Emmanuel Orozco — OGILVIE

Emmanuel OrozcoSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 S/R 5'10" / 153 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 36 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .273 / .189

PA36

HR0

K%30

BB%11

BABIP242

ISO32

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$44M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	45	3	1	1	0	6	21	2	8	2	67	208	133	341	67	125	40	11	146	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	40	3	1	1	0	11	14	2	8	2	75	302	150	452	75	115	26	21	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	55	41	5	1	0	0	9	20	5	6	0	122	345	146	492	24	238	36	16	257	55	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	55	36	7	2	0	0	14	14	5	6	0	194	473	250	723	56	318	25	25	373	144	+3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	NYY	0%	36	31	5	1	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	158	273	189	462	32	285	30	11	266	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	244	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	NYY	—	55	42	5	1	0	0	9	20	5	6	0	119	345	143	488	24	227	36	16	257	55	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	18	ROK	NYY	—	91	72	10	2	0	0	13	31	6	7	0	138	316	165	482	28	240	34	14	261	58	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	NYY	34%	149	129	25	5	1	1	15	45	4	5	0	194	297	271	569	78	290	30	10	276	69	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	20	MLB	NYY	48%	297	257	53	10	2	4	30	87	8	9	1	206	308	307	616	101	292	29	10	284	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2029	21	MLB	NYY	54%	411	356	74	14	3	6	41	119	11	13	1	208	309	315	623	107	293	29	10	289	79	-10	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.9
2030	22	MLB	NYY	57%	493	428	91	17	4	8	49	141	13	16	1	213	312	327	639	114	294	29	10	293	82	-10	+3	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2031	23	MLB	NYY	58%	548	473	101	19	4	9	55	156	15	17	2	214	315	328	643	114	295	28	10	295	84	-10	+3	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2032	24	MLB	NYY	57%	584	504	109	21	5	10	59	166	16	18	2	216	318	337	655	121	295	28	10	297	85	-10	+3	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2033	25	MLB	NYY	57%	606	523	113	21	5	11	61	172	17	19	2	216	318	338	656	122	296	28	10	298	86	-9	+3	+0	+6	+17	1.8
2034	26	MLB	NYY	57%	617	533	115	22	5	11	62	176	17	19	2	216	317	338	655	122	295	29	10	299	87	-9	+3	+0	+7	+17	1.8
2035	27	MLB	NYY	55%	619	534	115	22	5	11	63	177	17	20	2	215	318	337	655	122	295	29	10	299	87	-9	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.9
2036	28	MLB	NYY	55%	616	531	114	21	5	11	63	177	17	18	2	215	318	335	653	121	295	29	10	298	86	-10	+3	-1	+7	+17	1.7
2037	29	MLB	NYY	53%	607	522	111	21	4	11	63	175	17	17	2	213	317	331	649	119	294	29	10	296	85	-10	+3	-1	+7	+17	1.5
2038	30	MLB	NYY	53%	597	514	108	20	4	10	62	174	16	15	1	210	314	323	637	113	293	29	10	294	83	-11	+3	-2	+6	+17	1.3
2039	31	MLB	NYY	52%	583	502	103	19	4	9	60	172	16	13	1	205	310	313	622	108	291	30	10	290	80	-13	+2	-3	+6	+17	0.9
2040	32	MLB	NYY	52%	565	487	99	18	4	8	58	168	15	10	1	203	307	306	613	103	288	30	10	285	76	-15	+2	-4	+6	+16	0.5
2027	19	MLB	NYY	34%	51	45	9	2	0	1	5	15	1	2	0	200	294	311	605	111	291	29	10	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	NYY	48%	144	125	26	5	1	2	14	42	4	5	0	208	308	312	620	104	293	29	10	265	61	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB	NYY	54%	223	193	41	8	2	3	22	64	6	7	1	212	312	321	633	109	294	29	10	271	65	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB	NYY	57%	279	241	52	10	2	5	28	80	8	9	1	216	318	336	654	120	295	29	10	275	68	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	NYY	58%	316	272	58	11	2	5	32	90	9	10	1	213	316	324	640	110	296	28	10	277	70	-11	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB	NYY	57%	333	288	63	12	3	6	33	95	9	11	1	219	318	344	662	125	297	29	10	279	72	-11	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2033	25	MLB	NYY	57%	344	297	64	12	3	6	35	98	9	11	1	215	317	337	653	121	297	28	10	280	73	-11	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	NYY	57%	349	301	66	12	3	7	35	99	10	11	1	219	321	349	670	130	297	28	10	281	73	-11	