Albertt Medina — OGILVIE

Albertt Medina P DSL Phillies

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 162 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%20.4%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	0	25	103	20	8	1	0%	1.8	13.2%	9.7%	3.5%	1.6%	2.49	4.10	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	0	25	103	20	8	1	0%	1.8	13.2%	9.7%	3.5%	1.6%	2.49	4.10	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	14	0	25	103	20	8	1	0%	1.8	19.4%	7.8%	11.7%	1.0%	2.49	2.98	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	9	1	19	82	19	9	0	11%	2.1	15.8%	13.7%	2.0%	0.0%	1.40	3.51	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	9	1	19	82	19	9	0	11%	2.1	15.8%	13.7%	2.0%	0.0%	1.40	3.51	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	9	1	19	82	19	9	0	11%	2.1	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	0.0%	1.40	2.53	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	PHI	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	23	0	24	101	21	11	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	10.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	11	0	12	51	11	5	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	10	5	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	85	17	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		23	1	45	185	27	21	2	4%	1.9	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	0.9%	2.01	3.84	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	4	200	828	119	95	7	4%	1.9	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	0.9%	2.01	3.84	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Albertt Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	20.4%	11.4%	2.9%	—	4.59	21.1%	10.7%	24	-0.21	—	—	—
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	90
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	88
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	87
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	86
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	85
Kevin Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.14	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.23	2.34	188	85
Jose Diaz R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.52	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.55	3.91	189	85
David Matoma R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	18	SU	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	1.7%	.259	5.70	15.7%	-5.9%	79	+1.89	3.58	118	85
Greiber Mendez R 2023 · 3.64 FIP	19	SU	3.64	19.0%	11.7%	1.2%	.288	5.26	15.7%	3.0%	185	+1.62	3.64	247	84
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	84
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	84
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	84
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	83
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	83
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	83
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	83
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	83
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	82
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	82