Carter Howell — OGILVIE

Carter HowellRF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .295

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	29	9	2	0	0	4	6	1	1	0	310	412	379	791	69	391	18	12	366	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	354	311	84	17	4	6	38	70	2	6	3	270	353	408	762	138	332	20	11	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	197	178	60	9	4	4	17	39	1	8	3	337	398	500	898	163	415	20	9	395	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	61	55	15	1	2	3	6	19	0	0	1	273	344	527	872	255	364	31	10	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	445	121	30	7	3	47	99	6	15	4	272	349	391	740	119	340	20	9	330	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	385	85	17	3	7	36	95	12	8	4	221	306	335	642	114	272	22	8	291	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	31	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	194	265	226	491	32	305	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	354	322	69	13	4	4	27	92	2	6	3	214	279	317	596	102	285	26	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	197	184	44	6	3	3	11	57	1	8	3	239	286	353	639	114	338	29	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	459	110	23	7	2	33	118	6	15	4	240	299	333	633	94	308	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	396	73	14	2	5	26	114	12	8	4	184	256	268	523	83	238	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	31	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	194	265	226	491	32	261	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	29	9	2	0	0	4	6	1	1	0	310	412	379	791	69	391	18	12	366	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	612	562	128	22	8	9	43	166	3	14	7	228	286	343	630	116	307	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	612	544	159	27	10	13	61	128	3	14	7	292	367	450	817	158	362	21	10	362	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	459	110	23	7	2	33	118	6	15	4	240	299	333	633	94	315	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	445	121	30	7	3	47	99	6	15	4	272	349	391	740	119	340	20	9	330	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	396	73	14	2	5	26	114	12	8	4	184	256	268	523	83	242	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	385	85	17	3	7	36	95	12	8	4	221	306	335	642	114	272	22	8	291	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	31	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	194	265	226	491	32	305	24	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	612	561	128	22	8	9	43	166	3	14	7	228	286	344	630	116	304	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	461	110	23	7	2	33	118	6	15	4	239	299	332	631	93	308	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	398	73	14	2	5	26	114	12	8	4	183	256	266	522	83	238	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	505	461	110	23	7	2	33	118	6	15	4	239	299	332	631	93	308	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	439	398	73	14	2	5	26	114	12	8	4	183	256	266	522	83	238	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	2%	380	346	73	15	3	3	24	97	7	7	2	212	275	300	575	88	280	26	6	262	63	-17	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	209	273	295	568	86	277	20	0	259	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	23%	258	236	49	10	2	2	16	66	4	4	1	211	275	298	573	88	279	26	6	261	63	-11	+0	-1	-3	+6	-1.