30

Whiff%26

K%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsVal Majewski (age 31) · Ryan Flaherty (age 31) · Mitch Maier (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .301 / .364

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP312

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	23	A	Dayton Dragons	—	87	76	17	6	0	3	10	21	1	1	2	224	322	421	743	197	269	24	11	332	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	98	23	3	0	7	12	36	3	0	1	235	336	480	816	245	286	32	11	358	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	75	14	5	0	2	10	25	1	1	0	187	291	333	624	147	250	29	12	286	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	404	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	413	111	25	0	17	56	98	7	16	2	269	366	453	818	184	305	20	12	358	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	317	272	74	18	1	8	41	77	0	7	3	272	367	434	801	162	347	24	13	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	22	16	4	0	0	1	6	3	0	1	0	250	455	438	892	188	250	14	27	408	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	97	20	2	0	5	13	32	0	0	0	206	300	381	681	175	246	29	12	305	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	87	79	13	5	0	2	7	30	1	1	2	165	241	304	545	139	233	34	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	101	20	2	0	6	9	42	3	0	1	198	283	396	679	198	258	37	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	78	12	4	0	2	7	30	1	1	0	154	233	282	515	128	217	35	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	432	92	21	0	10	37	127	7	16	2	213	286	331	617	118	259	26	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	317	285	63	14	1	6	28	97	0	7	3	221	291	340	631	119	301	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	22	18	4	0	0	1	4	4	0	1	0	222	364	389	753	167	213	18	18	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	102	17	2	0	3	8	38	0	0	0	167	227	275	502	108	211	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	87	79	13	5	0	2	7	30	1	1	2	165	241	304	545	139	234	34	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	87	76	17	6	0	3	10	21	1	1	2	224	322	421	743	197	269	24	11	332	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	101	20	2	0	6	9	42	3	0	1	198	283	396	679	198	259	37	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	98	23	3	0	7	12	36	3	0	1	235	336	480	816	245	286	32	11	358	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	78	12	4	0	2	7	30	1	1	0	154	233	282	515	128	217	35	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	75	14	5	0	2	10	25	1	1	0	187	291	333	624	147	250	29	12	286	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	404	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	432	92	21	0	10	37	127	7	16	2	213	286	331	617	118	269	26	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	413	111	25	0	17	56	98	7	16	2	269	366	453	818	184	305	20	12	358	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	339	303	67	14	1	7	32	101	0	8	3	221	296	343	639	122	303	30	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	339	288	78	18	1	9	47	80	0	8	3	271	373	434	807	163	342	24	14	358	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	102	17	2	0	3	8	38	0	0	0	167	227	275	502	108	226	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	97	20	2	0	5	13	32	0	0	0	206	300	381	681	175	246	29	12	305	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	87	79	13	5	0	2	7	30	1	1	2	165	241	304	545	139	233	34	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	101	20	2	0	6	9	42	3	0	1	198	283	396	679	198	258	37	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	78	12	4	0	2	7	30	1	1	0	154	233	282	515	128	217	35	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	439	92	21	0	10	37	127	7	16	2	210	286	326	611	116	259	26	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	339	304	67	14	1	7	32	101	0	8	3	220	296	342	638	122	295	30	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	102	17	2	0	3	8	38	0	0	0	167	227	275	502	108	211	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	439	92	21	0	10	37	127	7	16	2	210	286	326	611	116	259	26	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	339	304	67	14	1	7	32	101	0	8	3	220	296	342	638	122	295	30	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	111	102	17	2	0	3	8	38	0	0	0	167	227	275	502	108	211	34	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BOS	10%	200	181	42	8	1	5	16	57	1	3	1	226	294	353	648	127	301	28	8	291	83	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	31	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	233	301	364	664	130	312	29	6	298	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	154	139	30	6	0	3	13	44	1	1	1	222	289	343	632	121	296	29	8	284	79	-4	-0	-4	+1	+3	-0.4
2028	32	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	42	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	229	295	353	649	125	307	29	7	291	79	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	231	286	359	645	128	308	29	7	291	45	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	139	31	0	15	46	186	0	0	0	230	285	356	641	126	308	29	7	291	45	-17	+0	-15	+2	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1780	1577	341	74	1	46	167	507	14	34	11	216	297	352	649	136	283	28	9	235	45	-7	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	124	27	0	17	61	185	5	12	4	215	296	351	647	135	281	28	9	235	45	-15	+0	-7	+2	+14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Lloyd (OGILVIE)	31	50	50	50	60	224/292/350	126	301	4	3	29%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Val Majewski 2012 · AAA	31	46→54	46→45	50	46	231/289/361	130	284	14	11	24%	7%	83	+0.1	217/268/315	98	265	7	9	20%	6%	64	-1.3	196/241/265	68	238	1	5	17%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	44→47	45→55	50→45	47	219/288/344	125	279	13	5	26%	8%	79	-0.2	225/295/341	116	289	12	7	25%	8%	82	-0.0	212/278/332	121	273	14	4	27%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Mitch Maier 2013 · MLB	31	48→56	44→50	52→50	52	233/310/352	118	296	11	9	24%	10%	89	+0.5	228/298/350	122	308	13	9	28%	9%	84	+0.1	259/340/362	102	329	10	11	22%	11%	97	+0.3
✕Garrett Stubbs 2024 · MLB	31	47	45	54→50	51	229/307/352	123	286	12	11	24%	9%	88	+0.4	218/290/318	100	282	10	12	25%	8%	74	-0.5	204/276/286	82	265	9	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	31	45→53	44→50	48→50	45	224/285/345	121	285	12	9	25%	7%	78	-0.3	206/266/321	115	282	12	7	30%	7%	65	-1.2	208/267/328	119	277	15	4	29%	7%	65	-0.9
●Dustin Martin 2015 · AAA	31	48→58	47→50	50→55	46	240/298/380	140	300	14	13	25%	8%	91	+0.6	251/309/395	144	319	15	24	25%	7%	99	+1.2	248/312/391	142	315	15	30	25%	8%	101	+0.9
✕Andy Burns 2022 · MLB	31	43→53	47→50	51→55	51	217/297/356	140	273	15	15	25%	10%	86	+0.3	203/274/313	110	283	11	12	30%	9%	68	-1.0	174/245/259	85	244	9	8	31%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Cole Sturgeon 2022 · AAA	30	48→50	46→45	49→50	41	235/288/365	129	307	13	11	27%	6%	84	+0.1	212/264/313	101	254	10	12	20%	6%	63	-1.4	198/249/284	86	234	8	11	19%	6%	48	-2.0
✕Mike Freeman 2020 · MLB	32	48→58	44→45	44→55	46	234/299/346	112	307	12	9	27%	8%	84	+0.1	220/293/331	111	295	11	8	27%	9%	78	-0.3	185/264/270	85	252	8	6	28%	9%	52	-1.0
✕Beau Taylor 2021 · MLB	31	43→48	45	48→30	50	207/298/330	123	298	12	5	32%	11%	80	-0.1	205/287/308	103	291	10	5	31%	9%	71	-0.8	186/273/265	79	266	8	0	31%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Sherman Johnson 2021 · AAA	31	42→49	43→45	46→50	45	208/273/316	109	285	10	10	30%	8%	68	-1.0	200/286/307	107	285	9	9	30%	9%	71	-0.8	156/262/243	88	226	7	5	31%	11%	46	-1.2
✕Eddy Alvarez 2020 · AAA	30	46→54	45→50	50→55	46	224/291/353	128	291	12	13	26%	8%	82	+0.0	240/316/380	140	317	14	14	27%	7%	99	+1.2	237/326/375	138	315	14	18	27%	8%	99	+0.5
✕Matt Reynolds 2021 · AAA	30	47→57	47→45	50	48	229/304/377	148	302	13	9	27%	9%	93	+0.8	222/292/334	112	315	9	9	30%	9%	78	-0.3	213/283/331	117	302	10	8	31%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Mario Lisson 2015 · AAA	31	43→49	49→50	47→55	45	222/290/369	146	272	17	12	25%	7%	86	+0.3	220/284/341	121	288	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	208/273/315	108	275	12	6	28%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Jason Pridie 2014 · MLB	30	46→55	46→50	53→55	41	229/275/358	129	295	13	10	27%	6%	77	-0.3	232/277/367	135	287	15	20	24%	6%	80	-0.1	231/277/368	137	279	16	24	23%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Jon Weber 2009 · AAA	31	47→53	46→50	48→50	45	233/284/367	133	282	13	12	22%	6%	82	+0.0	231/287/357	126	287	11	8	22%	7%	82	-0.0	231/289/353	121	285	9	5	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Andrew Beattie 2008 · AAA	30	44→51	47→45	46→50	47	223/290/358	135	284	15	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	231/282/354	123	292	13	13	24%	7%	79	-0.2	235/280/345	110	294	10	14	23%	6%	74	-0.5
✕David Bote 2024 · MLB	31	43→50	47→50	49→45	44	215/285/352	137	279	14	9	27%	7%	80	-0.1	228/291/375	147	283	15	8	24%	7%	88	+0.4	231/286/393	162	270	16	0	20%	6%	88	+0.1
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	47→52	48→50	50→45	48	237/307/381	145	297	16	9	25%	8%	95	+1.0	224/301/380	156	272	16	8	23%	8%	93	+0.8	214/294/368	154	261	17	5	24%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→43	44→50	48→45	46	233/288/347	114	287	11	9	23%	7%	80	-0.2	226/276/349	123	280	13	6	24%	6%	76	-0.4	215/264/337	122	269	13	2	25%	6%	66	-0.6