Emmanuel Orozco

SS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 153 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1311ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	53	.075/.302/.150	0	8	-6	—	.068/.226/.136
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	62	.200/.484/.250	0	6	67	—	.133/.371/.156
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBNYY	172	.199/.301/.276	1	5	69	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	33	.204/.305/.291	0	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	91	.208/.309/.304	1	3	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%97

Chase%89

wOBA81

wRC+73

Speed60

K%31

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsSteward Berroa (age 19) · Jose Acosta (age 19) · Allan Castro (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .299 / .273

PA38

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	40	3	1	1	0	11	14	2	8	2	75	302	150	452	75	115	26	21	244	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	40	8	2	0	0	17	16	5	6	0	200	484	250	734	50	333	26	27	380	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	44	3	1	1	0	7	17	2	8	2	68	226	136	363	68	71	32	13	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	45	6	1	0	0	12	20	5	6	0	133	371	156	527	22	222	32	19	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	44	3	1	1	0	7	17	2	8	2	68	226	136	363	68	111	32	13	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	40	3	1	1	0	11	14	2	8	2	75	302	150	452	75	115	26	21	244	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	45	6	1	0	0	12	20	5	6	0	133	371	156	527	22	240	32	19	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	40	8	2	0	0	17	16	5	6	0	200	484	250	734	50	333	26	27	380	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	44	3	1	1	0	7	17	2	8	2	68	226	136	363	68	71	32	13	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	45	6	1	0	0	12	20	5	6	0	133	371	156	527	22	222	32	19	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	53	44	3	1	1	0	7	17	2	8	2	68	226	136	363	68	71	32	13	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	62	45	6	1	0	0	12	20	5	6	0	133	371	156	527	22	222	32	19	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	172	148	30	5	2	1	18	50	4	5	1	199	301	276	577	77	289	29	10	270	69	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	95	83	17	3	1	1	10	27	2	3	0	203	305	289	595	86	291	28	11	277	73	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	188	163	34	6	2	2	19	53	4	6	1	208	308	301	610	94	292	28	10	282	77	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	298	258	55	10	3	4	31	83	7	9	1	211	311	312	623	101	293	28	10	287	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	388	337	71	13	3	5	40	107	8	12	2	214	313	321	634	107	294	28	10	291	83	-8	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	445	388	84	15	4	7	45	121	9	13	2	217	314	330	644	112	294	27	10	295	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	477	415	90	16	4	8	49	130	10	14	2	218	315	332	647	114	295	27	10	296	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	496	433	94	17	4	8	50	135	10	15	2	218	315	334	648	116	294	27	10	296	87	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	502	436	94	17	4	8	51	138	10	14	2	217	314	331	645	114	294	27	10	295	86	-9	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	500	435	94	17	4	8	51	138	10	12	2	215	312	326	638	111	293	28	10	292	84	-10	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	492	429	91	16	4	7	50	137	10	10	2	213	309	320	630	107	292	28	10	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	480	420	89	16	4	7	48	136	9	7	1	210	306	313	619	103	290	28	10	285	79	-12	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	465	407	83	15	3	6	46	133	9	4	1	206	301	303	605	97	287	29	10	279	75	-14	+0	-3	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	33	29	5	1	0	0	3	9	1	1	0	204	305	291	597	88	290	27	9	277	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	91	80	17	3	1	1	9	26	2	3	0	208	309	304	613	96	292	29	10	283	77	-2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	162	140	29	5	1	2	17	45	4	5	1	212	311	315	627	104	293	28	10	288	80	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	220	190	41	7	2	3	23	61	5	7	1	215	313	325	638	110	294	28	10	293	83	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	252	219	48	9	2	4	26	69	5	8	1	218	315	334	649	116	294	27	10	296	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	270	235	51	9	2	5	27	74	6	8	1	219	315	336	652	118	295	27	10	297	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	280	244	53	9	2	5	28	76	6	8	1	219	316	338	654	119	294	27	10	298	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	278	242	52	9	2	5	28	76	6	8	1	218	315	335	650	117	294	27	10	297	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	274	238	52	9	2	5	28	76	6	7	1	216	313	331	643	115	293	28	10	294	84	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	263	229	49	9	2	4	27	73	5	5	1	214	310	324	634	111	292	28	10	291	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	253	221	47	8	2	4	25	71	5	4	1	211	307	316	623	106	290	28	10	286	79	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	242	211	44	8	2	3	24	69	5	2	1	207	302	