Elias Perez

OF DSL Mariners

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSEA	196	.245/.372/.301	1	5	28	—	.157/.260/.198
2026	18	ROKSEA	190	.232/.489/.400	2	16	75	—	.133/.340/.217
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSEA	300	.195/.288/.271	2	5	62	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSEA	83	.199/.292/.284	1	1	68	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%99

Chase%95

wOBA90

wRC+87

Speed83

ISO73

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMilkar Perez (age 19) · Terry Serrano (age 19) · Fidel Mejia (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 160 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .286 / .268

PA160

HR1

K%27

BB%10

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	196	163	40	4	1	1	30	39	3	5	3	245	372	301	673	55	317	20	15	320	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	190	125	29	11	2	2	59	44	4	16	2	232	489	400	889	168	333	23	31	412	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	172	27	2	1	1	21	47	3	5	3	157	260	198	458	41	206	24	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	143	19	7	1	1	41	54	4	16	2	133	340	217	557	84	200	28	22	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	172	27	2	1	1	21	47	3	5	3	157	260	198	458	41	210	24	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	196	163	40	4	1	1	30	39	3	5	3	245	372	301	673	55	317	20	15	320	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	143	19	7	1	1	41	54	4	16	2	133	340	217	557	84	200	28	22	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	190	125	29	11	2	2	59	44	4	16	2	232	489	400	889	168	333	23	31	412	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	170	27	2	1	1	21	47	3	5	3	159	260	200	460	41	206	24	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	143	19	7	1	1	41	54	4	16	2	133	340	217	557	84	200	28	22	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	170	27	2	1	1	21	47	3	5	3	159	260	200	460	41	206	24	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	190	143	19	7	1	1	41	54	4	16	2	133	340	217	557	84	200	28	22	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	300	263	51	9	2	2	31	81	3	5	1	195	288	271	559	75	270	27	10	260	62	-13	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	242	212	43	8	2	2	25	64	3	4	1	201	294	288	582	87	273	26	10	269	68	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	83	73	16	3	1	1	9	22	1	1	0	199	292	284	576	85	271	27	11	267	68	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	83	73	16	3	1	1	9	22	1	1	0	219	313	329	642	110	300	27	11	267	59	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	125	23	8	8	70	172	8	8	0	219	312	329	641	110	298	26	11	267	59	-25	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	788	667	116	22	5	5	104	208	12	28	7	174	296	244	541	70	242	26	13	255	59	-16	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	550	95	18	4	4	86	172	10	23	6	173	296	242	537	69	241	26	13	255	59	-26	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	243	2	4	198	288	278	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	5	11	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elias Perez (OGILVIE)	19	35	20	45	55	193/286/268	75	270	1	3	27%	10%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	39	34→30	42→55	46	182/253/237	55	265	2	9	30%	9%	42	-2.9	176/253/229	53	236	2	15	24%	9%	40	-3.1	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Fidel Mejia 2018 · A	19	42	34→30	45→40	43	199/251/253	54	264	1	9	24%	6%	44	-2.8	213/260/281	68	296	4	4	28%	6%	53	-2.1	216/260/277	61	299	4	2	28%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	42	36→40	46→60	47	199/264/263	64	259	3	12	23%	7%	51	-2.2	207/270/268	61	275	3	22	24%	7%	55	-2.0	225/284/305	80	290	5	45	23%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	38	34→30	48→50	57	174/286/230	56	237	1	9	24%	12%	55	-2.0	206/287/262	56	304	2	11	29%	10%	60	-1.6	206/281/258	52	313	1	11	32%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Dayan Frias 2021 · A	19	41→43	36→40	49→55	57	190/286/256	66	242	2	11	21%	12%	59	-1.6	210/286/301	91	305	6	6	30%	9%	69	-0.9	209/288/306	96	301	8	6	31%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	40	36→40	47→45	54	188/283/257	69	239	3	6	21%	10%	59	-1.7	215/294/288	73	274	5	7	21%	9%	69	-0.9	214/298/282	68	268	5	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	39	36→30	45→50	46	184/259/252	68	257	2	10	27%	8%	47	-2.5	197/281/256	59	262	2	9	23%	9%	57	-1.8	175/259/216	41	252	2	8	28%	9%	38	-1.0
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	37	34→30	47→50	55	171/281/228	57	242	2	11	27%	12%	52	-2.2	186/290/249	63	255	2	10	24%	12%	59	-1.6	153/294/218	65	208	0	11	22%	15%	55	-0.7
✕Cristian Garcia 2023 · A	19	39	37→40	44→40	45	189/259/265	76	262	4	7	28%	8%	50	-2.3	192/279/282	90	307	6	4	35%	10%	62	-1.4	171/275/266	94	286	6	2	38%	11%	57	-0.7

Elias Perez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps