Victor Santana — OGILVIE

Victor Santana3B DSL Arizona Red

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.1 · 2034

wRC+72

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .289 / .321

PA177

HR3

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

25→25

SPD

35→35

EYE

50→50

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.1peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.0	$39M	+$38M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.1	$42M	+$41M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.1	$43M	+$35M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.9	$42M	+$29M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.7	$41M	+$23M
Totals		$43M		$242M	+$199M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	208	182	39	6	1	1	17	36	6	0	1	.214	.302	.275	.577	.060	.257	17	8	.258	56	-10	-0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	177	159	35	6	1	3	14	48	2	2	1	.220	.291	.327	.618	.107	.292	27	8	.279	72	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	—	259	231	55	9	2	5	23	66	3	4	1	.238	.315	.359	.674	.121	.307	25	9	.305	92	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2028	20	MLB 28%	—	384	340	85	14	3	9	36	94	5	6	1	.250	.331	.388	.719	.138	.314	24	9	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.4
2029	21	MLB 48%	—	477	420	106	18	3	12	47	113	7	7	2	.252	.338	.395	.733	.143	.315	24	10	.327	109	+5	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.1
2030	22	MLB 65%	—	543	475	121	20	4	14	55	125	8	7	2	.255	.342	.402	.744	.147	.315	23	10	.335	114	+9	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.7
2031	23	MLB 86%	—	588	512	132	22	4	16	62	132	9	7	2	.258	.348	.410	.758	.152	.316	22	11	.341	119	+13	+1	+0	+2	+17	3.3
2032	24	MLB	—	617	536	140	23	4	18	67	137	9	7	1	.261	.353	.420	.773	.159	.316	22	11	.345	122	+15	+1	+0	+2	+17	3.7
2033	25	MLB	—	633	548	144	24	4	19	70	139	10	7	1	.263	.357	.425	.782	.162	.317	22	11	.348	125	+18	+1	+0	+2	+18	4.0
2034	26	MLB	—	641	554	145	24	4	19	72	141	10	7	1	.262	.357	.422	.779	.161	.317	22	11	.350	126	+19	+1	+0	+2	+18	4.1
2035	27	MLB	—	641	554	145	24	4	19	72	142	10	7	1	.262	.357	.422	.779	.161	.318	22	11	.350	126	+19	+1	+0	+2	+18	4.1
2036	28	MLB	—	636	549	144	24	4	19	72	142	10	6	1	.262	.358	.424	.783	.162	.318	22	11	.349	125	+18	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.9
2037	29	MLB	—	626	540	140	23	4	18	72	141	9	6	0	.259	.356	.417	.773	.157	.317	23	12	.347	124	+17	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.7
2038	30	MLB	—	616	532	138	23	4	18	70	141	9	5	0	.259	.355	.419	.774	.160	.316	23	11	.344	121	+15	+1	-2	+2	+17	3.4
2039	31	MLB	—	601	518	132	22	3	17	69	140	9	4	0	.255	.352	.407	.760	.153	.315	23	11	.340	119	+13	+1	-3	+2	+17	3.0
2040	32	MLB	—	583	503	127	21	3	16	66	139	9	4	0	.252	.349	.402	.751	.149	.314	24	11	.336	115	+10	+1	-4	+2	+17	2.6
2041	33	MLB	—	553	477	118	19	3	14	63	136	8	3	0	.247	.345	.388	.733	.140	.313	25	11	.330	111	+7	+1	-4	+2	+16	2.1
2042	34	MLB	—	506	437	106	17	3	12	57	128	7	3	0	.243	.339	.378	.717	.135	.312	25	11	.324	106	+4	+1	-5	+2	+14	1.6
2043	35	MLB	—	449	390	91	14	2	10	50	118	6	3	0	.233	.330	.356	.686	.123	.311	26	11	.317	101	+0	+1	-6	+2	+13	1.0
2044	36	MLB	—	388	337	78	12	2	8	43	106	5	3	0	.231	.327	.350	.677	.119	.309	27	11	.308	94	-3	+1	-6	+1	+11	0.4
2045	37	MLB	—	323	281	63	9	2	6	35	92	4	3	0	.224	.319	.335	.653	.110	.306	28	11	.299	87	-5	+1	-7	+1	+9	-0.1
2046	38	MLB	—	253	221	47	7	1	4	27	74	3	2	0	.213	.307	.308	.614	.095	.302	29	11	.289	79	-6	+0	-8	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10702	9296	2331	381	65	277	1159	2530	158	103	15	.251	.344	.395	.739	.144	.314	24	11	.332	112	+148	+15	-46	+38	+303	46.8
/ 162G	—			650	565	142	23	4	17	70	154	10	6	1	.251	.344	.396	.741	.145	.315	24	11	.332	112	+9	+1	-3	+2	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	208	171	50	7	1	2	27	22	6	0	1	.292	.405	.380	.785	.088	.320	11	13	.357	131	+7	-0	—	—	+6	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Santana (OGILVIE)	18	55	25	35	50	.217/.289/.321	.104	.292	3	2	27%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	40→45	50	.215/.291/.285	.070	.280	4	8	23%	9%	63	-0.9	.194/.266/.263	.069	.302	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.309/.291	.080	.290	8	4	27%	11%	71	-0.1
