Tyler O'Neill — OGILVIE

Tyler O'NeillRF Baltimore Orioles

Age 31 R/R 5'9" / 200 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 7.343 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION175 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 178153vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .335 / .465

PA178

HR9

K%29

BB%11

BABIP302

ISO219

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4711.2%

xwOBA

760.339

POWER60

Barrel%

9015.5

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE55

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 711 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

215

496

—

wRC+

187

◀◀L

wOBA

429

310

◀◀L

ISO

382

185

◀◀L

BABIP

309

267

◀L

31.2%

29.8%

▶R

BB%

12.6%

9.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.343 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$7M	+0.3	$1M	-$5M
2027	Ext	$16M	+1.2	$9M	-$6M
Totals		$23M		$10M	-$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	116	105	23	3	2	1	7	39	4	2	4	219	293	314	607	95	338	34	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	116	100	31	5	3	1	12	27	4	2	4	310	405	450	855	140	417	23	10	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	245	227	40	7	0	7	12	104	5	5	0	176	234	300	533	123	282	42	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	245	219	54	9	0	13	20	79	5	5	0	247	324	466	790	219	320	32	8	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	480	446	87	18	2	24	20	201	8	16	5	195	243	406	648	211	278	42	4	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	480	437	116	24	2	35	29	148	8	16	5	265	323	570	893	304	312	31	6	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	661	593	152	31	3	25	45	222	10	13	3	256	319	445	765	189	354	34	7	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	661	564	165	31	4	27	74	172	10	13	3	293	384	505	890	213	365	26	11	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	557	511	94	18	2	24	38	191	3	14	2	184	245	368	612	184	233	34	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	557	495	122	26	3	31	54	151	3	14	2	246	324	499	823	253	286	27	10	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	415	375	94	12	1	32	29	149	5	5	1	251	313	544	857	293	310	36	7	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	415	368	107	14	2	35	36	125	5	5	1	291	362	625	987	334	336	30	9	418	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	341	321	70	11	0	14	19	133	0	4	0	218	262	383	645	165	320	39	6	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	341	316	81	12	0	18	24	113	0	4	0	256	309	465	774	209	339	33	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	157	139	24	5	0	7	15	43	2	3	1	173	263	360	623	187	189	27	10	276	70	-5	+0	+2	-2	+4	-0.0
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	157	139	24	5	0	7	15	43	2	3	1	173	263	360	623	187	189	27	10	279	72	-5	+0	+2	-2	+4	0.0
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	482	138	26	2	34	38	168	13	15	4	286	355	560	915	274	366	31	7	392	158	+35	+1	+3	-6	+15	5.0
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	482	138	26	2	34	38	168	13	15	4	286	355	560	915	274	366	31	7	395	161	+37	+1	+3	-6	+15	5.2
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	405	354	82	12	1	15	38	111	6	14	4	232	317	398	715	167	285	27	9	312	97	-1	+1	+1	-4	+11	0.8
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	405	354	84	13	1	15	38	109	6	14	4	237	322	407	728	169	291	27	9	322	104	+2	+1	+1	-4	+11	1.2
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	297	266	60	15	0	9	31	76	0	5	0	226	306	383	690	158	282	26	10	309	94	-2	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.4
