Player 829853 P DSL Mets Orange
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
K: +1.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: +2.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.71 (43 IP)+0.7WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Mets Orange80259527500%3.219.3%6.6%12.7%0.0%2.492.30+0.7
ROS—MLB—170187517720%1.023.4%9.2%14.2%3.0%4.314.31+0.0
2026 Total—MLB———4317044122——26.2%7.0%19.2%1.3%3.243.13+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLB—190208420830%1.123.7%8.9%14.8%3.0%4.274.24+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—80259518600%3.219.3%6.6%12.7%0.0%2.492.30+0.7
/ 200 IP—6302007501424700%3.219.3%6.6%12.7%0.0%2.492.30+7.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 829853 (OGILVIE) —— 4.31 23.4%9.2%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 25 SU 4.25 19.9%10.9%2.6%.311 — ——— — 4.07 105 79
Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 — ——— — 4.08 100 78
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 78
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 77
Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 25 SU 3.90 22.8%7.1%3.3%.284 3.25 20.8%10.5%125 -0.65 3.08 201 76
Joe Vogatsky R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SU 4.82 21.0%8.8%4.3%.326 — ——— — 4.82 120 76
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 76
Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP 25 SU 3.73 21.8%6.2%3.1%.261 5.72 17.2%8.3%118 +1.99 3.73 191 75
Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 25 SU 3.45 26.9%9.5%2.6%.258 4.07 22.8%13.3%87 +0.62 3.45 163 74
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 74
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 25 SU 4.04 19.9%10.4%2.4%.272 3.57 19.6%9.7%129 -0.47 3.26 386 74
Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 — ——— — 3.34 105 74
Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 — ——— — 3.35 101 74
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 25 SU 3.88 25.6%8.0%3.5%.299 5.10 22.4%6.5%121 +1.22 3.88 158 74
Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP 25 SU 4.01 21.6%8.1%3.1%.286 — ——— — 4.01 247 74
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SU 4.24 21.1%10.6%2.9%.286 6.43 14.1%7.0%24 +2.19 4.09 183 73
Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 73
Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 — ——— — 4.28 121 73
Jacob Bodner R 2025 · 3.16 FIP 24 SU 3.16 24.0%8.7%1.8%.331 — ——— — 3.16 124 72
Justin Courtney R 2026 · 4.53 FIP 25 SU 4.53 19.0%5.9%4.2%.364 6.47 17.3%5.0%68 +1.94 4.53 108 72