Kamden Edge P Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.91
FIP4.91
K%23.4%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +3.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+4KBB: -3.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -7.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-8CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.61 (100 IP)+0.6WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5055
CMD2040
K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202520AColumbia Fireflies901460171100%1.621.0%21.6%-0.7%0.0%1.884.07
202520AColumbia Fireflies901460171100%1.628.3%18.3%10.0%0.0%1.883.03
▸ 2026 Season
202621A+Quad Cities River Bandits26035140511160%1.328.0%9.0%19.0%5.4%4.154.82-0.1
ROS21MLBKC62065276643980%1.123.4%14.3%9.1%2.9%4.914.91-0.2
ROS21MLBKC023.4%14.3%9.1%2.9%4.914.91
2026 TOT21MLBKC100416115501427.8%12.1%15.7%3.4%4.654.88+0.6
2026 FULL21MLBKC0100023.4%14.3%9.1%2.9%4.914.53+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBKC65069290703780%1.124.3%12.7%11.6%2.9%4.704.60+0.1
202823MLBKC68071301753580%1.025.0%11.7%13.3%2.8%4.514.40+0.3
202924MLBKC70073308783490%1.025.5%11.1%14.4%2.8%4.364.26+0.5
203025MLBKC70074312803390%1.125.8%10.7%15.1%2.8%4.264.19+0.6
203126MLBKC70074312813390%1.126.0%10.7%15.4%2.8%4.204.16+0.6
203227MLBKC69073307803390%1.126.0%10.7%15.3%2.8%4.204.20+0.5
203328MLBKC67071298773290%1.125.9%10.9%15.0%2.9%4.254.28+0.4
202722MLBKC32034144351840%1.124.3%12.7%11.6%2.9%4.704.60-0.0
202823MLBKC50052220552660%1.025.0%11.7%13.3%2.8%4.514.40+0.1
202924MLBKC58061258662870%1.125.5%11.1%14.4%2.8%4.364.26+0.2
203025MLBKC62065274712980%1.025.8%10.7%15.1%2.8%4.264.19+0.4
203126MLBKC65068287753180%1.026.0%10.7%15.4%2.8%4.204.16+0.4
203227MLBKC65068287753180%1.026.0%10.7%15.3%2.8%4.204.20+0.4
203328MLBKC63066279723080%1.025.9%10.9%15.0%2.9%4.254.28+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career39304131744446193490%1.125.6%11.1%14.5%2.8%4.323.89+7.3
/ 200 IP190020084421693240%1.125.6%11.1%14.5%2.8%4.323.89+3.5
Career35049200522680%1.425.9%12.8%13.1%3.8%3.494.59-0.0
/ 200 IP1430200816212105310%1.425.9%12.8%13.1%3.8%3.494.59+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kamden Edge (OGILVIE) 4.91 23.4%14.3%2.9% 4.42 24.9%13.1%213 -0.49
Gabriel Ponce R 2027 · 4.61 FIP 22 SU 4.61 24.4%16.2%2.8%.328 4.59 22.6%7.5%110 -0.02 4.42 161 89
Matt Keating R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 22 SU 4.24 23.3%14.8%2.3%.346 4.58 23.0%9.0%142 +0.34 3.39 208 89
Tyler Vogel R 2027 · 5.21 FIP 22 SU 5.21 23.4%14.3%4.2%.305 4.40 19.5%6.5%116 -0.81 3.83 182 89
Tanner Jacobson R 2028 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.8%13.8%2.1%.313 4.97 21.1%5.4%115 +0.89 4.08 168 88
Luis Ramirez R 2028 · 4.91 FIP 23 SU 4.91 23.1%15.9%3.2%.278 3.58 24.0%11.4%53 -1.33 3.58 104 87
Isaac Stebens R 2027 · 4.09 FIP 22 SU 4.09 24.1%15.3%2.0%.328 4.06 21.1%5.6%50 -0.03 4.06 102 87
Osiel Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 21 SU 4.65 22.7%15.7%2.7%.263 5.67 22.0%7.6%56 +1.02 3.32 124 87
Kyle Hinton R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 21 SU 4.17 23.5%15.0%2.1%.275 5.66 17.7%-0.7%75 +1.49 4.17 106 87
CJ Weins R 2028 · 4.42 FIP 23 SU 4.42 24.7%15.9%2.5%.276 5.59 16.8%-2.7%73 +1.17 4.42 113 86
Jordan Mikel R 2027 · 4.57 FIP 22 SU 4.57 20.5%12.5%2.9%.330 4.23 19.2%9.0%109 -0.34 3.09 195 86
Kyle Marman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 22 SU 3.98 22.2%12.8%2.1%.270 5.27 22.5%8.4%71 +1.29 3.98 117 86
Jacob Wallace R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 22 SU 4.50 26.6%13.1%3.6%.316 4.85 23.8%7.0%167 +0.35 4.00 271 85
Bailey Dees R 2028 · 4.23 FIP 23 SU 4.23 21.3%13.2%2.3%.248 4.32 21.4%9.6%278 +0.09 3.40 330 85
Craig Schlitter R 2029 · 4.76 FIP 24 SU 4.76 22.7%15.4%3.0%.298 4.44 14.7%4.2%171 -0.32 4.07 222 85
Brandon Johnson R 2029 · 4.88 FIP 24 SU 4.88 22.4%14.2%3.4%.327 4.57 21.7%10.8%163 -0.31 3.44 224 85
Harrison Cohen R 2029 · 4.55 FIP 24 SU 4.55 22.4%13.4%3.0%.282 4.01 23.3%9.5%99 -0.54 2.09 146 85
Jackson Kelley R 2028 · 3.84 FIP 23 SU 3.84 26.5%13.1%2.4%.313 3.92 21.1%9.9%138 +0.08 3.80 190 85
Aaron Kurcz R 2029 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 22.4%13.6%2.4%.331 4.29 16.1%8.0%105 +0.06 3.44 213 85
Aaron Holiday R 2027 · 4.96 FIP 22 SU 4.96 21.9%11.3%4.2%.310 5.37 19.7%-3.3%59 +0.41 4.77 126 84
Yondrei Rojas R 2026 · 4.77 FIP 21 SU 4.77 21.5%13.2%3.3%.295 4.00 20.4%10.1%63 -0.77 2.72 223 84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION87125.2%11.5%1.104.41
Brad Boxberger ('23)84327.1%11.7%1.173.86
Hansel Robles ('22)75925.3%10.1%1.163.86
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Joe Kelly ('24)95624.6%10.3%0.814.40
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Matt Barnes ('23)94929.6%10.8%1.034.14