Wilfredo Pereira
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 197 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%19.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 18 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 12.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 2.27 | 2.81 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 18 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 18.0% | 4.7% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.27 | 2.17 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 10 | 51 | 216 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 83% | 4.3 | 12.0% | 11.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.16 | 3.91 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 10 | 51 | 216 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 83% | 4.3 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 0.5% | 3.16 | 3.04 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 13 | 9 | 53 | 239 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 69% | 4.1 | 10.8% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.72 | 4.67 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 13 | 9 | 53 | 239 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 69% | 4.1 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 4.72 | 3.66 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 7 | 0 | 26 | 101 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 3.7 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.26 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 7 | 0 | 26 | 101 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 3.7 | 27.7% | 5.9% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 1.62 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 29 | 13 | 97 | 408 | 115 | 40 | 9 | 45% | 3.4 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 3.33 | 4.04 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 29 | 13 | 97 | 408 | 115 | 40 | 9 | 45% | 3.4 | 28.2% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 3.33 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 27 | 18 | 118 | 486 | 129 | 31 | 17 | 67% | 4.4 | 20.4% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 27 | 18 | 118 | 486 | 129 | 31 | 17 | 67% | 4.4 | 26.5% | 6.4% | 20.2% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 3.57 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 24 | 138 | 591 | 104 | 53 | 18 | 92% | 5.3 | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 4.88 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 24 | 138 | 591 | 104 | 53 | 18 | 92% | 5.3 | 17.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.44 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 8 | 88 | 404 | 84 | 42 | 11 | 27% | 2.9 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 5.40 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 8 | 88 | 404 | 84 | 42 | 11 | 27% | 2.9 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 4.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | STL | 10 | 10 | 70 | 298 | 59 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 7.0 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 9 | 9 | 68 | 289 | 58 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 7.6 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 9 | 9 | 65 | 276 | 55 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 7.3 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 5 | 5 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 7.2 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 62 | 262 | 53 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 7.8 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.36 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 27 | 27 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 87 | 26 | 100% | 7.4 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 162 | 82 | 608 | 2595 | 430 | 250 | 60 | 51% | 3.8 | 16.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.34 | 4.20 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 27 | 200 | 854 | 142 | 82 | 20 | 51% | 3.8 | 16.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.34 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilfredo Pereira (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.73 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 134 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 83 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 81 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 79 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 78 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 78 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 77 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 77 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 77 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 76 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 76 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 76 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 76 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 75 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 75 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.30 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .285 | 5.87 | 16.1% | 5.4% | 99 | +1.57 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 74 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 73 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 20.0% | 10.1% | 1.15 | 4.67 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |