Matthew Dyer — OGILVIE

Matthew DyerOF Montgomery Biscuits

Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .276 / .334

PA136

HR3

K%30

BB%7

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	327	295	55	15	3	9	23	146	6	14	4	186	259	349	608	163	322	45	7	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	327	283	69	15	5	13	35	101	6	14	4	244	340	470	809	226	326	31	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	241	42	4	2	3	15	115	9	10	2	174	249	245	494	71	317	43	6	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	232	54	6	2	4	24	86	9	10	2	233	328	328	656	95	352	32	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	64	61	11	1	0	2	2	34	0	0	0	180	206	295	501	115	346	53	3	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	64	59	15	2	0	3	4	26	0	0	0	254	302	441	742	186	387	41	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	135	123	20	5	1	1	10	59	1	5	0	163	231	244	475	81	302	44	7	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	135	118	25	6	2	1	15	46	1	5	0	212	306	322	628	110	338	34	11	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	TB	—	136	124	27	5	1	3	10	41	1	3	1	218	281	347	628	129	290	30	7	276	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TB	23%	194	175	37	7	1	4	15	57	2	4	1	211	281	331	613	120	290	29	8	279	72	-6	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	30	MLB	TB	35%	254	231	48	9	1	5	19	74	2	4	1	208	274	320	594	113	289	29	7	280	72	-8	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	TB	23%	44	41	9	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	293	30	7	273	67	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	TB	35%	88	80	18	3	1	2	7	26	1	1	0	225	295	362	658	137	292	30	8	274	68	-3	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	132	121	27	5	1	3	10	39	1	2	0	223	288	355	643	132	304	30	8	274	68	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	134	25	5	15	49	192	5	10	0	225	289	359	648	134	306	30	8	274	68	-24	+2	-5	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	1375	1250	240	46	9	27	94	526	21	40	9	192	260	308	568	116	303	38	7	256	54	-71	+4	-3	-8	+39	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	114	22	4	13	44	249	10	19	4	193	260	310	570	117	304	38	7	256	54	-34	+2	-2	-4	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	267	231	60	14	5	12	29	82	5	10	3	260	355	519	874	260	345	31	11	379	148	+15	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2021	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	60	52	9	1	0	1	6	19	1	4	1	173	271	250	521	77	242	32	10	244	45	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	232	54	6	2	4	24	86	9	10	2	233	328	328	656	95	352	32	9	304	91	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2023	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	41	36	8	2	0	1	4	20	0	0	0	222	300	361	661	139	438	49	10	292	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	25	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	23	23	7	0	0	2	0	6	0	0	0	304	304	565	870	261	333	26	0	378	147	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	135	118	25	6	2	1	15	46	1	5	0	212	306	322	628	110	338	34	11	287	78	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Dyer (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	212/276/334	122	290	3	3	30%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	38	216/271/341	125	296	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	234/290/376	142	304	15	19	27%	5%	86	+0.8	205/277/331	127	291	13	30	32%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	41→45	48→55	45→50	45	209/287/354	145	260	16	8	26%	7%	80	+0.4	213/279/357	144	273	17	11	28%	7%	77	+0.1	204/270/349	145	263	18	11	29%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Barrett Barnes 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	50	40	229/294/348	119	329	10	10	32%	6%	80	+0.4	219/306/367	148	290	16	8	29%	9%	91	+1.1	196/297/347	151	252	18	5	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	44→50	46→45	43	222/275/339	117	279	12	6	25%	6%	69	-0.4	206/264/350	144	277	18	7	32%	7%	68	-0.5	183/247/335	153	239	22	4	33%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA	28	41	47→55	48→45	39	210/262/339	129	288	15	10	32%	6%	64	-0.8	215/259/365	150	325	18	9	38%	5%	70	-0.3	201/240/367	166	312	20	6	41%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→44	49→55	49→50	38	210/274/357	147	307	16	12	36%	6%	75	-0.0	212/284/368	156	323	18	15	38%	7%	82	+0.5	200/276/356	157	309	19	17	39%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	44	46→50	47→45	39	221/268/347	126	302	14	10	31%	6%	69	-0.4	233/281/382	149	336	17	10	34%	5%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	341	19	6	36%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	38→41	47→50	45→50	40	199/251/330	132	266	15	7	31%	6%	57	-1.2	212/260/337	125	294	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.9	210/247/324	114	281	15	6	31%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB	29	43→51	43→45	54→55	38	214/265/327	113	294	10	18	30%	5%	62	-0.9	214/266/325	111	282	11	16	27%	5%	63	-0.9	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Miles Durham 2011 · AA	28	47→50	46→50	47→50	39	233/282/369	137	320	14	10	31%	6%	80	+0.4	206/256/314	108	309	8	12	34%	6%	54	-1.4	185/232/280	95	285	5	13	35%	5%	35	-1.4
✕Adam Fox 2010 · AAA	28	43→44	49→50	49→45	41	221/269/362	141	271	18	9	26%	5%	73	-0.1	200/245/332	132	253	14	9	27%	5%	55	-1.4	165/207/286	121	206	11	7	26%	5%	24	-1.2
✕Patrick Brady 2016 · AAA	28	43	45	49→45	38	217/257/340	123	290	13	13	30%	5%	62	-0.9	216/275/318	102	315	7	11	31%	7%	63	-0.8	204/271/300	96	306	4	9	32%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Alfredo Marte 2017 · MLB	28	45→47	43→50	51→45	41	220/271/329	109	296	10	10	29%	6%	65	-0.7	221/279/349	128	282	15	13	26%	6%	74	-0.1	200/268/321	121	245	17	14	25%	6%	61	-0.3
✕Steve Moss 2012 · AAA	28	46→49	45	50	40	223/283/348	125	315	13	10	32%	6%	76	+0.0	246/311/414	168	331	22	11	31%	8%	105	+2.1	240/320/442	202	294	28	8	27%	9%	113	+0.7
✕Trey Amburgey 2022 · AAA	27	46→44	47→50	49→50	38	227/272/372	145	311	14	6	31%	5%	77	+0.1	207/257/336	129	306	14	7	35%	6%	61	-1.0	154/205/264	109	225	14	2	38%	6%	18	-1.4