Carter Howell — OGILVIE

Carter HowellRF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .271 / .299

PA250

HR2

K%26

BB%6

ISO92

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	30	7	1	0	0	3	8	1	1	0	233	324	267	590	33	318	24	9	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	29	9	2	0	0	4	6	1	1	0	310	412	379	791	69	391	18	12	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	3 teams	—	612	564	120	20	8	9	41	171	3	14	7	213	270	324	594	112	289	28	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	3 teams	—	612	544	159	27	10	13	61	128	3	14	7	292	367	450	817	158	362	21	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	459	106	21	8	2	33	122	6	15	4	231	291	325	616	94	307	24	7	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	445	121	30	7	3	47	99	6	15	4	272	349	391	740	119	340	20	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	395	71	14	2	5	27	119	12	8	4	180	253	263	517	84	240	27	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	385	85	17	3	7	36	95	12	8	4	221	306	335	642	114	272	22	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SF	—	250	228	47	9	2	2	16	64	4	4	2	206	270	289	560	83	279	26	6	261	58	-12	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SF	27%	267	243	51	10	2	3	18	68	4	4	2	210	275	305	580	95	280	25	7	266	62	-12	+0	-1	-3	+8	-0.8
2027	28	MLB	SF	27%	72	66	15	3	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	227	292	348	640	121	275	25	7	252	51	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	72	66	15	3	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	227	292	348	640	121	298	25	7	252	51	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	135	27	9	9	45	162	9	9	0	227	291	347	638	121	296	25	7	252	51	-36	+2	-2	-7	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	2107	1919	402	75	22	21	138	552	30	46	19	209	273	304	577	95	281	26	7	258	55	-106	+2	-1	-23	+60	-6.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	124	23	7	6	43	170	9	14	6	209	273	302	576	93	282	26	7	258	55	-33	+0	-0	-7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	29	9	2	0	0	4	6	1	1	0	310	412	379	791	69	391	18	12	366	138	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	354	311	84	17	4	6	38	70	2	6	3	270	353	408	762	138	332	20	11	340	118	+7	+0	—	—	+10	1.8
2023	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	197	178	60	9	4	4	17	39	1	8	3	337	398	500	898	163	415	20	9	395	161	+13	+0	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	61	55	15	1	2	3	6	19	0	0	1	273	344	527	872	255	364	31	10	378	148	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	445	121	30	7	3	47	99	6	15	4	272	349	391	740	119	340	20	9	330	111	+6	+1	—	—	+14	2.2
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	385	85	17	3	7	36	95	12	8	4	221	306	335	642	114	272	22	8	291	81	-10	+0	—	—	+12	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Howell (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	45	40	208/271/299	91	279	2	4	26%	6%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	44→42	39→40	44→45	43	211/263/301	90	278	6	9	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/247/276	71	259	6	8	22%	4%	40	-2.4	196/234/244	49	243	5	5	21%	4%	23	-1.9
✕Thomas Spitz 2018 · AA	26	46	40	46→50	46	220/284/308	88	294	7	11	27%	8%	65	-0.7	221/281/328	107	331	9	9	33%	7%	69	-0.4	212/269/352	140	358	9	4	41%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Webster Rivas 2018 · AA	27	46	38→45	43→40	41	221/266/302	81	295	5	3	26%	6%	55	-1.4	222/269/326	104	288	11	4	26%	6%	63	-0.8	212/288/300	88	279	8	1	25%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Ashley Graeter 2017 · AA	27	48	40	44→45	41	231/276/324	93	297	8	9	24%	5%	66	-0.6	221/263/327	106	275	10	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	207/240/310	103	249	11	8	22%	3%	45	-1.3
✕Sean Nicol 2014 · AA	27	49	39→40	45	46	234/286/319	86	291	6	7	21%	7%	68	-0.5	225/277/312	87	287	6	12	22%	7%	63	-0.9	205/246/252	47	270	0	18	23%	5%	29	-0.7
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA	27	43→45	38→45	48→50	45	204/264/282	78	262	5	11	23%	7%	50	-1.8	210/265/302	92	278	7	8	26%	6%	56	-1.3	201/251/279	78	266	5	2	25%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	40	223/273/293	70	303	5	9	27%	5%	56	-1.3	231/264/343	112	290	13	11	25%	4%	66	-0.6	236/240/307	72	281	14	5	22%	1%	40	-0.4
✕Brandon Macias 2016 · AAA	27	44→52	38→40	44→45	43	211/257/295	84	260	5	8	20%	5%	50	-1.7	202/257/309	107	261	11	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	183/241/276	93	240	12	2	28%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Khayyan Norfork 2016 · A	27	46→44	38→40	49→50	41	217/265/298	81	286	4	12	25%	5%	53	-1.5	215/272/285	70	291	5	8	26%	6%	53	-1.5	202/266/260	58	276	5	6	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	40	52→55	48	210/293/296	86	292	7	17	29%	9%	67	-0.5	198/255/335	137	308	15	14	39%	6%	61	-1.0	159/218/296	137	243	16	17	41%	6%	35	-1.4
✕Luis Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	46→49	39→40	45	41	224/263/310	87	281	6	8	22%	4%	56	-1.3	239/280/366	127	325	14	9	29%	5%	78	+0.2	250/282/375	125	338	16	5	30%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Anthony Giansanti 2015 · AAA	26	48→38	37→45	45	43	229/273/303	73	287	5	7	22%	5%	58	-1.2	214/263/289	75	280	6	9	24%	6%	50	-1.7	193/245/227	35	252	0	6	22%	6%	24	-1.2
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	46→48	37→40	51→55	41	219/261/300	81	285	4	15	24%	5%	52	-1.6	230/271/310	80	286	4	12	20%	5%	59	-1.1	242/281/309	67	291	3	13	17%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Jorge Flores 2019 · AAA	27	41→51	40→30	45→50	42	201/248/288	87	250	7	8	23%	5%	44	-2.1	252/334/352	100	301	10	13	19%	8%	98	+1.6	266/357/352	86	314	10	14	17%	8%	103	+1.6
✕Tommy Watkins 2007 · AAA	27	46→52	40	48→50	45	222/274/312	90	275	7	15	22%	6%	62	-0.9	230/283/320	90	275	7	13	18%	6%	67	-0.5	232/285/311	79	274	6	12	17%	6%	63	-0.4
✕David Vidal 2017 · A	27	45	40→45	48→30	44	214/276/311	97	301	7	8	30%	8%	63	-0.9	222/277/333	111	281	11	4	24%	6%	69	-0.4	218/277/330	113	272	13	2	24%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Diosbel Arias 2022 · AA	26	48→52	38→40	44→40	42	231/274/309	78	299	5	5	24%	6%	60	-1.0	225/282/330	105	319	10	5	31%	7%	70	-0.3	214/279/324	110	318	11	3	34%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Jeff Bianchi 2014 · MLB	27	49→56	39→45	46→50	43	234/273/317	83	286	7	13	21%	5%	62	-0.9	225/265/304	79	285	7	9	22%	5%	55	-1.4	211/250/265	54	277	4	6	24%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Carlos Penuelas 2015 · AAA	27	48	38→30	43→50	45	230/282/310	80	284	6	10	21%	6%	64	-0.8	249/289/313	64	300	5	11	18%	5%	67	-0.5	260/296/306	45	309	3	9	16%	4%	64	-0.3