Dalton Moats — OGILVIE

Dalton Moats P Tennessee Smokies

Age 31 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%21.1%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	17	0	30	127	29	5	2	0%	1.8	15.5%	4.9%	10.6%	2.2%	2.40	3.62	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	17	0	30	127	29	5	2	0%	1.8	22.8%	3.9%	18.9%	1.6%	2.40	2.53	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	63	238	53	10	3	0%	1.7	16.8%	4.9%	11.9%	1.7%	1.86	3.23	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	63	238	53	10	3	0%	1.7	22.3%	4.2%	18.1%	1.3%	1.86	2.51	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	41	10	62	275	65	29	12	24%	1.5	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	5.3%	5.34	5.87	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	41	10	62	275	65	29	12	24%	1.5	23.6%	10.5%	13.1%	4.4%	5.34	4.91	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	42	2	65	272	62	20	8	5%	1.6	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.8%	3.17	4.67	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	42	2	65	272	62	20	8	5%	1.6	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	2.9%	3.17	3.71	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	29	134	32	8	4	0%	1.5	18.8%	6.2%	12.6%	4.1%	5.52	4.54	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	29	134	32	8	4	0%	1.5	23.9%	6.0%	17.9%	3.0%	5.52	3.51	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	51	1	55	220	60	12	10	2%	1.1	24.0%	5.7%	18.3%	4.8%	3.60	4.45	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	51	1	55	220	60	12	10	2%	1.1	27.3%	5.5%	21.8%	4.5%	3.60	3.94	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	18.1%	18.1%	-0.0%	5.0%	6.50	6.59	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	18.1%	18.1%	-0.0%	5.0%	6.50	6.59	—
2024	29	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	22.4%	16.5%	5.9%	3.5%	6.50	5.49	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	13.4%	7.7%	3.1%	5.10	5.10	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.16	5.25	-0.2
2027	32	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.16	5.25	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.16	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	128	32	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.16	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		222	13	323	1351	256	108	52	6%	1.5	18.9%	8.0%	11.0%	3.9%	3.73	4.64	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	8	200	837	158	67	32	6%	1.5	18.9%	8.0%	11.0%	3.9%	3.73	4.64	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dalton Moats (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	21.1%	13.4%	3.1%	—	5.25	20.9%	7.5%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Kevin Chapman L 2018 · 5.66 FIP	30	SU	5.66	17.1%	15.7%	3.7%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	153	76
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	74
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	72
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	72
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	71
Scott Alexander L 2020 · 5.61 FIP	31	SU	5.61	17.3%	15.4%	3.7%	.212	3.15	14.5%	11.1%	81	-2.46	2.90	426	68
Fabian Williamson L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SU	4.78	20.5%	21.1%	1.3%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	154	67
Ross Detwiler L 2017 · 5.84 FIP	31	SU	5.84	17.4%	14.2%	4.4%	.357	5.32	14.9%	7.8%	217	-0.52	3.49	512	67
Zac Rosscup L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	31	SU	4.42	26.4%	20.5%	1.7%	.386	2.69	26.6%	13.7%	58	-1.73	2.56	160	65
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	64
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2021 · 4.98 FIP	32	SU	4.98	15.2%	7.0%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	159	64
D.J. Snelten L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	31	SU	5.89	22.3%	21.1%	3.6%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.25	373	64
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	63
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	63
Anthony Gose L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	31	SU	4.71	30.4%	14.1%	4.4%	.234	4.70	23.1%	11.3%	82	-0.01	3.85	219	62
Ashur Tolliver L 2017 · 5.03 FIP	29	SU	5.03	13.8%	18.9%	1.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	134	62
Jared Koenig L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	29	SU	4.16	20.7%	9.2%	3.0%	.364	2.92	23.7%	16.1%	146	-1.24	2.79	473	62
Tony Watson L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	21.3%	7.0%	4.0%	.227	3.43	21.4%	16.9%	187	-0.94	2.21	405	62
Zach Duke L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	32	SU	4.21	25.9%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	2.85	22.9%	14.7%	131	-1.36	2.44	215	61