Matthew DyerOF
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 28
R/R
6'3" / 185 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .268 / .323
PA136
HR3
K%33
BB%7
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-17M | $-17M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 327 | 295 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 138 | 6 | 14 | 4 | .190 | .262 | .373 | .635 | .183 | .302 | 42 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 265 | 242 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 112 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .169 | .242 | .240 | .481 | .070 | .299 | 42 | 5 | .215 | 23 | -23 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 64 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .183 | .222 | .300 | .522 | .117 | .360 | 53 | 5 | .229 | 34 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 135 | 123 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .163 | .231 | .244 | .475 | .081 | .306 | 44 | 7 | .216 | 24 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | TB | 136 | 124 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .210 | .274 | .339 | .613 | .129 | .291 | 33 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | TB | 194 | 175 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .206 | .276 | .326 | .602 | .120 | .290 | 32 | 8 | .272 | 67 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | TB | 254 | 231 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 81 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .274 | .333 | .607 | .126 | .289 | 32 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | TB | 265 | 241 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 85 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .270 | .324 | .594 | .120 | .288 | 32 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -10 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 43% | TB | 262 | 238 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .269 | .324 | .593 | .122 | .287 | 32 | 8 | .268 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 57% | TB | 242 | 220 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .267 | .314 | .580 | .114 | .285 | 33 | 7 | .263 | 60 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -1 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 74% | TB | 207 | 187 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .268 | .310 | .578 | .112 | .283 | 34 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2351 | 2136 | 416 | 77 | 14 | 51 | 168 | 852 | 29 | 45 | 9 | .195 | .263 | .316 | .578 | .121 | .293 | 36 | 7 | .259 | 56 | -116 | +5 | -19 | -14 | +67 | -7.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 236 | 8 | 12 | 2 | .195 | .262 | .315 | .577 | .120 | .294 | 36 | 7 | .259 | 56 | -32 | +2 | -5 | -4 | +18 | -2.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 267 | 231 | 60 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 82 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .260 | .355 | .519 | .874 | .260 | .345 | 31 | 11 | .379 | 148 | +15 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 2.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 60 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .173 | .271 | .250 | .521 | .077 | .242 | 32 | 10 | .244 | 45 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 265 | 232 | 54 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 86 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .233 | .328 | .328 | .656 | .095 | .352 | 32 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 41 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .300 | .361 | .661 | .139 | .438 | 49 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 23 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .304 | .304 | .565 | .870 | .261 | .333 | 26 | 0 | .378 | 147 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 135 | 118 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .212 | .306 | .322 | .628 | .110 | .338 | 34 | 11 | .287 | 78 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matthew Dyer (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .202/.268/.323 | .121 | .291 | 3 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 64 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA |
28 | 41→42 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.348 | .138 | .277 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.345 | .131 | .291 | 16 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.254/.339 | .124 | .283 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 4% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39→37 | 49→50 | 51→50 | 36 | .205/.244/.348 | .143 | .271 | 17 | 12 | 31% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .225/.280/.351 | .126 | .287 | 13 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .235/.302/.339 | .104 | .296 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA |
27 | 36→25 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 35 | .184/.240/.304 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.271/.326 | .115 | .298 | 10 | 10 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.285/.308 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 39 | .212/.263/.343 | .132 | .290 | 15 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.256/.365 | .152 | .322 | 18 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.237/.370 | .169 | .311 | 21 | 6 | 42% | 4% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→41 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .211/.264/.333 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.271/.370 | .163 | .326 | 22 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .151/.220/.316 | .164 | .233 | 26 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB |
28 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 39 | .201/.254/.323 | .122 | .272 | 13 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.239/.304 | .121 | .303 | 14 | 10 | 42% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .154/.212/.270 | .115 | .278 | 14 | 8 | 48% | 4% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39→45 | 45 | 49→55 | 41 | .197/.268/.316 | .118 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.295/.327 | .117 | .326 | 12 | 25 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .199/.294/.308 | .110 | .316 | 12 | 32 | 37% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA |
28 | 36→43 | 51→50 | 54→55 | 34 | .193/.248/.347 | .154 | .281 | 19 | 19 | 38% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.265/.341 | .131 | .288 | 15 | 21 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.266/.328 | .118 | .281 | 12 | 24 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA |
28 | 38→41 | 44→50 | 53→50 | 34 | .189/.242/.304 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 12 | 40% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.244/.306 | .118 | .318 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .146/.206/.239 | .093 | .257 | 13 | 0 | 46% | 6% | 11 | -1.5 |
|
✕Patrick Brady 2016 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 47→50 | 48→45 | 39 | .219/.262/.352 | .132 | .286 | 15 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .211/.269/.312 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .196/.263/.290 | .094 | .295 | 4 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 49→50 | 50→55 | 37 | .194/.258/.343 | .149 | .284 | 16 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.264/.339 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 23 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.256/.306 | .115 | .275 | 14 | 30 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dusty Coleman 2015 · AAA |
28 | 35→43 | 43→50 | 48→50 | 33 | .171/.233/.282 | .110 | .308 | 11 | 12 | 46% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.254/.322 | .122 | .315 | 12 | 14 | 38% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.248/.329 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB |
28 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 45→50 | 43 | .207/.279/.350 | .143 | .260 | 16 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .214/.279/.353 | .139 | .271 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .207/.272/.347 | .140 | .262 | 17 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA |
28 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .193/.254/.284 | .092 | .249 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.284/.356 | .135 | .267 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.382 | .154 | .263 | 20 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |