Player 837872 — OGILVIE

Player 837872— DSL Red Sox Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+77

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .306 / .337

PA188

HR3

SB6

K%24

BB%10

BABIP288

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	116	101	22	4	1	2	13	23	1	5	2	218	313	337	650	119	263	20	11	296	85	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	116	93	29	5	2	3	21	16	1	5	2	312	443	505	949	194	351	14	18	418	178	+10	+0	+0	-2	+3	1.2
ROS	—	ROK	—	0%	188	166	37	6	2	3	18	46	2	6	2	223	306	337	644	114	283	24	10	286	77	-5	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
ROS	—	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	286	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	—	—	116	102	22	4	1	2	13	23	1	5	2	216	313	333	646	118	260	20	11	296	85	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
TOT	—	ROK	—	—	304	267	59	10	3	5	31	69	3	11	4	221	309	337	646	116	278	23	10	290	80	-7	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	307	273	61	10	3	5	29	74	2	9	2	223	303	337	640	114	284	24	9	292	82	-6	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	402	358	82	14	4	8	38	96	3	13	3	229	308	358	666	128	285	24	9	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-7	+11	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	467	416	94	16	4	9	44	112	4	15	4	226	306	349	655	123	285	24	9	298	86	-7	+1	+0	-8	+13	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	511	454	105	18	5	11	48	122	4	16	4	231	310	366	676	134	285	24	9	299	87	-8	+2	+0	-9	+14	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	541	480	110	19	5	11	51	129	5	17	4	229	310	358	668	129	285	24	9	299	87	-8	+2	+0	-10	+15	-0.0
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	563	500	114	19	5	12	53	134	5	18	5	228	308	358	666	130	285	24	9	300	88	-8	+2	+0	-10	+16	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2979	2647	603	102	28	59	281	713	25	94	24	228	308	354	662	127	288	24	9	297	85	-49	+9	+0	-53	+84	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	131	22	6	13	61	156	5	21	5	227	305	353	658	126	286	24	9	297	85	-11	+2	+0	-12	+18	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,095	61	97	227	304	353	-35	+0	1.2	1.3
	/162	664	13	21	227	304	353	-7.6	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837872 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	221/309/337	116	278	5	11	23%	10%	80	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	46→49	42→50	53→50	39	221/266/325	104	308	9	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	230/288/343	113	330	11	9	32%	6%	76	+0.1	233/295/348	115	335	12	8	32%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40→55	48→55	44	206/273/302	95	290	7	12	30%	8%	59	-1.1	226/284/379	153	298	18	17	29%	7%	84	+0.6	227/289/390	162	290	20	21	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
✕Reid Gorecki 2006 · AA	25	42→51	43→50	50→55	45	209/273/323	114	278	10	19	28%	8%	65	-0.7	218/279/350	132	281	15	19	27%	7%	75	-0.0	249/303/371	121	310	12	21	23%	6%	86	+0.4
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→47	39→45	49→60	42	209/273/298	89	279	5	17	26%	6%	58	-1.2	219/305/336	117	296	11	28	28%	8%	82	+0.5	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA	24	43→50	43→50	54→55	47	210/282/326	116	268	10	20	25%	8%	69	-0.4	217/288/344	127	270	13	25	24%	7%	77	+0.1	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Ben Harrison 2006 · A	24	45→50	41→50	50	41	217/268/312	96	298	9	12	29%	6%	59	-1.1	229/289/375	146	313	18	11	31%	6%	85	+0.7	229/293/384	155	314	20	12	32%	7%	88	+0.7