Florangel Vasquez

Florangel Vasquez P ACL Padres

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.4 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%23.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.0%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.6M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	21	0	36	141	46	13	1	0%	1.7	22.2%	11.5%	10.7%	1.0%	3.79	3.26	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	21	0	36	141	46	13	1	0%	1.7	22.2%	11.5%	10.7%	1.0%	3.79	3.26	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	21	0	36	141	46	13	1	0%	1.7	32.6%	9.2%	23.4%	0.7%	3.79	1.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	30	0	46	210	56	18	6	0%	1.5	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	4.2%	4.86	5.09	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	30	0	46	210	56	18	6	0%	1.5	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	4.2%	4.86	5.09	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	SD	22	0	30	135	42	11	4	0%	1.4	31.1%	8.1%	23.0%	3.0%	5.04	3.13	—
2026	20	A RAW	SD	7	0	14	62	13	6	2	0%	2.0	21.0%	9.7%	11.3%	3.2%	4.61	4.33	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	SD	1	0	2	13	1	1	0	0%	2.3	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.86	3.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	45	0	48	201	47	20	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.37	+0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	48	0	50	212	51	20	6	0%	1.0	24.3%	9.4%	14.9%	2.8%	4.27	4.17	+0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	50	0	52	220	55	20	6	0%	1.0	25.0%	8.9%	16.1%	2.8%	4.13	4.03	+0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	51	0	53	225	57	19	6	0%	1.0	25.5%	8.6%	16.9%	2.8%	4.02	3.94	+0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	51	0	54	228	59	19	6	0%	1.1	25.9%	8.5%	17.4%	2.7%	3.93	3.88	+0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	51	0	54	228	59	19	6	0%	1.1	26.1%	8.4%	17.6%	2.7%	3.89	3.86	+0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	51	0	53	225	59	19	6	0%	1.0	26.1%	8.5%	17.5%	2.8%	3.89	3.89	+0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	22	0	23	97	23	10	3	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	2.9%	4.46	4.41	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	35	0	37	156	38	15	5	0%	1.1	24.3%	9.4%	14.9%	2.9%	4.31	4.21	+0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	42	0	44	186	46	17	5	0%	1.0	25.0%	8.9%	16.1%	2.9%	4.17	4.07	+0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	46	0	48	203	52	17	6	0%	1.0	25.5%	8.6%	16.9%	2.8%	4.06	3.98	+0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	48	0	50	211	55	18	6	0%	1.0	25.9%	8.5%	17.4%	2.8%	3.97	3.92	+0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	48	0	50	211	55	18	6	0%	1.0	26.1%	8.4%	17.6%	2.8%	3.93	3.90	+0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	49	0	51	215	56	18	6	0%	1.0	26.1%	8.5%	17.5%	2.9%	3.93	3.93	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		287	0	302	1274	323	112	36	0%	1.1	25.4%	8.8%	16.5%	2.9%	4.08	3.64	+3.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	214	74	24	0%	1.1	25.4%	8.8%	16.5%	2.9%	4.08	3.64	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		51	0	82	351	72	38	10	0%	1.6	20.5%	11.0%	9.6%	2.9%	4.39	4.35	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	0	200	856	176	94	25	0%	1.6	20.5%	11.0%	9.6%	2.9%	4.39	4.35	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Florangel Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	23.0%	10.9%	2.9%	—	4.19	24.2%	14.8%	150	-0.34	—	—	—
Danny Dopico R 2015 · 3.87 FIP	21	SU	3.87	25.4%	10.8%	2.8%	.333	3.90	22.8%	8.1%	173	+0.03	3.00	318	89
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	20	SU	4.14	25.1%	13.3%	2.7%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.85	3.21	104	89
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	408	88
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	88
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	87
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	87
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	86
Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2023 · 3.57 FIP	20	SU	3.57	23.5%	13.2%	1.4%	.286	4.64	18.0%	7.8%	180	+1.07	3.57	204	85
Enmanuel Marcano R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	20	SU	4.32	21.1%	8.4%	3.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	138	85
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	85
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	85
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	85
David Garner R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	21.7%	10.0%	2.3%	.282	4.52	19.8%	5.2%	98	+0.71	3.81	154	85
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	85
Felix Castro R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	19	SU	3.52	24.0%	12.2%	1.6%	.295	4.94	14.9%	-1.8%	97	+1.42	3.52	144	84
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	84
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.56	249	84
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	84
Kai Wynyard R 2022 · 4.27 FIP	20	SU	4.27	21.1%	9.1%	3.3%	.269	4.12	16.5%	3.9%	138	-0.15	3.32	257	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	48	25.1%	9.0%	1.08	4.10
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33