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	NYY	55%	343	296	64	12	3	6	35	98	9	11	1	216	318	338	655	122	297	29	10	281	73	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	NYY	55%	338	291	63	12	3	6	35	97	9	10	1	216	319	340	660	124	296	29	10	280	73	-10	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	NYY	53%	325	279	59	11	2	6	34	94	9	9	1	211	317	330	647	118	296	29	10	278	71	-11	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	NYY	53%	314	270	57	11	2	5	32	91	9	8	1	211	315	322	637	111	295	29	10	276	69	-11	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2039	31	MLB	NYY	52%	304	262	54	10	2	5	31	89	8	7	1	206	309	317	626	111	292	29	10	272	67	-12	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.0
2040	32	MLB	NYY	52%	293	253	53	10	2	5	30	87	8	5	1	209	313	324	637	115	289	30	10	267	63	-12	+1	-2	+3	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3956	3414	729	138	30	68	401	1139	108	116	12	214	316	331	647	118	297	29	10	276	70	-136	+18	-6	+42	+112	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	120	23	5	11	66	187	18	19	2	214	317	332	648	118	297	29	10	276	70	-22	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	7381	6369	1339	252	56	120	751	2137	202	218	22	210	313	324	637	114	294	29	10	293	82	-149	+35	-10	+79	+209	16.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	118	22	5	11	66	188	18	19	2	210	313	326	639	116	293	29	10	293	82	-13	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	40	3	1	1	0	11	14	2	8	2	75	302	150	452	75	115	26	21	244	45	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,013	66	116	213	311	327	+43	+24	9.6	8.1
	/162	664	11	19	213	311	327	+7.1	+4.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Orozco (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	138/316/165	28	240	0	7	34%	14%	58	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Luis Alejandro Basabe 2015 · A	18	39→49	35→40	54→50	50	182/274/245	64	273	2	12	31%	11%	46	-2.0	202/283/281	79	316	5	12	34%	10%	59	-1.1	199/279/285	86	311	6	13	35%	9%	55	-0.6
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→60	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	233/267/329	96	309	7	15	26%	4%	63	-0.9	233/273/379	146	307	15	25	28%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Garia 2011 · A	18	39→49	35→40	52→60	43	185/248/243	58	253	3	19	27%	6%	33	-2.9	207/267/261	54	286	2	20	26%	7%	46	-2.0	231/270/343	112	308	8	32	27%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→55	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	35	-2.8	201/256/305	104	305	6	9	33%	7%	52	-1.6	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
●Danny Santana 2009 · A	18	44→54	38→60	58→55	43	206/259/297	91	278	3	14	26%	6%	50	-1.7	206/243/298	92	283	6	15	28%	4%	44	-2.1	242/287/452	210	303	27	22	29%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2014 · A	17	39→45	36→45	51→50	49	182/277/252	70	274	3	14	31%	10%	50	-1.8	199/270/296	97	287	5	13	30%	8%	56	-1.3	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
●Jonathan Villar 2009 · A	18	44→54	35→50	54→65	42	203/266/263	61	301	3	20	32%	7%	46	-2.0	208/262/288	80	323	5	22	35%	6%	50	-1.7	266/336/411	146	353	16	44	27%	9%	111	+2.3
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	44→54	37→50	50	44	202/279/274	72	309	4	8	33%	9%	55	-1.4	232/300/295	63	300	2	10	21%	8%	69	-0.4	247/310/359	112	308	7	9	21%	7%	86	+0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	43→47	37→45	52→65	41	200/262/273	74	297	3	17	32%	7%	46	-2.0	207/271/277	70	311	3	17	31%	8%	51	-1.7	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	41→51	39→60	48→50	39	201/244/289	88	280	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	205/247/278	73	302	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	232/306/413	181	303	19	12	28%	9%	98	+1.5
✕Leody Taveras 2017 · A	18	47→53	37→50	52→55	44	221/266/301	80	283	3	15	22%	6%	54	-1.4	216/259/293	77	281	4	13	23%	5%	50	-1.8	239/291/390	151	301	16	19	25%	6%	88	+0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	44→52	36→50	53→55	41	205/261/283	77	291	2	20	29%	6%	48	-1.9	208/254/315	107	293	9	13	31%	5%	54	-1.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6