Francis Sosa — OGILVIE

Francis SosaOF DSL Brewers Gold

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+56

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .266 / .274

PA45

HR1

K%35

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	111	17	5	0	6	19	52	7	6	6	153	312	360	672	207	196	37	13	303	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	22	3	1	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	136	367	182	548	45	231	32	23	281	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	118	10	3	0	3	13	67	7	6	6	85	217	186	404	102	116	48	9	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	24	2	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	83	267	125	392	42	151	39	16	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	118	10	3	0	3	13	67	7	6	6	85	217	186	404	102	137	48	9	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	111	17	5	0	6	19	52	7	6	6	153	312	360	672	207	196	37	13	303	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	24	2	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	83	267	125	392	42	154	39	16	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	22	3	1	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	136	367	182	548	45	231	32	23	281	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	120	10	3	0	3	13	67	7	6	6	83	217	183	401	100	116	48	9	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	25	2	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	80	267	120	387	40	151	39	16	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	141	120	10	3	0	3	13	67	7	6	6	83	217	183	401	100	116	48	9	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	31	25	2	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	80	267	120	387	40	151	39	16	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	141	126	24	5	1	2	11	49	3	2	0	187	268	277	544	89	287	35	8	251	56	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	135	120	24	5	1	2	11	46	3	2	1	193	274	290	564	98	289	34	8	259	62	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	46	41	8	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	193	274	290	564	98	289	35	9	259	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	41	8	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	195	283	317	600	122	292	35	9	259	35	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	113	28	0	14	57	226	14	14	0	195	283	316	599	121	292	35	9	259	35	-30	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	352	302	43	10	1	6	33	141	12	9	7	142	254	242	495	99	231	40	9	220	35	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	79	18	2	11	61	260	22	17	13	142	253	240	493	99	230	40	9	220	35	-31	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francis Sosa (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	186/266/274	89	287	1	1	35%	8%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	43	193/270/291	98	282	10	4	33%	8%	61	-1.5	183/263/292	109	300	11	4	39%	9%	59	-1.7	149/242/259	110	247	12	2	42%	10%	42	-1.0
✕José Suárez 2024 · A	19	35	41→40	45→50	38	175/241/271	96	283	9	5	39%	7%	45	-2.7	200/251/290	90	324	8	12	38%	5%	53	-2.1	203/252/294	91	327	8	17	38%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2021 · A	19	37→36	40→45	48→50	41	182/247/274	92	262	8	7	32%	7%	48	-2.5	180/239/271	91	318	9	11	43%	7%	44	-2.8	180/230/300	120	302	15	14	44%	5%	44	-1.5
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Luis Baez 2023 · A	19	38→36	43→50	45	36	195/236/308	113	270	10	10	32%	5%	51	-2.3	203/255/335	132	286	15	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	202/254/334	131	283	15	8	33%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	33	39→45	46→50	43	168/240/251	83	236	7	10	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/266/296	105	275	9	11	32%	7%	61	-1.5	185/266/298	114	262	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Freili Encarnacion 2024 · A	19	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	185/252/253	68	288	4	11	35%	6%	45	-2.7	195/246/296	101	295	10	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Luis Pino 2023 · A	19	37→29	41→40	44→50	38	181/257/271	91	294	9	6	39%	7%	52	-2.2	182/263/279	97	316	9	8	42%	8%	57	-1.8	154/246/253	99	270	10	7	43%	8%	43	-1.0
✕Rosman Verdugo 2024 · A	19	38→37	39→45	46→45	37	178/243/267	89	301	5	9	40%	7%	45	-2.7	181/266/287	106	291	10	7	38%	9%	59	-1.7	172/267/282	110	267	13	6	37%	10%	56	-1.5
✕Douglas Glod 2024 · A	19	39	42→45	46→45	46	180/282/286	106	305	9	8	40%	11%	65	-1.2	170/268/253	83	342	6	4	46%	11%	53	-2.1	135/244/202	67	289	6	1	49%	11%	31	-1.5
✕Yair Lopez 2011 · A	19	38	39→45	48→55	38	185/248/264	79	288	6	11	36%	6%	46	-2.6	182/222/269	87	292	7	10	38%	4%	36	-3.3	154/183/241	87	243	7	12	39%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Aaron Familia 2018 · A	19	39	38→40	45→40	47	181/282/260	79	283	6	4	34%	10%	60	-1.6	185/266/263	78	328	5	5	41%	9%	53	-2.1	152/236/218	66	293	4	2	45%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	43→45	46→45	48	180/297/288	108	265	10	11	33%	10%	73	-0.6	155/286/270	115	241	13	6	37%	13%	65	-1.2	140/273/279	139	188	20	5	36%	13%	62	-0.8
✕Alessander De La Cruz 2024 · A	18	39	41→45	51→50	38	188/250/286	98	304	8	7	39%	7%	52	-2.2	202/273/308	106	303	8	11	33%	8%	65	-1.2	206/288/327	121	308	9	14	33%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9