Alfiery MatosOF
DSL NYY Yankees
Age 18
R/R
5'10" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.1 · 2034
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .265 / .289
PA75
HR1
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.7 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +3.1 | $32M | +$26M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +3.0 | $32M | +$22M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.8 | $31M | +$17M |
| Totals | $33M | $182M | +$149M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 82 | 70 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 2 | 10 | 3 | .086 | .200 | .086 | .286 | .000 | .188 | 49 | 10 | .155 | -23 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | NYY | 75 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .203 | .267 | .304 | .571 | .101 | .291 | 32 | 7 | .254 | 53 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 11% | NYY | 167 | 149 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .221 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .114 | .306 | 30 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 28% | NYY | 311 | 275 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .236 | .318 | .378 | .696 | .142 | .312 | 28 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 48% | NYY | 421 | 371 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 116 | 6 | 11 | 3 | .243 | .328 | .396 | .724 | .154 | .312 | 28 | 10 | .321 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB 65% | NYY | 500 | 438 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 133 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .244 | .333 | .402 | .734 | .158 | .312 | 27 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB 86% | NYY | 553 | 482 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 58 | 145 | 8 | 16 | 4 | .249 | .339 | .419 | .759 | .170 | .313 | 26 | 10 | .335 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 588 | 512 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 152 | 8 | 18 | 4 | .250 | .341 | .424 | .765 | .174 | .313 | 26 | 11 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.7 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 609 | 528 | 133 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 156 | 9 | 18 | 4 | .252 | .346 | .428 | .774 | .176 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .342 | 120 | +14 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 619 | 536 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 69 | 159 | 9 | 18 | 4 | .250 | .345 | .424 | .769 | .174 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .344 | 121 | +15 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 621 | 537 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 70 | 160 | 9 | 18 | 4 | .250 | .346 | .423 | .768 | .173 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .344 | 121 | +15 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.1 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 617 | 533 | 133 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 70 | 160 | 9 | 17 | 3 | .250 | .346 | .424 | .770 | .174 | .314 | 26 | 11 | .343 | 120 | +14 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.0 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 608 | 525 | 130 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 69 | 160 | 9 | 16 | 3 | .248 | .345 | .417 | .762 | .170 | .313 | 26 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 2.8 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 598 | 517 | 127 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 159 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .246 | .342 | .416 | .758 | .170 | .312 | 27 | 11 | .337 | 116 | +11 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 2.5 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 584 | 505 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 19 | 66 | 158 | 8 | 11 | 1 | .244 | .340 | .412 | .752 | .168 | .310 | 27 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +17 | 2.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 566 | 489 | 117 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 156 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .239 | .337 | .401 | .738 | .162 | .309 | 28 | 11 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 536 | 464 | 108 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 151 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .233 | .330 | .386 | .715 | .153 | .307 | 28 | 11 | .323 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 489 | 425 | 97 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 142 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .325 | .376 | .702 | .148 | .306 | 29 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 433 | 376 | 85 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 130 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .226 | .323 | .372 | .696 | .146 | .304 | 30 | 11 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 372 | 323 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 116 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .314 | .347 | .661 | .130 | .301 | 31 | 11 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2045 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 307 | 267 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .306 | .333 | .639 | .124 | .297 | 32 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -7 | -2 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9656 | 8391 | 2010 | 325 | 62 | 296 | 1049 | 2654 | 135 | 217 | 41 | .240 | .334 | .399 | .732 | .159 | .312 | 27 | 11 | .327 | 109 | +93 | +27 | -38 | -58 | +274 | 30.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 565 | 135 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 71 | 179 | 9 | 15 | 3 | .239 | .333 | .398 | .732 | .159 | .312 | 28 | 11 | .327 | 109 | +6 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 82 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 3 | .159 | .338 | .159 | .496 | .000 | .263 | 33 | 18 | .256 | 54 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alfiery Matos (OGILVIE) | 18 | — | — | — | — | .199/.265/.289 | .090 | .291 | 1 | 1 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A |