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	23%	58	53	10	2	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	208	272	293	565	86	276	26	7	258	63	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	53	10	2	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	189	259	226	485	38	263	26	7	258	64	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	112	22	0	0	45	168	11	11	0	189	258	226	484	37	263	26	7	258	64	-29	+2	-4	-7	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2098	1912	414	80	21	20	136	535	30	46	18	217	279	312	591	95	288	26	6	263	64	-22	+0	-1	-5	+11	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	129	25	7	6	42	166	9	14	6	218	280	314	594	96	291	26	6	263	64	-29	+1	-2	-7	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Howell (OGILVIE)	28	40	35	45	40	210/273/297	87	280	2	4	25%	6%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Webster Rivas 2019 · AA	28	45	40	45→40	40	220/260/308	87	286	8	4	26%	5%	59	-1.6	220/275/322	102	280	11	5	24%	7%	69	-0.9	208/282/293	85	269	8	1	24%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Enrique Trujillo 2015 · AAA	28	41	39→30	49→50	43	200/252/283	84	246	7	11	22%	6%	51	-2.2	235/285/310	75	288	6	16	19%	6%	70	-0.9	236/284/279	43	293	1	20	19%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Tim Smalling 2016 · AAA	28	44→43	39→40	45	42	211/259/292	81	263	7	10	22%	5%	55	-1.9	211/255/292	81	260	8	8	21%	5%	54	-2.0	192/224/234	42	233	4	0	19%	4%	25	-1.7
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/305	84	288	5	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	212/268/277	65	275	2	2	22%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Khayyan Norfork 2017 · AA	28	45→44	35→40	49→50	41	211/263/274	63	285	3	11	26%	5%	53	-2.1	213/272/287	74	283	6	7	25%	6%	59	-1.6	208/268/270	62	271	7	3	24%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Pete Kozma 2016 · MLB	28	43→47	39→45	45→50	48	207/268/288	81	248	6	11	19%	7%	59	-1.7	190/239/259	69	243	5	11	23%	5%	41	-3.0	188/235/276	88	231	6	6	21%	5%	41	-2.0
✕Adam Law 2018 · AA	28	51→48	37→40	48→55	43	240/289/316	76	310	5	15	23%	6%	72	-0.7	218/267/305	87	292	6	10	26%	5%	62	-1.4	211/259/287	76	282	3	8	25%	4%	53	-1.5
✕Leury Bonilla 2013 · AAA	28	47	40→45	44→50	39	229/266/319	90	302	8	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	217/259/288	71	285	5	9	24%	5%	55	-2.0	210/253/269	59	272	4	8	23%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	207/241/281	74	249	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/272/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	71	-0.8	238/274/330	93	272	11	3	17%	3%	70	-0.3
✕Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez 2013 · AAA	28	47	37→40	43→50	39	224/263/306	82	292	3	11	24%	4%	59	-1.6	210/257/297	87	282	6	9	26%	5%	56	-1.9	196/243/271	75	258	5	5	25%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Ashley Graeter 2017 · AA	27	47	40	44→45	41	229/273/319	90	294	7	9	24%	5%	67	-1.1	221/262/324	103	275	10	9	23%	5%	64	-1.3	209/242/307	98	251	10	8	21%	3%	51	-1.4
✕Deven Marrero 2019 · MLB	28	40→50	40→45	49→50	38	198/241/285	87	278	7	11	31%	5%	47	-2.5	198/253/312	114	277	13	11	32%	7%	59	-1.7	184/243/283	99	253	12	10	31%	7%	45	-1.2
✕Mike Miller 2018 · AAA	28	49→48	37→40	46→50	47	230/282/303	73	272	4	12	17%	6%	67	-1.1	230/279/301	71	277	6	11	18%	6%	65	-1.2	228/273/281	54	273	5	11	18%	5%	56	-1.1
✕Elliot Soto 2018 · AAA	28	46→52	37→40	48→50	48	217/279/288	71	275	4	9	22%	8%	62	-1.4	226/280/322	96	294	6	9	24%	7%	70	-0.8	224/280/309	85	296	5	7	24%	7%	64	-0.7
✕Chuckie Caufield 2011 · AA	28	47→51	39→45	47→50	42	226/279/314	88	291	7	6	24%	5%	69	-0.9	228/286/344	116	305	9	11	27%	5%	78	-0.3	219/278/345	126	293	9	14	27%	4%	72	-0.3
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	218/281/343	125	267	14	14	23%	7%	76	-0.4	221/285/357	136	259	17	15	21%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Sharlon Schoop 2015 · AA	28	44→45	40	38→45	43	215/264/306	91	274	8	4	24%	6%	61	-1.5	207/252/293	86	266	8	3	24%	5%	53	-2.1	198/250/308	109	251	11	0	25%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	43	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	210/275/277	67	265	5	5	21%	6%	59	-1.6	195/263/224	29	248	1	0	20%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Iggy Suarez 2009 · AA	28	46→49	38→40	48→50	43	218/267/295	77	285	5	11	25%	6%	59	-1.7	196/259/272	76	272	6	13	28%	7%	52	-2.2	142/222/186	44	208	3	14	31%	8%	17	-2.3