Freigher Barco
P
FCL Blue Jays
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 13 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.6% | 11.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 6.49 | 4.47 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 13 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 6.49 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 12 | 0 | 16 | 86 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.4% | 24.7% | -11.3% | 6.5% | 10.47 | 8.67 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 0 | 16 | 66 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 32 | 152 | 32 | 23 | 6 | — | — | 21.0% | 15.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.49 | 6.57 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 25 | 0 | 43 | 209 | 26 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.4% | 16.7% | -4.4% | 3.7% | 8.02 | 6.20 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 0 | 200 | 980 | 121 | 164 | 36 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.4% | 16.7% | -4.4% | 3.7% | 8.02 | 6.20 | -1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Freigher Barco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.0% | 14.0% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 88 |
| Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 88 |
| Michael Gomez R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 88 |
| Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 88 |
| Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 87 |
| Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.32 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 138 | 87 |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 87 |
| Matt Walker R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 86 |
| Jeff Bain R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 86 |
| Kai Wynyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.41 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .269 | 4.09 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 138 | -0.32 | 3.29 | 240 | 85 |
| Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.58 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 3.7% | .260 | 3.26 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 25 | -1.32 | 3.26 | 126 | 85 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 85 |
| Sean Boyle R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 85 |
| Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 85 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 85 |
| Collin Kober R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.04 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.35 | 2.40 | 294 | 84 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 84 |
| Jhoanbert Cedeno R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.41 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 129 | 84 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.92 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.98 | 3.94 | 122 | 84 |