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	297	264	61	15	0	9	33	74	0	5	0	231	316	390	707	159	287	25	11	318	102	+1	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.6
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	473	411	96	16	0	31	53	159	7	4	0	234	331	499	830	265	291	34	11	349	125	+14	+1	-5	-5	+13	1.8
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	473	411	99	18	0	31	53	159	7	4	0	241	338	511	849	270	305	34	11	370	141	+22	+1	-5	-5	+13	2.7
2025	30	MLB	3 teams	—	259	228	48	6	1	10	25	66	3	4	0	211	297	377	674	167	245	25	10	293	83	-5	+1	-5	-3	+7	-0.4
2025	30	MLB	3 teams	—	259	226	50	6	1	11	27	63	3	4	0	221	312	403	715	181	252	24	10	317	101	+0	+1	-5	-3	+7	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	BAL	—	175	154	30	6	0	6	19	50	2	1	0	195	291	351	642	156	245	29	11	289	80	-4	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
YTD	31	MLB	BAL	—	175	154	30	6	0	6	19	50	2	1	0	195	291	351	642	156	245	29	11	293	82	-4	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
ROS	31	MLB	BAL	100%	178	155	38	7	0	9	19	51	2	2	0	245	335	465	800	219	298	29	11	346	123	+5	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.9
ROS	31	MLB	BAL	100%	178	155	38	7	0	9	19	51	2	2	0	245	335	465	800	219	304	29	11	344	122	+4	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.9
FULL	31	MLB	BAL	—	353	309	68	13	0	15	38	101	4	3	0	220	313	408	721	188	273	29	11	317	101	+0	+1	+0	-4	+10	0.8
TOT	31	MLB	BAL	—	353	309	68	13	0	15	38	101	4	3	0	220	313	408	721	188	273	29	11	318	102	+1	+1	+0	-4	+10	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	BAL	100%	334	291	70	13	0	16	36	97	4	3	1	241	332	450	782	210	297	29	11	342	120	+8	+0	-2	-4	+9	1.2
2028	33	MLB	BAL	100%	304	265	61	11	0	14	33	90	3	2	0	230	322	430	752	200	290	30	11	333	113	+5	+0	-3	-3	+9	0.8
2027	32	MLB	BAL	100%	334	291	70	13	0	16	36	97	4	3	1	241	332	450	782	210	303	29	11	340	118	+7	+0	-2	-4	+9	1.1
2028	33	MLB	BAL	100%	304	265	62	11	0	14	33	90	3	2	0	234	326	434	760	200	296	30	11	331	112	+4	+0	-3	-3	+9	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3134	2767	668	122	4	157	299	939	41	55	10	241	324	459	783	217	301	30	10	342	120	+72	+7	-6	-40	+89	12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	139	25	1	33	62	195	9	11	2	242	326	462	788	220	302	30	10	342	120	+15	+1	-1	-8	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	5759	5169	1177	211	14	272	458	1900	75	111	25	228	300	432	732	204	297	33	8	317	101	+4	+12	-6	-62	+163	11.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	134	24	2	31	52	214	8	13	3	230	301	437	739	208	299	33	8	317	101	+0	+1	-1	-7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	116	100	31	5	3	1	12	27	4	2	4	310	405	450	855	140	417	23	10	384	152	+7	-1	—	—	+3	0.9
2014	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	245	219	54	9	0	13	20	79	5	5	0	247	324	466	790	219	320	32	8	348	124	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2015	20	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	—	449	407	106	21	2	32	29	137	7	16	5	260	321	558	878	297	303	31	6	375	145	+23	+1	—	—	+13	3.8
2015	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	31	30	10	3	0	3	0	11	1	0	0	333	355	733	1.088	400	438	35	0	466	215	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2016	21	AA	Jackson Generals	—	575	492	144	26	4	24	62	150	9	12	2	293	382	508	890	215	364	26	11	385	152	+34	+2	—	—	+16	5.3
2016	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	86	72	21	5	0	3	12	22	1	1	1	292	400	486	886	194	375	26	14	390	157	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2017	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	557	495	122	26	3	31	54	151	3	14	2	246	324	499	823	253	286	27	10	357	131	+20	+2	—	—	+16	3.8
