Raymond Sarmiento

Raymond Sarmiento P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 RHP 6'1" / 163 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.3 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%14.2%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	5	42	182	37	11	2	45%	3.8	13.8%	7.6%	6.3%	1.5%	4.50	3.70	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	5	42	182	37	11	2	45%	3.8	13.8%	7.6%	6.3%	1.5%	4.50	3.70	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	11	5	42	182	37	11	2	45%	3.8	20.3%	6.0%	14.3%	1.1%	4.50	2.74	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	6	49	199	39	15	3	55%	4.4	13.3%	9.4%	3.9%	2.1%	3.51	4.33	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	11	6	49	199	39	15	3	55%	4.4	13.3%	9.4%	3.9%	2.1%	3.51	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	11	6	49	199	39	15	3	55%	4.4	19.6%	7.5%	12.1%	1.5%	3.51	3.23	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	9	9	50	212	34	18	6	100%	5.6	16.1%	8.6%	7.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.79	+0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	10	10	53	222	38	19	6	100%	5.3	17.3%	8.5%	8.8%	2.8%	4.71	4.65	+0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	10	10	55	233	42	19	6	100%	5.5	18.0%	8.3%	9.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.53	+0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	11	11	58	245	47	19	7	100%	5.3	19.1%	7.9%	11.1%	2.7%	4.45	4.37	+0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	11	11	60	254	50	19	7	100%	5.5	19.8%	7.6%	12.2%	2.7%	4.32	4.24	+0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	11	11	62	261	53	19	7	100%	5.6	20.3%	7.4%	12.9%	2.6%	4.22	4.15	+0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	11	11	62	264	55	19	7	100%	5.7	20.7%	7.3%	13.4%	2.6%	4.14	4.09	+0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	10	10	62	264	55	19	7	100%	6.2	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	2.6%	4.10	4.07	+0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	10	10	62	260	54	19	7	100%	6.2	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	2.7%	4.11	4.11	+0.6
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	5	5	25	106	17	9	3	100%	5.0	16.1%	8.6%	7.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.79	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	7	7	38	160	28	14	5	100%	5.4	17.3%	8.5%	8.8%	2.8%	4.71	4.65	+0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	9	9	47	198	36	17	5	100%	5.2	18.0%	8.3%	9.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.53	+0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	9	9	52	220	42	17	6	100%	5.8	19.1%	7.9%	11.1%	2.7%	4.45	4.37	+0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	10	10	56	236	47	18	6	100%	5.6	19.8%	7.6%	12.2%	2.7%	4.32	4.24	+0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	10	10	58	245	50	18	6	100%	5.8	20.3%	7.4%	12.9%	2.6%	4.22	4.15	+0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	10	10	59	249	52	18	7	100%	5.9	20.7%	7.3%	13.4%	2.6%	4.14	4.09	+0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	10	10	59	249	52	18	7	100%	5.9	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	2.6%	4.10	4.07	+0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	10	10	59	249	52	18	7	100%	5.9	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	2.7%	4.11	4.11	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	55	452	1910	374	147	51	100%	8.2	19.6%	7.7%	11.9%	2.7%	4.33	3.90	+5.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		24	24	200	844	165	65	23	100%	8.2	19.6%	7.7%	11.9%	2.7%	4.33	3.90	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		22	11	91	381	52	32	7	50%	4.1	13.6%	8.5%	5.0%	1.8%	3.97	4.03	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	24	200	840	114	72	15	50%	4.1	13.6%	8.5%	5.0%	1.8%	3.97	4.03	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raymond Sarmiento (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	14.2%	8.8%	2.9%	—	4.65	17.2%	8.7%	158	-0.35	—	—	—
Anderson Vera R 2016 · 4.41 FIP	18	SW	4.41	11.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.314	3.35	13.2%	2.4%	32	-1.06	3.35	112	88
Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	18	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.1%	2.3%	.319	3.85	16.7%	10.2%	131	-0.75	2.38	359	87
Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	12.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.344	5.39	12.1%	3.7%	92	+0.94	4.45	131	86
Samuel Mejia R 2021 · 3.81 FIP	19	SP-	3.81	13.9%	8.7%	1.4%	.265	4.30	20.0%	11.7%	97	+0.49	2.71	216	85
Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	18	SP-	4.44	15.1%	9.7%	2.5%	.263	5.33	14.2%	-3.5%	23	+0.89	3.07	122	85
Gerardo Bojorquez R 2016 · 5.12 FIP	18	SW	5.12	12.1%	10.2%	3.2%	.310	5.76	12.1%	1.0%	53	+0.64	5.12	102	85
Anderson Reynoso R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	18	SW	4.06	14.8%	7.3%	2.3%	.308	4.43	13.0%	5.2%	68	+0.37	3.56	122	84
Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	17	SP-	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	83
Wellington Caceres R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	20	SP-	4.16	13.9%	6.4%	2.6%	.306	5.82	13.1%	2.1%	68	+1.66	4.16	121	83
Argenis Romano R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	20	SP-	4.32	11.5%	7.5%	2.2%	.287	4.85	14.9%	7.8%	86	+0.53	3.54	144	83
Yeison Santana R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	18	SP-	4.65	14.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.352	2.50	19.8%	14.5%	78	-2.15	1.61	129	83
Charlie Neuweiler R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	18	SW	4.50	14.4%	9.3%	2.6%	.223	5.02	16.9%	5.3%	199	+0.52	4.05	418	82
Donny Troconis R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	17	SP-	5.31	16.0%	9.4%	4.3%	.293	5.06	14.9%	2.2%	180	-0.25	3.15	224	82
Railin Perez R 2019 · 4.07 FIP	17	SW	4.07	14.3%	11.4%	1.3%	.271	3.15	20.9%	8.3%	57	-0.92	2.50	329	82
Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	19	SP-	5.40	11.8%	10.4%	3.6%	.321	4.82	17.3%	7.0%	220	-0.58	3.85	273	81
Yon Castro R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	12.0%	9.5%	1.7%	.310	4.39	17.5%	5.6%	55	+0.18	3.20	274	81
Jose Cedeno R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	17	SP-	4.66	15.3%	9.7%	3.0%	.271	3.39	21.5%	12.9%	88	-1.27	2.80	123	81
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	81
Michele Vassalotti R 2018 · 5.59 FIP	17	SP-	5.59	9.8%	9.3%	3.9%	.315	5.31	17.8%	-3.0%	68	-0.28	2.60	238	81
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	55	19.1%	7.8%	1.05	4.40
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70