18 | 42→52 | 40→65 | 50→45 | 42 | .204/.266/.299 | .095 | .285 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .208/.259/.302 | .094 | .287 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .256/.325/.480 | .224 | .314 | 34 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 126 | +2.6 |
|
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 40→65 | 49→40 | 39 | .197/.240/.291 | .094 | .269 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .251/.286/.404 | .153 | .321 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 91 | +1.1 | .273/.314/.492 | .219 | .314 | 30 | 0 | 23% | 5% | 125 | +2.3 |
|
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A |
19 | 37→47 | 41→60 | 49→55 | 38 | .182/.248/.279 | .096 | .291 | 8 | 7 | 38% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .191/.250/.282 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .258/.336/.452 | .194 | .336 | 23 | 25 | 29% | 10% | 124 | +2.2 |
|
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A |
18 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 51→55 | 37 | .205/.244/.299 | .094 | .289 | 6 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .257/.317/.390 | .133 | .320 | 11 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .284/.360/.488 | .204 | .328 | 24 | 14 | 20% | 10% | 137 | +4.4 |
|
●Willson Contreras 2010 · A |
18 | 41→51 | 38→60 | 47→45 | 40 | .195/.259/.277 | .082 | .276 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .213/.276/.288 | .075 | .277 | 4 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .291/.363/.474 | .183 | .341 | 20 | 5 | 20% | 9% | 137 | +3.5 |
|
●Brandon Drury 2011 · A |
18 | 36→46 | 38→60 | 45→40 | 33 | .178/.219/.255 | .076 | .265 | 6 | 5 | 34% | 4% | 24 | -3.6 | .214/.245/.320 | .106 | .267 | 10 | 3 | 23% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .254/.305/.458 | .204 | .301 | 25 | 1 | 24% | 6% | 112 | +2.0 |
|
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A |
18 | 46→54 | 37→60 | 46→50 | 46 | .215/.278/.292 | .076 | .296 | 4 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .231/.286/.324 | .093 | .321 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .258/.343/.395 | .138 | .293 | 16 | 6 | 17% | 11% | 111 | +2.7 |
|
●Jose Alvarez 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 38→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .197/.247/.279 | .082 | .270 | 5 | 8 | 28% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .198/.241/.288 | .090 | .275 | 6 | 8 | 29% | 3% | 41 | -2.3 | .293/.324/.482 | .189 | .318 | 26 | 9 | 17% | 2% | 126 | +2.8 |
|
●Francisco Peguero 2007 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 41→55 | 48→55 | 36 | .212/.247/.312 | .100 | .284 | 8 | 6 | 28% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | .226/.259/.303 | .077 | .299 | 4 | 17 | 25% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .287/.327/.455 | .168 | .332 | 22 | 7 | 20% | 4% | 119 | +2.3 |
|
●Miguel Andujar 2013 · A |
18 | 40→50 | 36→60 | 41→45 | 39 | .192/.237/.258 | .066 | .267 | 4 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .214/.250/.312 | .098 | .271 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .286/.320/.470 | .184 | .314 | 21 | 3 | 16% | 4% | 120 | +2.3 |
|
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A |
18 | 43→50 | 40→60 | 42→30 | 38 | .207/.253/.302 | .095 | .293 | 8 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .206/.255/.327 | .121 | .274 | 14 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .246/.306/.451 | .204 | .321 | 28 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→55 | 45 | .217/.279/.319 | .102 | .277 | 10 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.280/.389 | .156 | .311 | 18 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.307/.430 | .168 | .314 | 19 | 26 | 23% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 |
|
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A |
18 | 39→49 | 38→55 | 49→40 | 39 | .190/.242/.270 | .080 | .272 | 5 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 37 | -2.6 | .217/.256/.335 | .118 | .271 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .263/.299/.434 | .171 | .290 | 19 | 2 | 17% | 4% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
●Heliot Ramos 2019 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 47→50 | 33 | .202/.246/.317 | .115 | .301 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .215/.268/.348 | .133 | .317 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .256/.322/.432 | .177 | .319 | 22 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 112 | +2.4 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2007 · A |
18 | 43→53 | 39→60 | 52→50 | 35 | .205/.243/.299 | .094 | .302 | 6 | 10 | 33% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .213/.261/.326 | .113 | .308 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
●Johnathan Rodríguez 2018 · A |
18 | 45→52 | 36→60 | 47→45 | 48 | .208/.282/.281 | .073 | .298 | 3 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .212/.270/.288 | .076 | .310 | 3 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .250/.316/.429 | .179 | .345 | 24 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A |
18 | 42→50 | 38→55 | 50 | 42 | .204/.261/.284 | .080 | .276 | 5 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .225/.280/.326 | .101 | .289 | 8 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .250/.346/.432 | .182 | .322 | 17 | 18 | 26% | 11% | 119 | +1.6 |
|
●Renato Núñez 2012 · A |
18 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 43→30 | 35 | .205/.239/.302 | .097 | .278 | 9 | 4 | 30% | 3% | 44 | -2.1 | .212/.255/.338 | .126 | .283 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .238/.308/.452 | .215 | .278 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 7% | 111 | +1.7 |
|
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A |
18 | 46→56 | 41→55 | 47→50 | 41 | .220/.274/.320 | .100 | .304 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .259/.317/.406 | .147 | .307 | 14 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .255/.348/.438 | .183 | .301 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 12% | 121 | +3.1 |
|
●Avisaíl García 2009 · A |
18 | 45→55 | 42→60 | 45→50 | 40 | .223/.259/.327 | .105 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.252/.296 | .072 | .311 | 5 | 9 | 29% | 3% | 46 | -2.0 | .286/.337/.472 | .186 | .345 | 23 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 125 | +2.9 |