2018	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	142	130	33	5	0	9	7	57	3	2	0	254	307	500	807	246	364	40	5	348	125	+4	+0	+2	-4	+4	0.6
2018	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	273	238	74	9	2	26	29	68	2	3	1	311	390	693	1.084	382	324	25	11	454	206	+33	+0	—	—	+8	4.1
2019	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	141	37	6	0	5	10	53	0	1	0	262	311	411	723	149	386	35	7	322	105	+1	+0	-1	-4	+4	0.1
2019	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	166	151	40	5	0	11	14	51	0	3	0	265	327	517	844	252	322	31	8	366	138	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2019	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	24	24	4	1	0	2	0	9	0	0	0	167	167	458	625	292	154	38	0	265	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	157	139	24	5	0	7	15	43	2	3	1	173	263	360	623	187	189	27	10	279	72	-5	+0	+2	-2	+4	0.0
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	482	138	26	2	34	38	168	13	15	4	286	355	560	915	274	366	31	7	395	161	+37	+1	+3	-6	+15	5.2
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	383	334	76	11	1	14	38	103	4	14	4	228	314	392	706	165	277	27	10	312	97	-1	+1	+1	-4	+11	0.8
2022	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	22	20	8	2	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	400	455	650	1.105	250	538	27	0	484	228	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	266	238	55	14	0	9	28	67	0	5	0	231	312	403	715	172	284	25	11	320	103	+1	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.6
2023	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	31	26	6	1	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	231	355	269	624	38	316	23	16	300	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	29	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	473	411	99	18	0	31	53	159	7	4	0	241	338	511	849	270	305	34	11	370	141	+22	+1	-5	-5	+13	2.7
2025	30	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	209	181	36	6	1	9	22	51	3	4	0	199	296	392	688	193	218	24	11	305	91	-2	+1	-5	-3	+6	-0.3
2025	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	30	27	10	0	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	370	433	481	915	111	429	17	10	411	172	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	30	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	20	18	4	0	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	222	300	389	689	167	300	35	10	310	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2318	2056	498	91	4	118	211	701	32	48	9	242	322	463	785	220	303	30	9	344	121	+56	+6	-2	-31	+66	9.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Russell Branyanlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,352 PA	12	3,352	193	16	233	329	488	-25	-10	17.1	14.8
	/162	664	38	3	233	329	488	-4.9	-2.0	3.4	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	3,484	172	60	240	320	456	-37	-10	13.5	13.1
	/162	664	33	11	240	320	456	-7.1	-2.0	2.6	pk7: 13
#2Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
#4Matt Joycelast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA	13	4,318	146	34	242	343	425	-46	-44	11.7	11.9
	/162	664	22	5	242	343	425	-7.1	-6.7	1.8	pk7: 12
#5Tony Clarklast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,637 PA	10	2,637	124	0	250	328	467	-35	-28	7.8	8.7
	/162	664	31	0	250	328	467	-8.8	-7.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#6David Delluccilast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,658 PA	10	2,658	94	36	249	336	439	-26	-28	7.6	7.9
