Jefferson Vargas

SS DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 148 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	161	.211/.365/.258	0	5	22	—	.132/.258/.162
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	55	.167/.364/.238	0	1	24	—	.133/.291/.200
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPIT	165	.194/.277/.260	1	2	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	51	.199/.282/.274	0	1	61	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	142	.203/.287/.286	1	2	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%80

K%75

Chase%73

Z-Con%61

Whiff%57

Speed57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDaniel Vellojin (age 19) · Michael De La Cruz (age 19) · Henry Pena (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .274 / .258

PA58

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	128	27	4	1	0	29	36	2	5	1	211	365	258	623	47	290	22	18	300	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	42	7	1	1	0	11	9	2	1	1	167	364	238	602	71	212	16	20	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	136	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	132	258	162	420	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	136	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	132	258	162	420	29	196	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	128	27	4	1	0	29	36	2	5	1	211	365	258	623	47	290	22	18	300	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	176	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	42	7	1	1	0	11	9	2	1	1	167	364	238	602	71	212	16	20	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	137	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	131	258	161	418	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	137	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	131	258	161	418	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	165	147	28	4	1	1	15	44	2	2	1	194	277	260	537	67	267	27	9	250	55	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	149	132	26	4	1	1	14	39	2	2	1	199	282	275	557	77	270	26	9	258	61	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	293	260	52	8	2	3	27	76	4	5	2	203	287	288	575	85	272	26	9	265	65	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	400	355	74	12	3	5	37	103	5	6	2	207	290	299	589	92	274	26	9	271	69	-15	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	472	420	89	14	4	7	43	120	6	8	3	210	293	308	602	98	276	25	9	275	72	-15	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	519	460	98	16	4	8	48	131	6	8	3	213	296	316	612	103	277	25	9	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	548	486	104	17	4	9	50	139	7	9	3	214	296	318	614	105	277	25	9	280	76	-16	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	563	499	106	17	4	9	52	142	7	9	3	214	296	319	615	105	277	25	9	280	76	-16	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	568	504	107	17	4	9	52	145	7	9	3	213	295	316	612	104	277	26	9	279	75	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	567	503	105	17	4	8	52	146	7	8	3	211	293	312	605	101	276	26	9	276	73	-18	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	559	497	104	17	4	8	51	145	6	7	4	209	291	306	597	97	275	26	9	273	71	-19	-0	-1	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	51	45	8	1	0	0	5	13	1	1	0	199	282	274	557	76	270	25	10	258	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	142	126	25	4	1	1	13	37	2	2	1	203	287	286	573	84	273	26	9	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	217	192	40	7	2	2	20	56	3	4	1	207	290	297	587	90	274	26	9	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	267	237	49	8	2	3	25	68	3	4	2	210	293	306	599	96	276	25	9	274	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	293	260	55	9	2	4	27	74	4	5	2	213	295	314	609	101	278	25	9	278	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	310	275	58	10	2	4	28	78	4	5	2	213	295	315	611	102	278	25	9	279	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	318	282	60	10	2	5	29	80	4	5	2	213	295	316	611	103	278	25	9	279	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	315	279	59	10	2	5	29	80	4	5	2	212	295	313	608	101	277	25	9	278	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	335	297	63	11	2	5	31	86	4	5	2	210	293	309	602	99	277	26	9	275	73	-11	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	341	303	63	11	2	4	31	89	4	4	2	208	290	303	593	95	275	26	9	272	71	-12	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2589	2296	480	81	17	33	238	661	33	40	16	209	293	302	595	93	277	26	9	275	70	-84	+2	-1	+28	+56	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	120	20	4	8	60	166	8	10	4	208	292	299	591	90	276	26	9	275	70	-21	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4912	4349	899	144	36	67	460	1258	62	78	29	207	292	303	594	96	273	26	9	272	70	-154	+4	-2	+50	+102	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	119	19	5	9	61	166	8	10	4	207	291	304	596	97	273	26	9	272	70	-21	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,647	38	40	211	290	311	+28	+18	1.7	1.8
/162	664	9	10	+7.1	+4.5	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefferson Vargas (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	45	60	192/274/258	66	267	0	1	27%	9%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	38	36→30	44→55	47	182/267/249	68	261	3	8	29%	9%	51	-2.3	186/307/237	51	243	1	18	21%	13%	64	-1.3	162/315/195	34	211	0	27	19%	16%	59	-0.6
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Kleininger Teran 2008 · A	19	41	34→30	42→45	54	190/269/244	54	231	2	5	18%	9%	49	-2.4	214/278/274	60	260	2	4	17%	8%	59	-1.7	240/283/308	67	288	1	2	16%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	40	37→30	46→55	41	195/250/265	70	268	5	12	28%	6%	47	-2.6	203/268/268	65	260	2	15	21%	7%	54	-2.0	203/274/262	60	249	1	23	17%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	39	34→30	42→55	46	182/253/237	55	265	2	9	30%	9%	42	-2.9	176/253/229	53	236	2	15	24%	9%	40	-3.1	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Miguel Arrendell 2007 · A	19	39	36→30	45→50	41	184/254/252	67	277	4	6	32%	7%	46	-2.6	184/282/240	56	229	3	9	19%	11%	55	-2.0	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0

Jefferson Vargas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps