Jesus Ortega — OGILVIE

Jesus OrtegaSS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+47

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP244

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$1.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	122	18	2	0	0	25	22	2	5	5	148	302	164	466	16	178	15	17	238	47	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	131	13	1	0	0	16	31	2	5	5	99	208	107	315	8	128	21	11	162	-4	-19	-1	—	—	+3	-1.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	131	13	1	0	0	16	31	2	5	5	99	208	107	315	8	129	21	11	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	122	18	2	0	0	25	22	2	5	5	148	302	164	466	16	178	15	17	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	132	13	1	0	0	16	31	2	5	5	98	208	106	314	8	128	21	11	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	151	132	13	1	0	0	16	31	2	5	5	98	208	106	314	8	128	21	11	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	38	4	0	0	0	5	9	0	4	1	105	209	105	315		138	20	11	164	-3	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	44	35	5	0	0	0	8	6	0	4	1	143	302	143	445		172	14	18	230	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	—	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		244	27	9	237	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	—	—	55	48	5	0	0	0	6	12	0	4	1	104	204	104	308		139	22	11	179	7	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	215	192	38	6	1	2	19	50	2	4	1	198	277	271	548	73	252	23	9	253	57	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	349	311	63	10	2	4	31	80	4	6	1	203	283	286	569	84	257	23	9	263	64	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	450	402	82	13	2	6	40	103	5	7	2	204	284	291	575	87	259	23	9	269	68	-17	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	521	463	97	15	3	8	47	118	6	9	2	210	291	307	597	97	261	23	9	273	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+11	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	570	507	107	17	3	9	51	129	7	9	2	211	292	310	602	99	262	23	9	275	73	-19	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	601	535	113	18	3	10	54	135	7	10	2	211	292	312	604	101	263	22	9	277	74	-19	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	620	551	116	18	3	10	56	139	8	10	2	211	293	309	601	98	263	22	9	278	74	-19	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	60%	629	559	119	19	3	11	57	141	8	10	2	213	295	317	612	104	263	22	9	279	75	-19	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	62%	629	558	119	19	3	11	58	142	8	10	2	213	296	317	614	104	263	23	9	279	75	-19	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	63%	625	554	116	18	3	10	58	142	8	10	2	209	294	307	600	97	262	23	9	278	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	616	546	115	18	3	10	58	141	7	9	2	211	295	310	604	99	262	23	9	276	73	-20	+1	-1	+7	+13	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	74	66	13	2	0	1	7	17	1	1	0	197	284	273	557	76	252	23	9	253	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	169	150	31	5	1	2	15	39	2	3	1	207	287	293	581	87	257	23	9	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	244	217	44	7	1	3	22	56	3	4	1	203	285	286	571	83	259	23	9	269	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	262	55	9	2	4	27	67	4	5	1	210	294	305	599	95	261	23	9	273	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	328	291	62	10	2	5	30	74	4	5	1	213	295	313	608	100	262	23	9	275	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	343	305	65	10	2	6	31	77	4	6	1	213	294	318	612	105	263	22	9	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	352	313	66	10	2	6	32	79	4	6	1	211	292	313	605	102	263	22	9	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	60%	380	337	71	11	2	6	35	85	5	6	2	211	294	309	603	98	263	22	9	279	75	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	62%	391	347	74	12	2	7	36	88	5	6	2	213	296	320	616	107	263	23	9	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	63%	395	350	75	12	2	7	37	90	5	6	2	214	298	320	618	106	262	23	9	278	74	-12	+0	-0	+4	+9	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	400	355	75	12	2	7	37	91	5	6	2	211	295	315	610	104	262	23	9	276	73	-13	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3371	2993	631	100	18	54	309	763	42	54	14	211	294	310	604	100	263	23	9	275	70	-110	+5	-1	+36	+73	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	121	19	3	10	60	147	8	10	3	210	293	305	598	95	262	23	9	275	70	-21	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5987	5319	1099	172	29	91	546	1354	72	99	25	207	289	301	590	95	258	23	9	272	70	-194	+11	-2	+63	+126	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	120	19	3	10	59	147	8	11	3	208	290	303	593	95	260	23	9	272	70	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,497	54	56	211	290	309	+37	+21	2.4	2.5
/162	664	10	11	+7.1	+4.0	0.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Ortega (OGILVIE)	18	20	20	45	60	184/263/240	56	244	1	3	24%	9%	47	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Hector Martinez 2019 · A	18	36	35→30	43→50	46	169/244/226	56	218	3	7	22%	7%	36	-3.3	189/265/253	64	250	4	9	24%	8%	51	-2.3	170/243/221	52	234	3	7	27%	8%	32	-1.0
✕Luis Carlos Diaz 2018 · A	18	36	34→30	41→45	53	167/267/218	51	215	1	7	21%	10%	45	-2.7	191/282/256	65	248	3	7	22%	10%	58	-1.7	173/283/223	51	216	2	5	19%	12%	52	-0.9
✕José Alvarez 2018 · A	18	40	34→40	40→50	46	189/260/235	46	266	2	7	28%	8%	44	-2.8	218/275/277	59	303	2	7	27%	7%	58	-1.7	229/279/278	49	322	1	8	27%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Aneudis Peralta 2012 · A	18	37	35→30	49→45	51	176/263/230	54	227	3	6	22%	9%	45	-2.7	197/263/257	60	262	1	5	23%	7%	50	-2.3	195/260/254	60	252	0	2	21%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	53	-2.1	207/290/260	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	61	-1.5	216/289/281	65	299	0	7	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Elio Castillo 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→50	49	202/273/265	63	251	2	8	20%	8%	55	-1.9	213/285/265	52	263	2	8	18%	7%	60	-1.6	213/278/238	26	263	0	8	18%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Imeldo Diaz 2016 · A	18	41	33→40	47→45	45	190/241/232	42	231	1	7	18%	5%	35	-3.4	202/246/269	67	251	5	5	21%	4%	45	-2.7	235/268/312	77	305	7	3	25%	3%	60	-0.4
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	53	-2.1	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	57	-1.8	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Andrew Caraballo 2018 · A	18	40	35→40	42→40	51	185/269/244	58	254	2	7	26%	10%	50	-2.3	179/265/257	78	292	4	7	36%	9%	51	-2.2	141/240/222	81	245	4	7	40%	10%	33	-0.9
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	39	35→40	41→45	40	185/261/243	58	280	3	8	33%	7%	47	-2.6	212/286/294	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	68	-1.0	215/300/291	76	303	6	4	28%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Javier Godard 2014 · A	18	37	37→40	46→50	44	178/238/250	72	216	4	8	20%	5%	39	-3.1	199/249/266	67	243	3	11	18%	5%	46	-2.6	203/252/262	59	246	2	14	17%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Rodrigo Vigil 2011 · A	18	38	36→30	48→30	44	180/248/248	68	235	3	6	24%	6%	42	-2.9	198/252/261	63	244	3	5	19%	5%	46	-2.6	233/267/301	69	271	3	2	15%	2%	57	-0.7
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	49	-2.4	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	57	-1.8	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	55	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps