Ivan Pacheco

P DSL LAD Mega

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Mega	16	27	3.67	5.47	10.3%	10.3%	—	K 7.0% · BB 12.9% · FIP 6.76
2026	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	9	10	8.10	3.80	24.0%	12.0%	—	K 16.3% · BB 15.0% · FIP 5.16
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	9	9	5.05	5.05	19.8%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	12	13	4.86	4.79	20.7%	11.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Alvarado (age 21) · Max Gieg (age 21) · Austin Mason (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%19.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.3%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	16	0	27	116	12	12	4	0%	1.7	7.0%	12.9%	-5.9%	4.8%	3.67	6.76	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	16	0	27	116	12	12	4	0%	1.7	7.0%	12.9%	-5.9%	4.8%	3.67	6.76	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	16	0	27	116	12	12	4	0%	1.7	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	3.4%	3.67	5.47	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	9	0	10	50	12	6	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	15.0%	1.3%	2.8%	8.10	5.16	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	9	0	10	50	12	6	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	15.0%	1.3%	2.8%	8.10	5.16	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	9	0	10	50	12	6	1	0%	1.1	24.0%	12.0%	12.0%	2.0%	8.10	3.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.4%	7.3%	3.0%	5.05	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	24	0	26	108	22	12	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.86	4.79	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.86	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	11	6	2	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.86	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	96	32	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.86	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		25	0	37	166	16	22	7	0%	1.5	9.8%	13.6%	-3.7%	4.2%	4.86	6.28	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	0	200	897	88	122	37	0%	1.5	9.8%	13.6%	-3.7%	4.2%	4.86	6.28	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ivan Pacheco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	19.8%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.79	20.7%	9.4%	26	-0.26	—	—	—
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	89
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	88
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	87
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	87
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	87
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	87
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	86
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	86
Aneudy Duarte R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	20	SU	4.79	17.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	102	86
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	85
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	85
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	85
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	85
Augusto Calderon R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	20	SU	4.24	21.2%	12.6%	2.4%	.226	4.35	18.2%	5.9%	126	+0.11	3.58	208	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	84
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	84
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	84
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	84