	/162	664	23	9	249	336	439	-6.5	-7.0	1.9	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler O'Neill (OGILVIE)	31	40	60	55	55	220/313/408	188	273	15	3	29%	11%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Reynolds 2015 · MLB	31	38→48	57→65	45→50	52	213/304/400	187	259	27	6	29%	11%	99	+1.7	231/314/396	165	297	21	4	28%	10%	102	+1.8	232/318/389	157	302	19	2	28%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Patrick Wisdom 2023 · MLB	31	39→45	63→70	45→50	45	218/302/450	232	292	32	9	36%	9%	111	+2.5	216/296/455	239	283	33	10	35%	9%	110	+2.4	202/282/485	283	230	42	9	34%	9%	109	+1.0
✕Pedro Álvarez 2017 · MLB	30	44→46	61→60	47→45	51	243/317/462	219	281	30	5	26%	10%	120	+3.1	234/288/432	198	282	28	3	27%	7%	100	+1.7	224/273/415	191	267	28	1	28%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Seth Brown 2023 · MLB	31	43→49	62→65	51→50	48	236/305/468	232	275	30	11	27%	9%	117	+2.9	243/303/439	196	296	26	8	27%	8%	108	+2.3	244/302/433	189	296	26	5	27%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Jonny Gomes 2013 · MLB	32	48→52	57→60	46→50	53	248/347/444	196	311	26	8	28%	11%	128	+3.6	239/338/399	160	310	20	4	27%	11%	112	+2.6	228/329/365	137	299	17	1	27%	11%	95	+0.7
✕Mark Trumbo 2017 · MLB	31	46→52	63→65	46→45	46	253/308/480	227	286	32	3	25%	7%	121	+3.2	240/295/426	186	283	26	3	25%	7%	102	+1.8	235/290/396	161	278	23	1	25%	7%	89	+0.8
●Chris Carter 2018 · MLB	31	38→48	63→65	44→45	48	216/308/446	230	278	32	3	34%	11%	112	+2.6	221/318/488	267	285	38	4	35%	11%	128	+3.6	206/316/501	295	244	43	2	36%	13%	128	+2.6
✕Mitch Jones 2010 · MLB	32	40	63→65	50→45	40	229/285/465	236	279	32	10	31%	6%	108	+2.3	209/252/382	173	265	21	9	30%	5%	72	-0.2	179/217/334	155	224	18	7	30%	4%	43	-1.7
✕Colby Rasmus 2018 · MLB	31	42→52	58→60	48→50	46	228/296/426	198	290	27	6	31%	9%	102	+1.9	227/289/393	166	304	20	8	31%	8%	90	+1.0	168/227/276	108	239	12	0	34%	6%	32	-0.5
✕Mitch Haniger 2022 · MLB	31	46→56	64→65	49→50	48	256/324/493	237	288	34	3	25%	8%	131	+3.9	238/308/426	188	286	25	3	26%	8%	107	+2.2	219/294/376	157	274	21	1	27%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Dean Palmer 2001 · MLB	32	48→47	59→60	45→50	54	254/337/463	208	296	28	6	24%	11%	128	+3.7	234/319/413	179	282	22	8	25%	10%	108	+2.3	222/317/426	204	253	27	10	24%	11%	109	+1.0
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	43→40	58→65	48→45	44	232/297/443	211	273	26	5	26%	7%	107	+2.2	209/274/366	157	263	19	6	28%	6%	77	+0.1	192/258/327	135	242	17	4	28%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Trayce Thompson 2023 · MLB	32	43→47	64→65	48→50	45	234/311/475	241	312	32	8	35%	9%	121	+3.2	207/282/391	184	296	24	10	36%	9%	87	+0.8	177/251/330	153	254	20	11	37%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Shelley Duncan 2010 · MLB	30	41→45	58→60	48→45	49	228/297/431	203	253	27	5	23%	8%	104	+2.0	227/300/407	180	266	23	4	24%	9%	99	+1.7	219/300/395	176	256	23	2	24%	9%	91	+0.7
✕Hunter Renfroe 2023 · MLB	31	45→47	63→70	41→45	48	251/312/486	235	275	33	3	23%	8%	124	+3.4	237/301/419	182	272	23	3	22%	8%	102	+1.8	225/292/387	162	260	19	1	21%	8%	88	+0.6
●Cyle Hankerd 2016 · AAA	31	48→49	58→60	43→45	41	254/320/458	204	297	27	6	24%	5%	121	+3.2	248/324/422	174	295	21	4	23%	6%	113	+2.6	240/322/398	157	298	19	1	25%	7%	105	+1.2
●Brandon Moss 2015 · MLB	31	47→50	63→65	47→45	51	253/339/494	240	301	32	4	27%	10%	137	+4.3	231/311/449	218	285	29	3	29%	9%	114	+2.7	221/298/443	222	270	31	1	30%	9%	103	+1.5
✕Marcus Thames 2008 · MLB	31	44→46	67→70	45→40	46	253/311/512	259	277	36	5	25%	7%	131	+3.9	249/308/475	226	289	33	3	26%	8%	120	+3.1	248/312/462	213	289	32	0	26%	8%	115	+1.4
✕Travis Shaw 2020 · MLB	30	42→52	59→60	47→45	57	229/330/437	208	262	28	6	25%	12%	119	+3.1	217/304/389	172	269	22	4	27%	10%	96	+1.5	213/295/382	170	262	22	0	27%	10%	89	+0.4
●Russell Branyan 2007 · MLB	31	46→45	64→70	50→45	53	243/342/490	247	317	33	5	33%	12%	137	+4.3	244/338/492	248	316	33	6	32%	12%	136	+4.2	249/338/514	265	305	37	3	30%	11%	135	+2.9