Raymond Sarmiento
P
DSL Brewers Gold
Age 18
RHP
6'1" / 163 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.3 · 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 113
ERA5.00
FIP5.00
K%14.2%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%5.4%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers Gold | 11 | 5 | 42 | 182 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 45% | 3.8 | 13.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 4.50 | 3.67 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers Gold | 11 | 5 | 42 | 182 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 45% | 3.8 | 20.3% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 1.1% | 4.50 | 2.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers Gold | 8 | 5 | 35 | 139 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 62% | 4.3 | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.60 | 4.70 | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers Gold | 8 | 5 | 35 | 139 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 62% | 4.3 | 20.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 2.2% | 2.60 | 3.43 | — |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.1 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | — | — | — | 43 | 173 | 34 | 13 | 4 | — | — | 19.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 3.05 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | — | 9 | 9 | 48 | 203 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB | — | 9 | 9 | 50 | 213 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 53 | 224 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 56 | 235 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB | — | 11 | 11 | 58 | 244 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.24 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | — | 11 | 11 | 59 | 250 | 51 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.7% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 53 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.10 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | — | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB | — | 7 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB | — | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB | — | 9 | 9 | 50 | 211 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 53 | 224 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.24 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 55 | 232 | 47 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 50 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.7% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | — | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 50 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.10 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | — | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 49 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 58 | 434 | 1832 | 359 | 141 | 49 | 100% | 7.5 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 3.90 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 27 | 27 | 200 | 844 | 165 | 65 | 23 | 100% | 7.5 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 3.90 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 10 | 77 | 321 | 45 | 26 | 7 | 53% | 4.0 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 3.64 | 4.12 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 26 | 200 | 837 | 117 | 68 | 18 | 53% | 4.0 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 3.64 | 4.12 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Raymond Sarmiento (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 152 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.60 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% | .319 | 3.98 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 131 | -0.62 | 2.36 | 359 | 87 |
| Anderson Vera R 2016 · 4.41 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.41 | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | .314 | 3.35 | 13.2% | 2.4% | 32 | -1.06 | 3.35 | 112 | 87 |
| Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.45 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .344 | 5.39 | 12.1% | 3.7% | 92 | +0.94 | 4.45 | 131 | 86 |
| Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.44 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .263 | 5.33 | 14.2% | -3.5% | 23 | +0.89 | 3.07 | 122 | 85 |
| Samuel Mejia R 2021 · 3.90 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.90 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 1.6% | .265 | 4.73 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 97 | +0.83 | 2.81 | 216 | 85 |
| Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.22 FIP | 17 | SP- | 5.22 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% | .293 | 5.20 | 14.7% | 2.3% | 156 | -0.02 | 3.15 | 200 | 84 |
| Gerardo Bojorquez R 2016 · 5.12 FIP | 18 | SW | 5.12 | 12.1% | 10.2% | 3.2% | .310 | 5.76 | 12.1% | 1.0% | 53 | +0.64 | 5.12 | 102 | 84 |
| Yeison Santana R 2015 · 4.65 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.65 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | .352 | 2.50 | 19.8% | 14.5% | 78 | -2.15 | 1.61 | 129 | 84 |
| Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .271 | 3.54 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 88 | -1.12 | 2.95 | 123 | 83 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2016 · 4.16 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .306 | 5.82 | 13.1% | 2.1% | 68 | +1.66 | 4.16 | 121 | 83 |
| Argenis Romano R 2015 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.32 | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.85 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 86 | +0.53 | 3.54 | 144 | 83 |
| Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 125 | 83 |
| Anderson Reynoso R 2016 · 4.06 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.06 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .308 | 4.43 | 13.0% | 5.2% | 68 | +0.37 | 3.56 | 122 | 83 |
| Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.40 | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 7.0% | 220 | -0.52 | 3.96 | 273 | 82 |
| Charlie Neuweiler R 2017 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.50 | 14.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .223 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 5.3% | 199 | +0.40 | 4.01 | 418 | 82 |
| Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.12 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 199 | -0.43 | 4.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Railin Perez R 2019 · 4.07 FIP | 17 | SW | 4.07 | 14.3% | 11.4% | 1.3% | .271 | 3.10 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 57 | -0.97 | 2.50 | 308 | 82 |
| Jose Espada R 2015 · 4.42 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.42 | 15.5% | 7.4% | 3.1% | .234 | 5.09 | 9.6% | 3.5% | 53 | +0.67 | 4.39 | 343 | 81 |
| Michele Vassalotti R 2018 · 5.59 FIP | 17 | SP- | 5.59 | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | 5.34 | 17.8% | -3.0% | 68 | -0.25 | 2.60 | 238 | 81 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2.6 | 53 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.05 | 4.40 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 1.6 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 2.1 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 2.5 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Matt Wisler ('22) | 2.5 | 63 | 20.1% | 7.6% | 1.40 | 4.59 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 1.5 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Daniel Norris ('22) | 2.8 | 70 | 21.7% | 8.5% | 1.37 | 4.70 |