Kamden Edge — OGILVIE

Kamden Edge P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%23.4%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP44

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CMD2040

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	9	0	14	60	17	11	0	0%	1.6	21.0%	21.6%	-0.7%	0.0%	1.88	4.07	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	9	0	14	60	17	11	0	0%	1.6	21.0%	21.6%	-0.7%	0.0%	1.88	4.07	—
2025	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	9	0	14	60	17	11	0	0%	1.6	28.3%	18.3%	10.0%	0.0%	1.88	3.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	40	0	56	227	80	21	11	0%	1.4	27.1%	10.6%	16.5%	6.1%	4.02	5.48	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	40	0	56	227	80	21	11	0%	1.4	27.1%	10.6%	16.5%	6.1%	4.02	5.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A+ RAW	KC	40	0	56	227	80	21	11	0%	1.4	35.2%	9.3%	26.0%	4.8%	4.02	3.96	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	55	0	58	243	59	37	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	15.2%	9.0%	2.9%	5.05	4.93	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	57	0	60	252	63	34	7	0%	1.0	25.0%	13.6%	11.4%	2.8%	4.79	4.64	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	58	0	61	258	66	32	7	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.6%	12.9%	2.8%	4.58	4.46	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	59	0	62	262	68	31	7	0%	1.1	25.8%	11.9%	13.9%	2.8%	4.43	4.34	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	59	0	62	262	68	31	7	0%	1.1	26.0%	11.9%	14.1%	2.8%	4.36	4.32	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	27	0	28	118	29	18	3	0%	1.0	24.3%	15.2%	9.0%	2.9%	5.05	4.93	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	42	0	44	186	46	25	5	0%	1.0	25.0%	13.6%	11.4%	2.8%	4.79	4.64	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	49	0	51	215	55	27	6	0%	1.0	25.5%	12.6%	12.9%	2.8%	4.58	4.46	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	52	0	55	232	60	28	6	0%	1.1	25.8%	11.9%	13.9%	2.8%	4.43	4.34	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	54	0	57	241	63	29	7	0%	1.1	26.0%	11.9%	14.1%	2.8%	4.36	4.32	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		223	0	234	989	251	126	28	0%	1.0	25.4%	12.8%	12.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.11	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	214	108	24	0%	1.1	25.4%	12.8%	12.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		49	0	70	287	74	37	14	0%	1.4	25.8%	12.9%	12.9%	4.8%	3.58	5.19	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	816	211	106	39	0%	1.4	25.8%	12.9%	12.9%	4.8%	3.58	5.19	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kamden Edge (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	23.4%	17.8%	2.9%	—	4.67	24.9%	11.1%	178	-0.68	—	—	—
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.54	22.4%	7.7%	110	-0.08	4.45	161	90
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	90
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	89
Jonathan Teaney R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	22.5%	19.8%	1.9%	.328	5.65	16.4%	0.7%	55	+0.88	4.77	108	89
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	88
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	87
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	87
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	87
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	87
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	87
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	87
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Antonio Knowles R 2022 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	22.8%	19.4%	1.2%	.286	4.39	22.0%	8.8%	158	+0.11	3.24	223	85
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	85
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	84
Matt Keating R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	22	SU	4.34	23.3%	14.8%	2.4%	.346	4.63	23.2%	9.1%	157	+0.29	3.38	222	84
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Natanael Garabitos R 2022 · 5.08 FIP	21	SU	5.08	21.3%	20.1%	2.2%	.278	5.44	16.6%	-2.8%	116	+0.36	4.25	221	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	58	25.1%	13.6%	1.09	4.73
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41