Sebastian Caseres
P
ACL Angels
Age 18
LHP
5'11" / 148 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97107vR 116
ERA4.25
FIP4.25
K%23.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 17 | 1 | 34 | 128 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 2.67 | 2.17 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 17 | 1 | 34 | 128 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6% | 2.0 | 31.2% | 5.5% | 25.8% | 0.0% | 2.67 | 1.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | 11 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.60 | 2.63 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.25 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 35 | 145 | 36 | 12 | 2 | — | — | 24.5% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 2.69 | 3.56 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.15 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 3.77 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 1 | 49 | 189 | 38 | 14 | 0 | 4% | 1.7 | 20.1% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 2.03 | 2.32 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 4 | 200 | 777 | 156 | 57 | 0 | 4% | 1.7 | 20.1% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 2.03 | 2.32 | +7.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sebastian Caseres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.25 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.15 | 23.6% | 14.9% | 21 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Juan Amarante L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.43 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 1.7% | .299 | 4.43 | 18.0% | 4.3% | 178 | +1.00 | 3.43 | 224 | 88 |
| Luis Viloria L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.73 | 19.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | .297 | 4.79 | 20.0% | 4.7% | 57 | +1.06 | 3.24 | 101 | 83 |
| Denny Bentley L 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 82 |
| Jacob Patterson L 2029 · 3.08 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.08 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .275 | 3.87 | 22.4% | 14.5% | 123 | +0.79 | 3.08 | 160 | 80 |
| Angel Roman L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.81 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 1.5% | .286 | 3.80 | 13.2% | 4.3% | 169 | -0.01 | 2.74 | 196 | 77 |
| Gregori Louis L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 19 | SU | 5.16 | 25.4% | 13.1% | 4.6% | .364 | 4.99 | 19.1% | 2.9% | 89 | -0.17 | 3.58 | 131 | 76 |
| Connor Curlis L 2029 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 76 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 76 |
| Gabriel Moya L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.90 | 26.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .283 | 2.73 | 26.4% | 18.8% | 201 | -1.17 | 1.97 | 270 | 75 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 75 |
| Oddy Nunez L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.40 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | .281 | 4.37 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 286 | -0.03 | 3.88 | 386 | 74 |
| Vance Tatum L 2029 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .319 | 5.18 | 15.6% | 2.3% | 85 | +0.14 | 4.80 | 116 | 74 |
| Pablo Garabitos L 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.16 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 1.0% | .327 | 2.52 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 71 | -0.64 | 1.79 | 105 | 74 |
| Daniel Juarez L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.45 | 24.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | .389 | 4.29 | 26.5% | 9.0% | 68 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 221 | 74 |
| José Torres L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.30 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 1.5% | .262 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 130 | +0.86 | 3.30 | 204 | 73 |
| Miguel Jerez L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.53 | 15.0% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .268 | 3.46 | 14.8% | 8.9% | 129 | -1.07 | 3.39 | 151 | 72 |
| Evan Sisk L 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.51 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 1.1% | .293 | 3.93 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 114 | +0.42 | 1.98 | 417 | 72 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2029 · 4.53 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.53 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 4.7% | 67 | -0.12 | 4.41 | 132 | 72 |
| Drew Harrington L 2029 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 71 |
| Dalton Moats L 2029 · 3.62 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.62 | 15.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | .352 | 4.69 | 18.1% | 9.9% | 191 | +1.07 | 3.30 | 322 | 70 |