Victor Santana — OGILVIE

Victor Santana3B ACL D-backs

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .275 / .297

PA124

HR1

K%24

BB%6

BABIP283

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$13M		$26M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	208	182	39	6	1	1	17	36	6	0	1	214	302	275	577	60	257	17	8	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	208	171	50	7	1	2	27	22	6	0	1	292	405	380	785	88	320	11	13	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	187	173	38	5	1	1	11	45	0	0	2	220	266	277	544	58	285	24	6	239	41	-12	-1	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	187	166	46	7	1	1	18	31	0	0	2	277	348	349	697	72	328	17	10	314	99	-0	-1	+0	+1	+5	0.5
ROS	18	ROK	ARI	0%	124	114	25	4	1	1	8	30	1	1	1	218	275	297	571	78	289	24	6	263	59	-6	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ARI	—	187	174	38	5	1	1	11	45	0	0	2	218	266	276	542	57	282	24	6	239	41	-12	-1	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
TOT	18	ROK	ARI	—	311	287	63	9	2	2	19	75	1	1	3	219	270	285	555	66	284	24	6	248	48	-18	-1	+0	+1	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	323	294	67	11	2	4	23	76	3	3	2	228	291	320	610	92	292	24	7	276	69	-11	-0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	432	393	91	15	2	7	31	101	5	4	2	232	296	333	629	102	293	23	7	285	76	-12	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.2
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	511	462	109	18	3	9	38	117	6	5	3	236	302	346	649	110	294	23	7	291	81	-11	-0	+0	+2	+14	0.5
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	566	511	122	20	3	11	43	129	7	6	3	239	307	354	661	115	295	23	8	295	84	-10	+0	+0	+2	+16	0.8
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	603	545	131	22	3	12	46	136	7	6	4	240	308	358	665	117	296	23	8	298	86	-10	-0	+0	+2	+17	1.0
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	625	566	135	22	3	12	47	141	7	6	4	239	305	352	656	113	297	23	8	299	87	-9	-0	+0	+2	+18	1.1
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	633	573	139	23	4	13	48	142	7	7	4	243	309	365	674	122	297	22	8	300	88	-9	-0	+0	+2	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	638	576	140	23	4	13	49	143	8	7	4	243	311	365	676	122	296	22	8	301	88	-9	-0	+0	+2	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	637	575	138	23	3	13	50	144	7	7	4	240	309	358	667	118	296	23	8	301	88	-9	-0	+0	+2	+18	1.2
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	631	569	136	22	3	13	50	143	7	6	4	239	308	357	665	118	296	23	8	299	87	-9	-0	-1	+2	+18	1.0
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	620	559	133	22	3	12	49	142	7	6	4	238	307	352	660	114	295	23	8	297	86	-10	-0	-1	+2	+18	0.8
2038	30	MLB	ARI	57%	609	549	129	21	3	11	48	141	7	6	3	235	305	344	649	109	294	23	8	295	84	-11	+0	-2	+2	+17	0.6
2039	31	MLB	ARI	60%	595	536	125	20	3	11	47	139	7	5	3	233	303	343	647	110	291	23	8	290	80	-13	-0	-3	+2	+17	0.3
2040	32	MLB	ARI	61%	576	520	119	19	3	10	45	137	6	5	3	229	298	335	632	106	288	24	8	285	76	-16	-0	-4	+2	+16	-0.1
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	111	101	23	4	1	1	8	26	1	1	1	228	291	317	608	89	294	23	7	271	66	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	209	190	44	7	1	3	15	49	2	2	1	232	295	326	621	95	295	23	7	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	277	251	60	10	2	5	21	64	3	3	2	239	305	355	660	116	296	23	8	285	77	-7	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	320	289	70	12	2	6	24	73	4	3	2	242	309	360	669	118	297	23	8	289	80	-7	-0	+0	+1	+9	0.3
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	347	314	76	13	2	7	26	79	4	4	2	242	308	363	671	121	298	23	7	292	81	-7	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	356	322	78	13	2	7	27	80	4	4	2	242	309	360	669	118	299	22	8	293	83	-7	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	359	325	78	13	2	7	27	81	4	4	2	240	306	357	663	117	299	23	8	294	83	-7	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	361	326	79	13	2	7	28	81	4	4	2	242	310	359	669	117	299	22	8	294	83	-7	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	353	319	77	13	2	7	27	80	4	4	2	241	309	361	669	119	298	23	8	294	83	-7	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	347	313	75	12	2	7	27	79	4	4	2	240	308	358	666	118	298	23	8	293	83	-7	+0	-0	+1	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	332	299	73	12	2	7	26	76	4	3	2	244	313	368	681	124	297	23	8	291	81	-7	-0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	ARI	57%	348	313	75	12	2	7	28	80	4	3	2	240	310	358	668	118	296	23	8	288	79	-8	-0	-1	+1	+10	0.1
2039	31	MLB	ARI	60%	355	320	76	12	2	7	28	83	4	3	2	237	307	353	660	116	293	23	8	284	76	-10	-0	-2	+1	+10	-0.0
2040	32	MLB	ARI	61%	353	318	74	12	2	6	28	84	4	3	2	233	303	340	642	107	290	24	8	279	72	-11	-0	-2	+1	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4428	4001	958	158	26	84	340	1015	50	45	26	239	307	355	662	115	299	23	8	289	79	-103	-1	-6	+16	+125	3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	140	23	4	12	50	149	7	7	4	239	306	353	659	114	298	23	8	289	79	-15	-0	-1	+2	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	8331	7524	1778	291	44	153	639	1897	98	80	49	236	304	348	652	111	294	23	8	293	83	-163	-4	-10	+30	+236	9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	139	23	3	12	50	148	8	6	4	237	305	348	653	111	295	23	8	293	83	-13	-0	-1	+2	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	208	171	50	7	1	2	27	22	6	0	1	292	405	380	785	88	320	11	13	357	131	+7	-0	—	—	+6	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,649	85	46	237	302	349	+17	+4	5.4	4.8
	/162	664	12	7	237	302	349	+2.4	+0.6	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Santana (OGILVIE)	18	55	25	35	50	219/270/285	66	284	2	1	24%	6%	48	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2015 · A	19	50	34→30	40→50	47	232/289/289	57	289	1	4	19%	6%	62	-0.9	215/271/261	46	256	1	7	16%	6%	46	-2.0	204/259/226	22	236	0	9	13%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	50	-1.7	219/296/276	57	268	1	22	17%	9%	62	-0.9	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Armando Sierra 2022 · A	18	45	36→45	41→40	41	208/268/276	68	308	3	4	32%	7%	50	-1.8	219/278/319	100	291	9	4	26%	7%	66	-0.6	215/273/324	110	276	12	2	26%	7%	62	-0.2
✕Carlos Garay 2013 · A	18	51→61	35→30	42→30	49	238/284/296	58	273	2	4	13%	6%	60	-1.0	207/260/265	58	264	2	4	21%	6%	43	-2.2	278/307/332	54	326	2	1	15%	3%	75	+0.0
✕Enlly Morales 2009 · A	19	46	38→40	38→40	42	218/266/303	85	274	4	5	22%	4%	56	-1.3	223/273/297	74	273	4	5	19%	5%	57	-1.2	224/273/285	61	271	3	4	17%	5%	52	-0.5
✕Ashley Ponce 2009 · A	18	43	35→30	36→50	47	200/278/260	60	272	3	6	26%	8%	51	-1.7	210/271/266	56	258	2	11	18%	6%	49	-1.8	193/249/234	41	227	2	11	15%	6%	27	-1.2
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2023 · A	18	53→63	36→30	43→55	51	247/304/313	67	281	3	7	13%	7%	74	-0.1	254/308/308	54	291	2	16	12%	7%	74	-0.1	276/322/324	48	307	1	26	10%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Jesus Alastre 2015 · A	18	51	34→30	44→50	41	236/305/293	57	301	1	11	21%	4%	71	-0.3	227/280/294	67	292	3	9	22%	4%	59	-1.1	249/282/342	92	348	4	9	28%	2%	67	-0.1
✕Nate Samson 2007 · A	19	44→54	35→40	38→45	46	203/282/260	57	294	3	5	29%	8%	53	-1.5	234/290/285	51	277	2	6	15%	6%	61	-1.0	221/267/300	78	262	6	10	18%	5%	52	-0.5
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	41→40	54	228/297/319	92	260	7	6	15%	9%	73	-0.1	221/275/291	70	307	4	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	222/262/247	25	337	0	0	32%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Humberto Espinoza 2006 · A	19	48	36→30	34→30	48	226/284/292	66	261	3	3	15%	6%	61	-1.0	229/298/294	65	257	3	4	11%	7%	67	-0.5	237/313/293	56	257	1	1	8%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2017 · A	18	47	37→45	44→50	44	220/273/299	79	265	3	5	18%	5%	58	-1.2	249/318/344	95	286	6	10	14%	7%	89	+0.9	242/312/345	102	286	8	12	17%	6%	83	+0.2
✕Yorman Garcia 2012 · A	18	42	36→30	40→55	48	197/291/267	70	276	3	5	27%	9%	59	-1.1	198/255/261	63	275	1	12	27%	6%	40	-2.4	189/235/243	54	262	0	18	26%	5%	23	-1.4
✕Rossmel Perez 2008 · A	18	46→55	35→30	42→45	52	212/306/268	56	272	2	5	21%	9%	66	-0.6	227/286/282	55	266	2	3	15%	6%	59	-1.1	264/318/322	58	285	4	5	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9
✕Paul Kelly 2006 · A	19	45→51	40	40	40	214/273/303	89	303	8	6	30%	6%	59	-1.1	228/281/311	83	290	4	5	22%	5%	64	-0.8	237/290/318	82	293	3	3	19%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Carlos Triunfel 2008 · A	18	53→54	35→45	40→50	41	248/281/315	67	307	2	8	20%	4%	64	-0.8	239/273/327	88	276	7	14	16%	4%	64	-0.8	244/281/339	95	301	7	5	20%	3%	67	-0.5
✕Exicardo Cayones 2010 · A	18	49	37→40	41→45	46	228/294/313	85	283	3	6	20%	6%	71	-0.3	212/280/290	78	294	2	8	27%	6%	59	-1.1	218/294/290	72	317	2	10	29%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Jose Cordova 2019 · A	19	47	37→40	43→50	42	220/265/294	74	271	4	4	20%	4%	53	-1.5	231/287/304	73	306	4	13	24%	5%	65	-0.7	228/295/308	79	310	5	13	26%	7%	68	-0.2