Carter HowellRF
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27
R/R
6'0" / 200 lbs
AA
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .277 / .317
PA250
HR3
K%26
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
44↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-12M | $-26M | -$14M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 34 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .233 | .324 | .267 | .590 | .033 | .318 | 24 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | 3 teams | 612 | 565 | 126 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 168 | 3 | 14 | 7 | .223 | .278 | .333 | .611 | .110 | .302 | 27 | 7 | .268 | 64 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +17 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 505 | 459 | 109 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 33 | 124 | 6 | 15 | 4 | .237 | .297 | .338 | .635 | .100 | .315 | 25 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +14 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 439 | 396 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 119 | 12 | 8 | 4 | .184 | .256 | .268 | .523 | .083 | .246 | 27 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -32 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +12 | -2.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SF | 250 | 228 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .215 | .278 | .316 | .594 | .101 | .286 | 26 | 7 | .271 | 65 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | SF | 267 | 242 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .219 | .287 | .326 | .613 | .107 | .286 | 26 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -9 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | SF | 309 | 280 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 80 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .218 | .284 | .329 | .613 | .111 | .286 | 26 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | SF | 336 | 305 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .282 | .321 | .604 | .105 | .285 | 26 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -12 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | SF | 340 | 308 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 90 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .214 | .282 | .318 | .600 | .104 | .284 | 26 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | SF | 334 | 303 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 90 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .278 | .314 | .591 | .102 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -14 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | SF | 312 | 283 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 87 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .205 | .272 | .300 | .572 | .095 | .281 | 28 | 7 | .263 | 60 | -14 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | SF | 273 | 249 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .205 | .269 | .297 | .567 | .092 | .279 | 29 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -14 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4011 | 3648 | 783 | 150 | 32 | 51 | 274 | 1066 | 52 | 61 | 22 | .215 | .279 | .315 | .594 | .101 | .287 | 27 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -171 | +3 | -20 | -43 | +114 | -11.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 126 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 173 | 8 | 10 | 4 | .213 | .276 | .311 | .588 | .098 | .286 | 27 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -28 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +18 | -1.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 34 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .310 | .412 | .379 | .791 | .069 | .391 | 18 | 12 | .366 | 138 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 354 | 311 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 70 | 2 | 6 | 3 | .270 | .353 | .408 | .762 | .138 | .332 | 20 | 11 | .340 | 118 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 197 | 178 | 60 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 8 | 3 | .337 | .398 | .500 | .898 | .163 | .415 | 20 | 9 | .395 | 161 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 61 | 55 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .273 | .344 | .527 | .872 | .255 | .364 | 31 | 10 | .378 | 148 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 505 | 445 | 121 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 99 | 6 | 15 | 4 | .272 | .349 | .391 | .740 | .119 | .340 | 20 | 9 | .330 | 111 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 439 | 385 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 95 | 12 | 8 | 4 | .221 | .306 | .335 | .642 | .114 | .272 | 22 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -10 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carter Howell (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 35 | 45 | 40 | .214/.277/.317 | .102 | .286 | 3 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Diosbel Arias 2023 · AAA |
27 | 48→50 | 41→40 | 45→40 | 44 | .231/.284/.327 | .096 | .295 | 9 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .222/.281/.334 | .112 | .329 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .210/.273/.322 | .112 | .335 | 10 | 5 | 38% | 7% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Thomas Spitz 2018 · AA |
26 | 46→47 | 39→40 | 46→50 | 46 | .217/.281/.298 | .081 | .290 | 6 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .218/.280/.321 | .103 | .326 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.268/.351 | .143 | .352 | 11 | 4 | 41% | 7% | 68 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ashley Graeter 2017 · AA |
27 | 48 | 41→40 | 45 | 40 | .230/.274/.326 | .096 | .297 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .225/.266/.331 | .106 | .282 | 11 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.248/.321 | .107 | .260 | 12 | 8 | 22% | 3% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Smaily Borges 2011 · A |
27 | 42 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 40 | .209/.253/.320 | .112 | .264 | 10 | 9 | 25% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.250/.310 | .104 | .276 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .185/.221/.277 | .093 | .240 | 10 | 2 | 27% | 3% | 29 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chuckie Caufield 2010 · AA |
27 | 46→49 | 39→45 | 47→50 | 42 | .220/.271/.304 | .084 | .272 | 6 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.287/.338 | .108 | .308 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .239/.301/.366 | .127 | .332 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2014 · AAA |
27 | 42→38 | 41→45 | 43→45 | 39 | .204/.271/.301 | .098 | .292 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.260/.301 | .096 | .309 | 7 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .201/.247/.287 | .087 | .313 | 4 | 3 | 35% | 4% | 41 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA |
27 | 45→43 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 43 | .214/.266/.303 | .089 | .279 | 6 | 9 | 25% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .210/.254/.285 | .075 | .262 | 6 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.244/.257 | .054 | .249 | 6 | 5 | 20% | 4% | 31 | -1.7 |
|
✕Webster Rivas 2018 · AA |
27 | 46 | 38→40 | 41→40 | 42 | .219/.264/.298 | .078 | .286 | 4 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .222/.270/.320 | .098 | .290 | 9 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.288/.298 | .088 | .277 | 8 | 1 | 25% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tommy Watkins 2007 · AAA |
27 | 46→52 | 40 | 48→50 | 45 | .224/.276/.314 | .090 | .277 | 7 | 15 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .232/.285/.322 | .090 | .279 | 7 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.286/.312 | .080 | .274 | 6 | 12 | 17% | 6% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Sean Nicol 2014 · AA |
27 | 49 | 38→40 | 45 | 46 | .232/.284/.315 | .083 | .291 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .227/.279/.312 | .085 | .288 | 5 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.257/.265 | .051 | .279 | 0 | 18 | 22% | 5% | 37 | -0.6 |
|
✕Isaias Rincon 2006 · AAA |
27 | 49 | 40→30 | 49→40 | 41 | .234/.288/.323 | .090 | .328 | 8 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .242/.277/.322 | .080 | .311 | 5 | 6 | 23% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .254/.283/.326 | .072 | .323 | 2 | 2 | 21% | 3% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .206/.269/.317 | .110 | .278 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .201/.276/.293 | .092 | .275 | 7 | 9 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.273/.268 | .077 | .259 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→46 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .201/.260/.314 | .113 | .263 | 11 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.280/.368 | .159 | .282 | 19 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .176/.260/.359 | .182 | .229 | 23 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 38→40 | 49→50 | 46 | .211/.269/.290 | .079 | .268 | 5 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .212/.266/.302 | .090 | .279 | 7 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .206/.254/.282 | .076 | .271 | 5 | 2 | 25% | 5% | 43 | -1.0 |
|
✕Edgar Corcino 2019 · AAA |
27 | 48→51 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 43 | .234/.278/.347 | .113 | .290 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .230/.281/.367 | .137 | .309 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .225/.282/.387 | .163 | .322 | 16 | 3 | 34% | 5% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Harold Martinez 2017 · AA |
27 | 49→47 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 38 | .237/.271/.337 | .100 | .312 | 9 | 4 | 27% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .220/.265/.319 | .099 | .301 | 8 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.226/.247 | .066 | .257 | 3 | 0 | 29% | 4% | 22 | -0.9 |
|
✕Leury Bonilla 2012 · AAA |
27 | 45 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .223/.262/.333 | .109 | .298 | 11 | 11 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .223/.264/.303 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 9 | 27% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .216/.259/.278 | .062 | .292 | 4 | 8 | 26% | 5% | 42 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .190/.273/.285 | .095 | .272 | 10 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.321/.370 | .144 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.324/.370 | .149 | .286 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 12% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB |
27 | 44→46 | 40 | 45→50 | 48 | .214/.271/.310 | .095 | .255 | 8 | 9 | 19% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .198/.255/.269 | .071 | .249 | 5 | 11 | 21% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .191/.240/.281 | .091 | .237 | 6 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 37 | -1.7 |
|
✕Tyler Smith 2018 · MLB |
27 | 46→53 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 44 | .219/.272/.299 | .080 | .277 | 6 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .207/.262/.312 | .105 | .279 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.238/.295 | .113 | .256 | 11 | 0 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -0.7 |