✕Nahum Hernandez 2009 · A	19	42	39→45	42→50	44	.204/.265/.287	.083	.263	6	5	24%	6%	52	-1.6	.222/.290/.319	.097	.299	8	8	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.241/.316/.348	.107	.325	9	10	26%	7%	84	+0.2
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	.231/.298/.310	.079	.319	4	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.233/.297/.322	.089	.310	7	4	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	43→45	38→40	46	.227/.287/.337	.110	.280	10	4	22%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.310/.355	.112	.303	9	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	42→40	54	.227/.296/.319	.092	.261	7	6	16%	9%	73	-0.1	.221/.276/.291	.070	.303	4	5	26%	7%	57	-1.2	.222/.262/.247	.025	.337	0	0	32%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	.224/.286/.319	.095	.281	8	4	22%	7%	69	-0.4	.214/.270/.313	.099	.303	9	4	30%	7%	60	-1.0	.189/.239/.286	.097	.292	10	0	37%	6%	38	-0.5
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	47→54	38→40	42→45	50	.222/.294/.299	.078	.277	6	6	21%	8%	67	-0.5	.230/.294/.318	.088	.284	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.244/.311/.341	.098	.292	8	5	19%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Paul Kelly 2006 · A	19	45→51	40	41→40	40	.215/.273/.305	.090	.304	7	6	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.229/.284/.312	.083	.288	5	5	21%	5%	66	-0.6	.239/.293/.319	.080	.291	3	3	18%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	47	39→45	43→40	47	.226/.291/.306	.080	.288	7	8	23%	8%	68	-0.5	.217/.267/.275	.058	.277	3	6	22%	5%	48	-1.9	.240/.291/.341	.101	.307	12	1	25%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	45→48	40→45	43→55	45	.209/.292/.297	.088	.310	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	.198/.280/.275	.077	.287	5	14	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.204/.287/.292	.088	.279	6	20	27%	10%	60	-0.5
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→41	42→45	44→50	46	.227/.316/.333	.107	.303	8	7	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.212/.309/.337	.125	.286	12	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.305/.339	.136	.270	15	9	28%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	45	.221/.275/.318	.097	.272	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.298/.349	.106	.288	8	15	18%	6%	82	+0.5	.263/.321/.381	.118	.302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2015 · A	19	50	34→30	41→50	47	.230/.287/.287	.057	.286	1	4	19%	6%	60	-1.0	.216/.271/.261	.045	.258	1	7	16%	6%	47	-1.9	.204/.259/.226	.022	.236	0	9	13%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Javier Betancourt 2013 · A	18	49→52	41→40	43→45	44	.237/.288/.333	.095	.286	8	8	20%	6%	73	-0.1	.240/.276/.316	.076	.278	6	6	15%	4%	63	-0.9	.240/.271/.306	.066	.276	4	4	14%	3%	55	-1.0
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2022 · A	19	52	40	42→45	41	.247/.297/.342	.095	.322	7	5	25%	5%	79	+0.3	.240/.304/.333	.093	.291	8	4	19%	7%	80	+0.4	.231/.300/.315	.085	.275	7	5	18%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	42→30	46	.210/.281/.301	.092	.255	7	5	20%	6%	63	-0.8	.212/.270/.299	.087	.272	7	4	24%	5%	57	-1.2	.189/.232/.268	.080	.253	8	1	28%	3%	31	-0.9
✕Enlly Morales 2009 · A	19	46	38→40	39→40	42	.218/.267/.303	.085	.274	4	6	22%	5%	56	-1.3	.223/.274/.299	.076	.271	4	5	18%	5%	58	-1.2	.224/.273/.285	.061	.271	3	4	17%	5%	52	-0.5
✕Ulises Montilla 2011 · A	19	48	36→45	42→50	55	.219/.296/.289	.069	.255	2	8	14%	9%	66	-0.6	.245/.306/.336	.091	.277	4	10	12%	7%	81	+0.4	.253/.311/.354	.101	.287	4	10	13%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Edwin Amparo 2023 · A	18	43	38→40	43→60	43	.203/.267/.286	.083	.282	5	8	28%	7%	53	-1.5	.195/.277/.282	.087	.283	6	22	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.178/.265/.270	.093	.272	9	37	35%	10%	47	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)