Jesus Ortega

SS DSL Royals Fortuna
Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Royals Fo…151.148/.302/.16405-4—.085/.208/.093
202618ROKDSL Royals Fo…44.143/.302/.14304-4—.108/.233/.108
2027PROJMLE19MLB—154.195/.273/.2551253-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLB—30.200/.279/.2700058-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%87
Whiff%84
Chase%82
BB%69
Z-Con%66
Speed55
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsRichard Rodriguez (age 19) · Cesar Gonzalez (age 19) · Dennys Riera (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj PA
wRC+53
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .271 / .253
PA32
HR0
K%24
BB%9
ISO60
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 151122 18200 25222 55 148302164466 16178 1517 238 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Royals Fortuna — 4435 5000 860 41 143302143445 172 1418 230 -4 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 151129 11100 18262 55 8520893301 8109 1712 162 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 4437 4000 670 41 108233108341 118 1614 162 -4 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 151129 11100 18262 55 8520893301 8106 1712 162 -4 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Royals Fortuna — 151122 18200 25222 55 148302164466 16178 1517 238 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 4437 4000 670 41 108233108341 133 1614 162 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Royals Fortuna — 4435 5000 860 41 143302143445 172 1418 230 -4 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 151130 11100 18262 55 8520892300 8109 1712 162 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 4438 4000 670 41 105233105338 118 1614 162 -4 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 151130 11100 18262 55 8520892300 8109 1712 162 -4 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Royals Fortuna — 4438 4000 670 41 105233105338 118 1614 162 -4 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLE— 0% 154138 27411 14361 21 195273255529 60256 239 246 53 -9 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLE— 34% 8879 16211 8211 10 200279270549 70259 249 254 58 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202820 MLB CTX— 34% 3027 5100 370 00 200279270549 70259 2310 254 58 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3027 5100 370 00 185267222489 37250 2310 254 19 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 1092200 651520 00 186268224492 38252 2310 254 19 -32 +0 +0 +7 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 315274 36411 35623 116 131237164401 33165 2011 196 19 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650565 74822 721286 2312 131236163399 32165 2011 196 19 -33 +2 +0 +7 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 44 PAwOBA .225 → .162 (−64)K% 13.6% → 16.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.64%÷1.000×1.220——16.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00812.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP17.24%÷1.000×0.680—×1.00811.81%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .225 → .162; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .172 → .118. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 151 PAwOBA .235 → .162 (−73)K% 14.6% → 17.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.57%÷1.023×1.220——17.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.56%÷0.974×0.700—×1.02212.17%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.700—×1.0220.95%
Singles /BIP16.00%÷1.083×0.680×0.954×1.0229.79%
Doubles /BIP2.00%÷0.965×0.600×0.954×1.0221.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.600×0.954×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 105, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .235 → .162; ISO .016 → .010; BABIP .178 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).