307	608	100	287	29	10	280	75	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2618	2278	488	86	20	41	265	725	56	66	10	214	311	324	635	109	294	28	10	292	81	-54	+9	-4	+28	+57	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	121	21	5	10	66	180	14	16	2	214	311	322	633	108	294	28	10	292	81	-13	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4979	4326	911	164	41	71	513	1386	106	134	20	211	309	317	626	106	291	28	10	288	81	-102	+17	-7	+52	+105	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	118	21	5	9	67	181	14	17	3	209	309	312	620	103	288	28	10	288	81	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 62 PAwOBA .373 → .267 (−105)K% 25.8% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.81%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	31.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	27.42%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	19.34%
HBP% /PA	8.06%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.69%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	17.13%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	5.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .267; ISO .050 → .034; BABIP .333 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 53 PAwOBA .240 → .160 (−80)K% 26.4% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.42%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	32.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.75%	÷1.066	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.94%
HBP% /PA	3.77%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.70%
Singles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.113	×0.680	—	×1.022	2.40%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.069	×0.600	—	×1.022	2.21%
Triples /BIP	3.85%	÷0.943	×0.600	—	×1.022	2.50%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .240 → .160; ISO .075 → .048; BABIP .115 → .071. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,655	39	66	215	308	323	+28	+21	5.5	5.0
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+5.3	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Orozco (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	197/299/273	76	289	0	1	29%	10%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	40→50	36→45	52→65	45	189/257/257	67	264	2	17	28%	8%	47	-2.5	204/269/271	67	302	2	17	30%	8%	55	-2.0	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	36→45	37→45	50	44	175/249/259	84	244	3	6	28%	7%	46	-2.6	195/267/304	109	273	8	11	29%	8%	62	-1.4	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Michael Beltre 2015 · A	20	40→50	35→45	50→60	43	187/269/245	58	279	2	12	31%	8%	51	-2.3	200/263/276	76	291	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Leury García 2010 · A	19	43→53	35→45	54→60	37	204/245/264	60	295	3	18	31%	4%	43	-2.8	238/272/306	68	321	3	27	26%	4%	63	-1.4	281/320/390	109	351	9	28	22%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2016 · A	19	45→48	35→50	53→55	41	204/269/262	58	312	2	21	33%	7%	53	-2.1	201/263/303	102	309	7	18	35%	7%	60	-1.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	42	193/245/268	75	263	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	238/286/328	90	316	8	10	26%	6%	74	-0.6	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2016 · A	19	40	36→40	52→60	42	182/257/247	65	301	3	18	37%	8%	46	-2.6	181/250/258	77	274	5	14	33%	8%	45	-2.7	159/233/232	73	231	6	16	31%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Greg Veloz 2008 · A	20	37→47	39→40	54→55	40	184/240/271	88	266	6	18	32%	6%	44	-2.8	215/260/295	80	302	5	16	29%	5%	56	-1.9	223/266/297	74	307	4	17	27%	5%	55	-1.7
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2015 · A	19	44→40	35→50	54→55	42	200/269/261	61	305	2	17	33%	7%	53	-2.1	208/278/308	100	279	8	19	27%	7%	68	-1.0	204/280/342	138	273	13	19	29%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Junior Lake 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→50	54→55	38	200/247/280	81	281	4	12	30%	5%	48	-2.5	217/255/315	98	324	8	13	34%	4%	59	-1.6	246/294/373	127	337	13	19	30%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Eudy Pina 2010 · A	19	37→47	38→45	54→55	40	179/256/258	79	274	6	20	35%	7%	49	-2.4	185/243/256	71	263	4	16	30%	5%	42	-2.9	217/270/333	115	305	8	11	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Franchy Cordero 2013 · A	18	41→51	35→55	53→50	45	191/263/257	66	293	2	12	33%	9%	50	-2.3	201/249/273	72	312	4	13	35%	5%	47	-2.5	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
●Danny Santana 2010 · A	19	41→51	39→60	59→55	42	199/242/292	93	249	5	15	22%	5%	49	-2.4	211/248/304	93	292	7	15	29%	4%	54	-2.0	283/312/395	112	360	4	23	22%	3%	96	+0.9
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	37	35→55	53→50	43	177/251/241	65	256	2	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	192/259/282	90	265	4	9	27%	7%	54	-2.0	185/255/303	118	252	4	11	26%	8%	55	-0.6
●Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	38→45	52→50	40	194/241/285	91	263	4	12	27%	5%	47	-2.5	222/252/306	84	290	5	12	24%	3%	55	-1.9	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7

Emmanuel Orozco

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps