Fabian Cordero — OGILVIE

Fabian CorderoOF DSL Orioles Orange

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+56

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .269 / .270

PA151

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	102	24	6	0	1	17	31	0	3	1	235	345	324	668	88	319	26	14	306	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	146	41	9	1	1	29	44	1	3	2	281	403	377	780	96	388	24	16	352	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	107	18	4	0	1	12	38	0	3	1	168	252	234	486	65	226	31	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	154	29	6	1	0	21	54	1	3	2	188	290	240	530	52	266	30	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	107	18	4	0	1	12	38	0	3	1	168	252	234	486	65	243	31	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	102	24	6	0	1	17	31	0	3	1	235	345	324	668	88	319	26	14	306	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	154	29	6	1	0	21	54	1	3	2	188	290	240	530	52	284	30	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	146	41	9	1	1	29	44	1	3	2	281	403	377	780	96	388	24	16	352	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	108	18	4	0	1	12	38	0	3	1	167	252	231	484	65	226	31	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	156	29	6	1	0	21	54	1	3	2	186	290	237	527	51	266	30	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	121	108	18	4	0	1	12	38	0	3	1	167	252	231	484	65	226	31	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	180	156	29	6	1	0	21	54	1	3	2	186	290	237	527	51	266	30	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	290	262	51	9	2	2	24	82	2	4	1	198	271	273	544	75	276	28	8	250	56	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	234	210	42	8	1	2	20	65	2	4	2	203	277	287	565	84	279	28	9	259	61	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	80	72	15	3	0	1	7	22	1	1	1	203	277	287	565	84	279	28	9	259	61	-4	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	80	72	15	3	0	1	7	22	1	1	1	208	287	292	579	83	286	28	9	259	52	-4	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	121	24	0	8	57	179	8	8	8	207	286	289	575	82	284	28	9	259	52	-30	-2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	686	607	116	23	3	4	66	200	4	12	6	191	275	259	533	68	274	29	10	245	52	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	110	22	3	4	63	190	4	11	6	191	276	261	537	70	274	29	10	245	52	-32	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	231	2	4	201	271	279	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	6	11	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Cordero (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	30→35	46→51	64	196/269/270	74	276	1	2	28%	8%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Edison Lantigua 2016 · A	19	40	37→45	50	43	194/248/273	79	262	4	5	27%	6%	47	-2.5	202/262/288	86	317	4	8	35%	7%	56	-1.9	183/244/272	89	297	5	7	37%	7%	43	-0.8
✕Yeicok Calderon 2011 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	51	207/290/296	88	267	6	7	24%	10%	70	-0.9	185/242/299	114	287	11	6	37%	7%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Ronier Lascarro 2019 · A	18	41	35→30	47→50	51	190/274/249	59	262	1	7	26%	10%	53	-2.1	189/284/257	68	258	3	9	25%	11%	59	-1.7	172/299/237	64	208	2	10	16%	14%	58	-0.7
✕Lexer Saduy 2022 · A	19	42	35→40	49→50	50	196/275/263	67	258	2	8	23%	9%	56	-1.9	197/273/267	70	301	4	12	33%	8%	56	-1.9	185/264/250	65	289	5	15	34%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Jakey Josepha 2023 · A	19	42→45	35→40	52→55	50	198/273/252	54	267	3	12	25%	9%	53	-2.1	193/262/270	77	318	6	13	38%	8%	53	-2.1	177/248/256	79	304	7	17	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Junior Garcia 2024 · A	19	40	37→40	51→50	49	191/274/270	79	259	4	6	26%	9%	58	-1.7	176/257/244	68	302	5	8	39%	9%	45	-2.7	151/238/211	60	276	6	8	43%	9%	29	-1.6
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	42	37→40	48→40	51	197/283/270	73	274	5	9	28%	10%	61	-1.5	201/292/304	103	274	9	5	27%	11%	72	-0.7	185/288/299	114	245	11	3	27%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Sam Shaw 2024 · A	19	46	38→40	43→50	51	212/298/293	81	291	4	6	26%	10%	72	-0.7	194/283/290	96	248	8	10	23%	10%	66	-1.1	179/281/288	109	228	11	11	25%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	42	34→30	48→60	51	196/282/251	55	252	1	12	21%	9%	57	-1.8	214/281/270	56	267	1	24	18%	8%	59	-1.7	224/286/275	51	279	0	33	18%	7%	59	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps