Player 837778 — OGILVIE

Player 837778— DSL Red Sox Blue

Age — —/— ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .292 / .379

PA65

HR2

K%34

BB%9

BABIP294

ISO172

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	80	12	2	1	4	9	36	4	1	0	150	269	350	619	200	200	39	10	268	63	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	74	16	3	1	6	15	25	4	1	0	216	376	527	903	311	233	27	16	396	161	+6	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.8
ROS	—	ROK	BOS	0%	65	58	12	2	1	2	6	22	1	1	0	207	292	379	672	172	276	34	9	281	73	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	268	63	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	BOS	—	93	81	12	2	1	4	9	36	4	1	0	148	269	346	614	198	195	39	10	268	63	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
TOT	—	ROK	BOS	—	158	138	24	4	2	6	15	58	5	2	0	174	278	362	641	188	243	37	9	273	67	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	160	142	27	5	1	4	14	53	3	3	1	190	277	324	601	134	276	33	9	284	76	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	306	270	54	10	2	8	27	99	6	6	2	200	287	341	628	141	277	32	9	287	78	-8	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	274	68	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	531	470	93	17	4	14	47	174	10	10	3	198	285	340	625	143	277	33	9	286	77	-14	+1	+0	-9	+15	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	114	21	5	17	58	213	12	12	4	198	285	341	626	143	278	33	9	286	77	-17	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	624	17	12	202	285	347	-8	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	18	13	202	285	347	-8.3	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837778 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	174/278/362	188	243	6	2	37%	9%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→41	48→50	51→50	45	219/286/364	145	276	16	14	27%	7%	82	+0.5	206/262/337	131	281	14	9	31%	6%	64	-0.8	165/214/276	112	225	13	5	33%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→45	45→50	47→50	44	213/280/338	125	293	13	11	31%	8%	72	-0.2	209/268/328	119	322	12	9	37%	7%	64	-0.8	199/255/309	110	322	11	7	39%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	42→36	48→50	46→45	46	211/292/355	144	284	15	8	30%	9%	82	+0.5	207/281/345	138	281	16	7	30%	8%	75	-0.0	193/268/335	142	253	18	5	30%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→45	49→50	48→50	41	214/266/358	143	288	18	12	32%	7%	71	-0.3	216/276/363	147	300	18	13	32%	7%	76	+0.1	201/267/344	142	280	17	13	33%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	45	217/293/356	139	283	15	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	218/282/357	139	301	15	7	31%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/353	144	290	16	4	32%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Luke Grayson 2006 · A	24	45→44	46→50	48→50	40	221/281/355	134	315	13	9	33%	7%	77	+0.1	208/264/332	124	301	12	10	33%	5%	63	-0.8	185/238/309	124	266	13	10	34%	4%	43	-1.4
✕Armani Smith 2022 · A	24	47	46→45	51→45	40	228/284/353	126	322	14	8	32%	6%	77	+0.1	207/273/301	94	328	9	7	36%	8%	59	-1.1	185/259/260	75	305	7	5	38%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A	24	45	45→50	49→50	42	220/287/349	129	295	11	10	28%	6%	78	+0.2	203/259/304	101	314	8	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	179/229/263	84	296	6	8	39%	4%	27	-2.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	43→38	47→50	48→45	47	213/309/346	133	293	14	10	30%	9%	87	+0.8	198/267/323	125	326	14	8	41%	7%	63	-0.8	198/263/340	142	299	16	6	37%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Travis Taijeron 2013 · A	24	41	50→55	50→40	40	207/280/361	154	311	17	6	37%	7%	79	+0.3	206/283/373	167	307	19	3	37%	8%	83	+0.6	194/279/363	168	291	19	1	38%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Devin Shines 2013 · A	24	42	44→50	50	37	211/263/328	117	296	12	11	32%	5%	62	-0.9	198/251/296	98	285	9	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	155/208/229	74	220	6	7	31%	6%	11	-1.5
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	45	48→60	45	47	220/300/361	141	313	16	8	33%	10%	86	+0.8	208/277/381	173	308	22	7	38%	7%	82	+0.5	173/241/379	206	235	30	3	41%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Franklin Labour 2022 · A	24	39	46→45	48→50	50	189/293/320	131	292	13	11	36%	12%	74	-0.1	184/263/311	127	342	13	10	46%	9%	58	-1.2	126/194/249	123	266	15	8	55%	7%	11	-1.8
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	42→48	44→45	51→50	42	210/273/325	116	283	12	14	30%	7%	66	-0.6	223/289/345	122	293	11	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	215/293/346	131	300	13	7	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Hunter Owen 2019 · A	25	41→38	48→55	48→40	34	208/267/349	141	297	15	5	34%	4%	69	-0.4	211/270/391	180	309	24	4	39%	5%	83	+0.6	193/253/383	191	281	29	2	41%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Spike McDougall 2009 · A	25	40→38	46→45	50	39	198/266/327	129	309	14	11	39%	8%	63	-0.8	198/266/304	106	320	9	13	38%	8%	57	-1.2	168/245/258	90	277	5	19	38%	9%	36	-1.2