Aneury Montilla

P FCL Phillies

Age 21 LHP 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Phillies …	13	10	35	6.43	3.07	23.2%	10.1%	—	K 15.8% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.45
2026	20	ROKPHI	19	0	30	6.00	4.37	19.6%	12.8%	—	K 13.3% · BB 16.0% · FIP 5.57
2027PROJ	21	MLBPHI	18	0	19	5.26	5.26	19.0%	13.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBPHI	15	0	16	4.99	4.87	20.6%	12.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Felix Polanco (age 21) · Drew Harrington (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%19.0%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	13	10	35	168	39	17	2	77%	2.7	15.8%	12.6%	3.1%	2.0%	6.43	4.45	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	13	10	35	168	39	17	2	77%	2.7	15.8%	12.6%	3.1%	2.0%	6.43	4.45	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	13	10	35	168	39	17	2	77%	2.7	23.2%	10.1%	13.1%	1.2%	6.43	3.07	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	19	0	30	148	29	19	3	0%	1.6	13.3%	16.0%	-2.7%	2.8%	6.00	5.57	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	19	0	30	148	29	19	3	0%	1.6	13.3%	16.0%	-2.7%	2.8%	6.00	5.57	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	19	0	30	148	29	19	3	0%	1.6	19.6%	12.8%	6.8%	2.0%	6.00	4.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PHI	18	0	19	80	15	11	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	13.9%	5.1%	3.0%	5.26	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	32	0	33	140	29	17	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.99	4.87	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	15	0	16	68	14	8	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.99	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	69	14	8	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.99	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	98	25	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.99	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		32	10	65	316	46	45	7	31%	2.0	14.6%	14.2%	0.4%	2.4%	6.23	4.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	31	200	972	142	138	23	31%	2.0	14.6%	14.2%	0.4%	2.4%	6.23	4.97	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneury Montilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	19.0%	13.9%	3.0%	—	4.87	20.6%	8.5%	33	-0.39	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	85
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	82
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	80
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	80
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	79
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	79
Oriel Castro L 2022 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.5%	12.6%	2.4%	.333	6.44	16.0%	-5.3%	18	+1.81	4.63	129	78
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	78
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	78
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	77
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	77
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	77
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	77
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	77
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	77
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	77
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.0%	12.7%	1.14	5.09
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12